Saturday 25th May

Haydock 

2.50 Aweedram 8-1 & Duke of Hazzard 20-1 ( 4/5 places with bookmakers. Interesting that Kingscote ,the king at Haydock decides to stick with Aweedram instead of riding Barristan The Bold for his boss. Re Duke of Hazzard, he is dropping into handicap company after running well last two times in Group races when beaten by Persian King. He is over priced in my opinion and he wasn’t disgraced in France last time in that Group 1 race.)

4.00 Mabs Cross 11-4

4.35 Signora Cabello 3-1

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Goodwood -2.30 Mr Diamond 10-1 , 3.40 Mirage Dancer 11-10

York –  3.45 El Astronaute 8-1

Curragh

3.00 Speak In Colours 4-1

3.35 Magna Grecia 5-4 (Ante Post)

Too Darn Hot being supplemented 2 days ago adds further spice to this race. I got on Magna Grecia last Monday thinking Too Darn Hot wouldn’t run and I am going to stick with him since I never change my minds. He won the 2000 Guineas for us very easily few weeks ago and he would have won wherever he was racing on the day.  A few people questioned the pace bias where he was racing etc but that’s nonsense. Like i mentioned many times the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket last year has been working well and Persian King won the French Guineas a week later. I love the way he quickened away and put the race to bed last time. He will be a tough nut to crack tomorrow.

On the other side we have Too Darn Hot, one of our favorite horses in training. He ran a decent race in the Dante in my opinion where he showed he has trained on but he simply didn’t stay the trip. He was beaten by a very good horse in Telecaster and he will be more at ease back over a mile with a run under his belt. The quick turn around is a slight concern but Gosden wouldn’t have run him if he thought he needed time to recover from his York exertions. It was a nice comeback and I’ve noticed Frankie did get him switch off quite easily after leaving the stalls when he raced a bit keenly. Also he was carrying a bit of condition that day from TV pics and he will strip fitter tomorrow.

The only negative for Too Darn Hot if you believe in stats is that John Gosden is 2/18 with horses running back in Group 1’s having run in previous fortnight since 2003 ( Tony Keenan tweet). The two winners were Enable in King George and Persuasive in QEII at Ascot. I can see him going clear favorite tomorrow. If you think Too Darn Hot will win but have done Magna Grecia ante post then i will suggest a treble Too Darn Hot-Calyx (3.25 Sandy Lane Stakes tomorrow) -Magical (Tattersalls Gold Cup on Sunday) that pays around 11-4 with bet365 right now. Of course you have to play with your % to maximise profit for the two outcomes etc but i am sticking with Magna Grecia to win.

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Lucky 15 – 3.35 Magna Grecia 6-4 , 3.40 Mirage Dancer 10-11,  4.00 Mabs Cross 3-1 , 4.35 Signora Cabello 11-4 ( @paddypower)

E/w Lucky 15 – 2.30 Mr Diamond 10-1 ,2.50 Duke of Hazzard 20-1 ,3.00 Speak in Colours 4-1 , 3.45 El Astronaute 7-1 ( @paddypower)

 

 

 

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Thursday 23rd May

Sandown

6.00 My Boy Sepoy 11-1

6.35 Proper Beau 9-2

Jm Jackson draw in 7 is putting me off and you need a low draw over 5f at Sandown normally. She finished 2nd to Ventura Rebel who went in again at Ascot next time out beating Lady Pauline.Full Authority is the obvious one in race but a bit short for my liking at 4-5 considering he won on really soft ground at Chester and bagged that rail. I like Proper Beau in race and he has a good draw too in 2 .

