Saturday 13th July

Ascot

1.45 Tis Marvellous 7-1

4.00 Beat The Bank 10-3

4.35 Faylaq 6-4

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York – 2.40 Weekender  5-2 , 3.50 Setting Sail 10-1

Newmarket  – 3.30 Solar Gold 8-1 , 4.05 Chaleur 5-1 , 4.40 Advertise 3-1 & Ten Sovereigns 10-1(Notebook)

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Lucky 15-2.40 Weekender 5-2 ,4.00 Beat The Bank 3-1 , 4.35 Faylaq 5-4 , 4.40 Advertise 3-1 ( @skybet)

E/w Lucky 15 – 1.45 Tis Marvellous 7-1 ,3.30 Solar Gold 13-2,  3.50 Setting Sail 9-1, 4.40 Ten Sovereigns 9-1 (@bet365)

 

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Friday 12th July

Newmarket

1.50 The Trader 11-1 ( 5 places with @Skybet)

2.25 Daahyeh 13-8

3.00 Outbox 8-1(Notebook) & Desert Wind 18-1 ( 5 places with most bookies)

3.35 Qabala 7-2

4.10 Tsar 7-1

4.45 Breathtaking Look 9-2

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Trixie – 2.25 Daahyeh 6-4 , 3.35 Qabala 7-2 , 4.45 Breathtaking Look 9-2 ( @bet365)

E/w Lucky 15 – 1.50 The Trader 11-1 , 3.00 Outbox 15-2 , 4.10 Tsar 7-1 , 4.45 Breathtaking Look 4-1 (@skybet)

Thursday 11th July

Newmarket 

1.50 Barbados 4-1

2.25 Visinari 2-1 (Ante Post) – This is the horse that created a big impression over this C&D early June. He was second favorite for the Coventry at Royal Ascot and connections decided to bypass it to run here instead. He wasn’t fancied on his debut but he did win in the style of a very good horse. He traveled well and he quickened away smartly to win by more than 3 lengths. His speed figures according to the experts were very good and the form of his race has worked out well. Ryan Moore who rode him that day was very impressed too and mentioned he could be a Group horse in the making. The obvious danger is Guildsman who brings good form to the table after he finished within a length of our Coventry winner Arizona. If the favorite has an off day he could be the one to benefit. I am expecting to see a big run from Visinari tomorrow and I did snap up some 2-1 last Sunday. 

3.00 Top Breeze 14-1 & Dazzling Dan 10-1

3.35 Mirage Dancer 5-2

4.05 Dubai Paradise 7-4

4.40 Urban Icon 4-1 (Notebook)

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Lucky 15 – 1.50 Barbados 10-3 , 2.25 Visinari evens , 4.05 Dubai Paradise 5-4,  4.40 Urban Icon 7-2 (@bet365)

 

Saturday 6th July

enable33

Sandown

1.50 Muthmir 6-1

2.25 Mojito 7-1 & History Writer 8-1

3.35 Enable evens

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Haydock – 2.05 Sir Ron Priestley 5-2 , 3.15 Aquarium 14-1 (Notebook)

Beverley – 3.10 War Whisper 4-1

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Lucky 15 – 2.05 Sir Ron Priestley 5-2, 3.35 Enable evens , 3.10 War Whisper 7-2, 4.25 Summerghand 13-8  (@skybet)

E/w Trixie – 1.50 Muthmir 6-1 , 2.25 Mojito 7-1 , 3.15 Aquarium 14-1 ( @bet365)

 

* Lots of DM’s from people since yesterday but will get back to you all later. Don’t go too mad today as well. Just have fun and lets hope for a few winners or places. Someone at Sandown yesterday told me Rum Runner in 2.25 has an each way chance. Good luck all and hope the Queen does win the Eclipse later !!

