2.50 Aweedram 8-1 & Duke of Hazzard 20-1 ( 4/5 places with bookmakers. Interesting that Kingscote ,the king at Haydock decides to stick with Aweedram instead of riding Barristan The Bold for his boss. Re Duke of Hazzard, he is dropping into handicap company after running well last two times in Group races when beaten by Persian King. He is over priced in my opinion and he wasn’t disgraced in France last time in that Group 1 race.)
4.00 Mabs Cross 11-4
4.35 Signora Cabello 3-1
Goodwood -2.30 Mr Diamond 10-1 , 3.40 Mirage Dancer 11-10
York – 3.45 El Astronaute 8-1
3.00 Speak In Colours 4-1
3.35 Magna Grecia 5-4 (Ante Post)
Too Darn Hot being supplemented 2 days ago adds further spice to this race. I got on Magna Grecia last Monday thinking Too Darn Hot wouldn’t run and I am going to stick with him since I never change my minds. He won the 2000 Guineas for us very easily few weeks ago and he would have won wherever he was racing on the day. A few people questioned the pace bias where he was racing etc but that’s nonsense. Like i mentioned many times the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket last year has been working well and Persian King won the French Guineas a week later. I love the way he quickened away and put the race to bed last time. He will be a tough nut to crack tomorrow.
On the other side we have Too Darn Hot, one of our favorite horses in training. He ran a decent race in the Dante in my opinion where he showed he has trained on but he simply didn’t stay the trip. He was beaten by a very good horse in Telecaster and he will be more at ease back over a mile with a run under his belt. The quick turn around is a slight concern but Gosden wouldn’t have run him if he thought he needed time to recover from his York exertions. It was a nice comeback and I’ve noticed Frankie did get him switch off quite easily after leaving the stalls when he raced a bit keenly. Also he was carrying a bit of condition that day from TV pics and he will strip fitter tomorrow.
The only negative for Too Darn Hot if you believe in stats is that John Gosden is 2/18 with horses running back in Group 1’s having run in previous fortnight since 2003 ( Tony Keenan tweet). The two winners were Enable in King George and Persuasive in QEII at Ascot. I can see him going clear favorite tomorrow. If you think Too Darn Hot will win but have done Magna Grecia ante post then i will suggest a treble Too Darn Hot-Calyx (3.25 Sandy Lane Stakes tomorrow) -Magical (Tattersalls Gold Cup on Sunday) that pays around 11-4 with bet365 right now. Of course you have to play with your % to maximise profit for the two outcomes etc but i am sticking with Magna Grecia to win.
Lucky 15 – 3.35 Magna Grecia 6-4 , 3.40 Mirage Dancer 10-11, 4.00 Mabs Cross 3-1 , 4.35 Signora Cabello 11-4 ( @paddypower)
E/w Lucky 15 – 2.30 Mr Diamond 10-1 ,2.50 Duke of Hazzard 20-1 ,3.00 Speak in Colours 4-1 , 3.45 El Astronaute 7-1 ( @paddypower)