7.05 Dee Ex Bee 13-8

This is the race I am looking forward to watch the most tomorrow. Dee Ex Bee is the stand out performer in line up. He was always highly regarded at the yard and since finishing 2nd in the Derby last year he has bumped into a couple of smart horses like Cross Counter in the Gordon Stakes and Kew Gardens in the St Leger. He made a winning reappearance in the Sagaro Stakes few weeks ago where he destroyed the field. He is an exciting prospect in the stayer’s division and is progressive. He should win this race tomorrow

7.35 Regal Reality 15-8 –

He made an encouraging reappearance in the Group 2 bet365 mile here few weeks ago when we were on Beat The Bank. He wasn’t beaten too far and the way he shaped that day tells me the extra 2 f will suit him.Before that he was 3rd in the Joel Stakes behind Mustashry and Zabeel Prince. Mustashry won the Lockinge and Zabeel prince won the Earl of Sefton Stakes at Newmarket recently.  He is an improving horse and there is more to come from him this year. His trainer has a fantastic record in race too and Sir Ryan takes the ride.

8.10 Sangarius 4-1 – One of our horses to follow last season and I think he could win some good races this year.

8.40 Greenside 7-2  NON RUNNER ( History Writer at 5-1 is the danger here and he could be winning very soon)

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Lucky 15 – 7.05 Dee Ex Bee 5-4 , 7.35 Regal Reality 15-8 , 8.10 Sangarius 3-1 , 8.40 Greenside 3-1 NON RUNNER ( @bet365)

Saturday 18th May

Newbury

1.50 Khaadem 5-1

3.00 Solid Stone 11-2 & Good Birthday 9-1

3.40 Lord Glitters 15-2 & Romanised 20-1 ( 4 places with few bookies)

Lord Glitters is one of the most reliable horses in training. If you back him you know you will  always get a run for your money. On his last start he was 3rd to super filly Almond Eye over at Meydan. He has always failed at the highest level but he has a good chance tomorrow in a very wide open race. He has decent place claims here and back him with bookies paying 4 places. He deserves to win a Group 1 race and it could be his day to shine.

Romanised is a Group 1 horse that I think is overpriced. He won the Irish Guineas on his 2nd start last year and the strong pace set by US Navy Flag on the day suited him perfectly.He then ran in Group 1 races where he was beaten by the likes of Without Parole, Alpha Centauri and Roaring Lion. He was 5th in the Gladness Stakes on his seasonal debut but he was given a tender ride. He would have been closer to winner if he got a clearer run on that day. Le Brivido finished an eyecatching 3rd but Romanised was giving him 5lb on the day. And Le Brivido is 4-1/9-2 fave while Romanised is 20-1. It’s a no brainer. He will have a strong pace tomorrow in the race and conditions are ideal too. He will relish quick ground and should run a good race. Its deffo worth a few quid each way with bookies paying 4 places.

4.50 Sea of Faith 11-4 (Notebook) – Eyecatching run behind our winner Sparkle Roll at Sandown Park. Missed the kick and ran green but once penny dropped she started running on strongly at the end. That Sandown race has worked out well now after the meeting at Salisbury where two horses (La Lune & Motivate Me) that finished well behind have won. King Power was thrashed by our Saturday winner Anapururna in the Oak Fillies race at Lingfield last weel. Sparkle Form herself didn’t run her race on ground that was too quick for her at York but we can forgive her. The danger in race could be Lavenders Blue.

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E/w Lucky 15 –1.50 Khadem 9-2 , 3.00 Solid Stone 5-1 , 3.40 Romanised 20-1, 4.50 Sea of Faith 5-2

Friday 17th May

York

1.50 Lady Kermit 4-1 ( Same stakes on @bet365 if you had What’s The Story earlier today at York, It’s bigger on @skybet where its money back as cash if 2nd or 3rd)

2.25 Twist N Shake 5-2 ( She finished 2nd to Maqsad at Newmarket and was narrowly beaten on the day. Maqsad, a confirmed Oaks runner went on to destroy the field in the Pretty Polly Stakes on her next start while Twist N Shake won very easily at Nottingham. She is stepping up in class here and should relish ground conditions too. One at a bigger price that could be a danger is Clerisy.)