 

 

 

 

Saturday 29th June

madhmoon2

Curragh

3.30 Addeybb 4-5 ( Non Runner)

4.40 Siskin 6-4

5.20 Madhmoon 3-1

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Newmarket – 2.05 Summer Romance 6-4 , 3.15 Limato 3-1

Newcastle – 2.25 Invincible Army 15-8 , 3.00 Coeur De Lion 6-1, 3.35 Proschema 12-1 (Notebook) & Dubawi Fifty 12-1

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Trixie – 2.05 Summer Romance 5-4  ,4.40 Siskin 6-4 , 5.20 Madhmoon 5-2 ( @bet365)

E/w Trixie –  2.45 Savalas 9-1, 3.00 Coeur De Lion 6-1 , 3.35 Dubawi Fifty 12-1 ( @skybet since they are paying out 4/6 places on the  2.45 , 3.00 and 3.35 )

 

* Don’t go mad on those races tomorrow since we don’t want to give all of our Royal Ascot winnings back. The 3 at the Curragh looked solid on paper while Summer Romance was very good last time. Ryan rides Addeybb instead of Aidan’s horse in race. Siskin is the one I have been waiting to see for weeks. Madhmoon is our Epsom Derby horse and he will run well tomorrow on a track that suits him better.

Limato loves Newmarket  ( 4 wins there )and could give a good display. Invincible Army isn’t a Group 1 horse yet which is why he didn’t win last Saturday at Ascot in the Diamond Jubilee but he is running in a Group 3 here and has obvious claims. Think Dubawi Fifty has a decent each way squeak and was our Ascot horse last year when 2nd to Lagostovegas in the Ascot Stakes. Proschema has been knocking on the doors lately and been subject to big gambles twice this year.  Coeur De Lion will be thereabouts as usual. Good luck

 

Royal Ascot Day 5 – Saturday 22nd June

Blue-Point-wins-Kings-Stand

Ascot 

2.30 Pinatubo 7-2

3.05 Space Blues 11-4 , Urban Icon 10-1 e/w (Notebook)

3.40 Southern France 9-2

4.20 Blue Point 3-1 , Bound For Nowhere 14-1 e/w

5.00 Cape Byron 14-1(Ante Post) & Hey Jonesy 14-1  ( Most bookies are paying 6 places. Skybet 7 places)

5.35 Cleonte 9-2

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Lucky 15 – 2.30 Pinatubo 7-2 , 3.40 Southern France 9-2, 4.20 Blue Point 9-4, 5.35 Cleonte 9-2 (@skybet)

E/w Trixie – 3.05 Urban Icon 10-1 , 4.20 Bound For Nowhere 12-1 , 5.00 Cape Byron 7-1 (@ladcrooks)

  • Godolphin could clean up tomorrow at Ascot and they are due big time. But nothing can be taken for granted in this game.

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2.30 Chesham Stakes (Listed)

This is a tough race for 2 year olds over 7f and it is a proper test of stamina for those horses. Here we have to look out for lightly raced horses who haven’t had a busy season so far. Fillies have a fantastic record in race having won it four times in the last 17 years. Aidan O’Brien has won this race four times recently with the likes of September, Churchill ,May be and Bach.  The interesting thing about those 4 winners is they went into the Chesham as having run only once previously. So it’s worth paying attention to what he runs here.

It’s been a race that has been kind to punters since 26 of the last 30 winners could be found in the top four in the betting. Twelve of those winners were either favorites or joint favorites. Three of the last 6 winners were beaten on their only start too which is interesting. Arthur Kitt was an emotional winner for connections last year and she did so after winning the maiden at Haydock. Mark Johnston and John Gosden are other trainers to note as they have won this three times in the past.

I have my eyes on Lope Y Fernandez and the well regarded Pinatubo. Just found an interesting stats about Lope Y fernandez in that Lope De Vega progeny have only won once in 30 attempts at the meeting ! I am happy to oppose him based on that. I watched Pinatubo 1st run at the donkey track where he did beat Platinum Star very easily. The latter ran well in the Windsor Castle yesterday when narrowly collared by Ryan Moore on Southern Hills. I saw Pinatubo in flesh at Epsom and he really stood out. That twinkle in Charlie’s eyes in winning enclosure when he pissed the Woodcote Stakes said it all. I think he will run a stormer tomorrow and the boys in blue are due !

Two horses that can go well at bigger prices are Harpocrates and Year of The Tiger. The first named was given to me before his 1st run but he bumped into the well regarded Siskin ( Don’t forget to back him when he runs in Railway Stakes soon). Year of the Tiger ran an eyecatching race last time when second to Lil Grey. Both have place claims and I wouldn’t put anyone off backing them.

Selection -Pinatubo 7-2

3.05 Jersey Stakes (Group 3 )

This used to be the opening race of the 2nd day at Royal Ascot but it’s been moved to Saturday this year. Normally you get a few horses that have run in the 2000 Guineas that do run here dropping back in distance. Expert Eye won this race for us last week when thundering home in the final furlong. Five of the last seven winners have in fact finished place in the Guineas at  so it’s worth keeping an eye on them if they take their chances in race.

Fillies have a poor record in race (all 17 that have ran since 1991 have lost) while the likes of Sir Michael Stoute and Aidan O’Brien have won it 4 times and 3 times respectively. Horses that are running with a penalty have been winning four of the last 8 renewals considering there has been 24 years of unpenalised winners before. Look out for horses that have had some recent form since 18 of the last 23 winners have finished in the first four.

Selection – Space Blues 11-4 , Urban Icon e/w

3.40 Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2 )

This should be renamed as the Michael Stoute race as the legendary trainer has won this race for a record 11 times. He won it with Crystal Ocean last year and this year the defending champion has been rerouted to the Prince of Wales. The likes of Snow Sky, Telescope or Dartmouth have all triumphed for the Stoute team in the last 5 years. Look out for horses aged 4 since they have won the last 11 renewals of this race.

Favorites have a fantastic record in race having won it five times in the last 9 years. Horses that are proven over 1m4f have an advantage and it’s those horses that are just below Group 1 level that normally wins this race. Other trainers that like to target this race are Mark Johnston and Aidan O’Brien who have won it four times and three times respectively in the last decade.

Masar runs here instead of the Prince of Wales and I think its the right decision. He hasn’t been seen since his win in the Epsom Derby last year and it would have been foolish to run him in a stronger race against the likes of Magical, Sea of Class or Crystal Ocean. This is a Group 2 race and is a weaker one. If he is fit and ready it will take a good one to lower his colours.

Ghaiyyath is the other Godolphin horse in race and he was very good when he made his comeback after injury in the Prix D’Harcourt at Longchamp. It was visually a very good performance and the way he accelerated and quickly put the race to bed was mesmerising. He was then pitched in Group 1 company where he got thrashed by the Group 1 performer Waldgeist that runs in the Prince of Wales on Wednesday. He made the running but was caught 2 f out and had nothing to give. I don’t think he is a Group 1 horse yet but he could make his presence felt here in this race now upped in trip.(Non Runner)

Southern France runs here for the O’Brien team rather than in the Gold Cup. This is a horse that I think will be winning a big race very soon. It’s a question of when and he has the look of a progressive horse. He was 2nd to Kew Gardens here last year in the Queen’s Vase where I don’t think he was given the best of rides if you remember the race and I am not talking out of my pockets. He also finished 3rd in the St Leger at Doncaster behind Kew Gardens and Lah Ti Dar. It was a very good run and was beaten by better horses on the day. He made his reappearance in the Vintage Crop Stakes this season but it was only a warm up to get him spot on for bigger races. He ran a stormer against Stradivarius in the Yorskhire Cup on his latest start. He traveled really well and took the lead 2 f out but you can’t beat a world beater like Stradivarius if you eyeball him as he will keep pulling more at the end. In all fairness that race would have him spot on for the Hardwicke and I wouldn’t put anyone off backing him as he has solid claims.