3.00  Stradivarius evens (Ante Post) 

3.35 Mistiroc 12-1 (Notebook)

4.35 Tenax 11-2

5.05 Laafy 7-2

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Newbury – 2.10 Ice Age 7-1

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E/w Lucky 15 – 1.40 Lady Kermit 9-2 ,  2.10 Ice Age 13-2 , 3.35 Mistiroc 9-1 , 4.35 Tenax 11-2 (@WilliamHill)

Trixie – 2.25 Twist N Shake 5-2 , 3.00 Stradivarius 4-6, 5.05 Laafy 3-1 (@WilliamHill)

 

 

Thursday 16th May

TDH

York

1.50 Tommy Taylor 12-1 (4/5 places with bookies + Money back as cash if 2nd or 3rd with @skybet)

2.25 Lah Ti Dar should win this on her seasonal debut. She drops in class here and should prove to be a cut above this lot.

3.00 Too Darn Hot 7-4 (Ante Post) –

Our champ and cash machine horse of last year makes his seasonal debut in the Dante Stakes. He won the Dewhurst very easily last time and the third Anthony Van Dyck gave the form a nice boost last Saturday when he destroyed the field in the Lingfield Derby Trial. That Dewhurst race was the best performance  by any horse since Frankel. He is stepping up in trip here and I don’t think it will inconvenience him. He is a superstar and is very hard to oppose him. Still my brains say he won’t be running in Derby but lets see how he performs tomorrow. Line of Duty who did us a massive favour when winning at the Breeders Cup is one that will relish the distance and he could be a danger. Japan won the Beresford Stakes over a mile last time out and he is one of the leading contenders for the Derby. I think he will be saved for the Derby and won’t be given a hard time tomorrow. He might even need the run.

3.35 Whats The Story 12-1 ( Tricky race- 4/5 places with bookies )

4.05 Soldier’s Call 15-8

4.35 Hong Kong 6-4 NON RUNNER ( Not a race to bet with big stakes as most of these are newcomers but Hong Kong is one to keep an eye on for future races as he is regally bredhttps://twitter.com/kris1179/status/1128389413598375938

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E/w Trixie – 1.50 Tommy Taylor 12-1 , 3.00 Line Of Duty 15-2 ,3.35 What’s The Story, 11-1 ( @William Hill)

Double – 2.25 Lah Ti Dar & 3.00 Too Darn Hot ( 11-4 on @Skybet)

 

 

Wednesday 15th May

York 

1.50 Fujaira Prince 3-1

2.25 Staxton 9-1 & Sandra’s Secret 28-1 ( 5/6 places with bookies – Sylvestre De Sousa is 3/3 on this horse and she is a C&D winner. Forget the last run where jockey looked after her once her chances were gone. She is a big price considering she won off a lower mark last June for SDS)

3.00 Brando 5-1

3.35 Fresnel 16-1 ( Taking a chance with her as she was only 4th in the Listed Fillies race at Navan that the Oaks fave Pink Dogwood won. The 3rd that day Tarnawa went on to win the Group 3 Blue Wind Stakes last weekend. Fresnel ran  well on her seasonal debut. She traveled really well but was hampered at one point. She ran on strongly at the end to get fourth. She is over priced in market and worth a few quid each way)

4.05 Space Blues 7-1(Notebook)

5.05 Past Master 13-2

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E/w Lucky 15 – 2.25 Staxton 9-1 , 3.00 Brando 5-1 , 3.35 Fresnel 14-1 , 4.05 Space Blues 6-1 ( @William Hill)

 

 

Saturday 11th May

Ascot 

3.25 Bella Regazza 4-1

4.00 Ripp Orf 11-1 & Presidential 12-1 (Notebook )

4.35 Clan Royale 3-1

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Haydock –  3.10 Mister Fisher 13-2

Lingfield – 1.55 Anapurna 7-2 , 2.30 Cap Francais 9-2 (Notebook) , 3.40 Pretty Baby 11-4

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Lucky 15 –  2.30 Cap Francais 4-1 ,3.25 Bella Regazza 7-2 , 3.40 Pretty Baby 5-2 , 4.35 Clan Royale 11-4 (@bet365)

E/w Trixie – 2.30 Cap Francais 4-1 , 3.10 Mister Fisher 6-1 , 4.00 Ripp Orf 10-1 (@bet365)

 

* Don’t break the bank tomorrow as it looks tricky and soft/heavy ground isn’t helping too. Next week we have the Dante meeting to look forward to. Good luck

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