Mirage Dancer represents the Stoute team and he was very unlucky for us in the Wolferton Stakes last year at the meeting when he was hampered and didn’t get out in time. He hasn’t been out of the top two in his last 4 starts and goes in race with decent place claims. The race that he won at Goodwood on seasonal debut will have him spot on for race. He isn’t a Group 1 horse but a very good Group 2/3 horse. If the market principals have an off day this lad could benefit. I can’t see other horses in the race winning bar the ones I have mentioned above.

Selection – Southern France 9-2

4.20 The Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1 )

This is the feature race on the last day of Royal Ascot and it promises to be a very good race if they stand their ground. In this race you have to look out for horses with nice course form as ten of the last 23 winners have been placed at worst at this meeting before. Some horses do save their best for the course so it’s worth keeping an eye on those who have already performed well here. Since 2010 there have been four favorites who have won this race and they have had a pretty good record. Also there has been nine of the last 19 winners that have started at a double figure price.

Quite why this should be the case is surprising because Group and Listed race winners with a victory earlier in the season have won 14 of the last 24 renewals. Foreign raiders have a good record in race too and last year Merchant Navy was given a peach of a ride by Sir Ryan won for us in a thrilling finish with City Of Light.

Blue Point comes here once again to defend his crown. He has been one of my first ante post bets for Royal Ascot this year and has been saved for the race since romping away with the Al Quoz at Meydan. He has won three times from 4 starts at Ascot already and his only defeat came in the Commonwealth Cup when he got beat by the monster Caravaggio. He looked stronger this season and appeared to have mature as well judging from his runs at Meydan. He is the one to beat for me and let’s hope he can become the first horse since Choisir in 2003 to do the King’s Stand- Diamond Jubilee double.

Invincible Army heads the betting after two solid efforts so far this season. He disappointed here last year in the Commonwealth Cup and hasn’t won a Group 1 race up to date. He made his seasonal debut at Doncaster in the Cammidge Trophy Stakes where he showed a devastating turn of foot to win going away. He didn’t beat much that day as Major Jumbo or Equilateral are not really world beaters. He then followed up in the Duke of York where it was visually impressive once again but again he beat the likes of Major Jumbo , Yafta or old Limato. He meets proper Group 1 horses here and I am not sure if he is the right favorite. Major Jumbo let the form down when he was thrashed by Inns of Court in the Group 2 Prix Du Gros Chene.

Inns of Court represents the master trainer Andre Fabre who trains him for Godolphin. He ran a stormer in the Group 1  Prix De La Foret at Longchamp last October when he was only beaten in a photo by One Master.He won on his seasonal debut in Prix Servanne at Maisons-Laffitte earlier in season where he got the better of City Of Light who re opposes here. His last start was a winning one too when he took the Group 2 at Chantilly. He travels really well in his races and appears to be a stronger horse this year. Right now the 6-1 is fantastic value and that will shorten closer to race. (Non Runner)

City Of Light ,the son of Siyouni is back to try to make amend in this race after getting beat in a photo last year. We all remember how he came thundering home at Lingfield last year to beat the best sprinter on the AW in Kachy. He was 5th in the Group 1 Prix Maurice De Gheest at Deauville before getting thrashed by Mabs Cross in the Prix De L’Abbaye at Longchamp at the end of season. He’s only run once this season when he came 2nd but that race would have him spot on for this assignment. He has always ran well after a break and he has decent claims next week.

The Tin Man is a multiple Group 1 winner and won this race for us two years ago when he defeated Tasleet. He couldn’t defend his crown last year but ran a cracking race in 4th. He then went to Deauville where he finished 3rd in the Maurice De Gheest before romping away in the Group 1 Sprint Stakes at Haydock where he won on heavy ground. He wouldn’t mind the ground next week and has a squeak in the race. He couldn’t win again at Windsor few weeks ago but he was giving away plenty of weight and that race would have been used as a prep for this one.

Bound For Nowhere is a Wesley Ward trained horse that has some good form at Royal Ascot. He finished 4th to mighty Caravaggio in the Commonwealth Cup two years ago and he was 3rd in this race last year. He had only one run this season where he was beaten close home by Imprimis ( runs in King’s Stand on Tuesday – so keep an eye on what he does) at Keeneland.  Since this is a wide open race I wouldn’t be surprised if he runs well again + he has nice festival form too.

Sands of Mali is from the Fahey yard and is one who wouldn’t mind soft conditions if the rain keeps falling next week at Ascot. He has always run well at the course where he has never been out of the top 2 places in 2 starts. He was second here last year in the Commonwealth Cup and he won the Champion Sprint Stakes on British Champions Day by causing a big upset at 33-1. He had two runs this season where he was thrashed at Meydan by Blue Point in the Al Quoz and then at Hamilton where he was giving plenty of weight away. I won’t put people off if they decide to have a little flutter on him as he could surprise at a track he loves. I don’t think others are good enough to win so I will discount them.

Selection – Inns of Court 6-1(Non Runner) … Blue Point 3-1 & Bound for Nowhere 14-1

5.00 The Wokingham Stakes ( Heritage Handicap )

The penultimate race of the festival and I hope that by this time next week we are all counting our winnings and not relying on the last two races on Saturday to get out of jail. This is one of the most competitive races of the festival. Here we have to look out for four or five year olds horses that have won 17 of the last 20 renewals. We all remember our horse Dreamfield in race last year that was the subject of a monster gamble but he was beaten by 33-1 shot Baccus.

In fact the four year olds horses got 1-2-3-4-5 last year. No three year old has won since Liverpool won their 17th league title ! Lightly raced horses are to be noted as 12 of the last 17 winners had only raced once or twice in the season. Look out for horses that have good form last time out as 18 of the last 22 winners have finished in the first four last time. One trainer who normally does well in this race is Roger Charlton who had one winner, a second and five other top five finishes in recent seasons.

Selection – Cape Byron 14-1 & Hey Jonesy 14-1

5.35 The Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions)

We have arrived at the final race of the festival and by now it should be either beans on toast or Caviar & Champagne ! Hopefully the ground hasn’t turned into a slog by race time or it could become like a jump race. Winners of this race have regularly been competing at the highest level in Group races. In fact there were 14 of the last 26 winners that had finished in the top 6 in the three big staying races of the meeting before namely the Gold Cup, Ascot Stakes and the Queen Alexandra.

Six of the last seven renewals of this race have been won by the legendary Irish Champ Willie Mullins, Gordon Elliot and Mark Johnston with two wins each. It’s been normally a kind race for punters as class comes at the forefront and not most runners in race stay the trip especially if the ground has turned to very soft.

Selection – Cleonte 9-2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Royal Ascot Day 4 – Friday 21st June

hermosa

Ascot

2.30 Daahyeh 6-1

3.05 Private Secretary 4-1

3.40 Ten Sovereigns 5-1 (Ante Post) , Advertise 16-1 e/w (Ante post )

4.20 Hermosa 2-1 ( Ante Post)

5.00 Desirous 8-1 & Invitational 12-1(Notebook) ( 5/6 places bookies)

5.35 Baghdad 6-1 & Secret Advisor 16-1 ( 4/5 places with bookies)

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Lucky 15 – 3.05 Private Secretary 9-2 , 3.40 Ten Sovereigns 5-4, 4.20 Hermosa 5-6 , 5.35 Baghdad 6-1

E/w Lucky 15 – 2.30 Daahyeh 5-1, 3.40 Advertise 7-1 ,5.00 Invitational 12-1 , 5.35 Secret Advisor 14-1

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Link to Royal Ascot 2019 Analysis blog (Tues-Sat) – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2019/06/11/royal-ascot-2019-preview-stats-and-analysis/

Link to Royal Ascot 2019 blog Mutiples & Teams ( Tues-Sat) – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2019/06/16/royal-ascot-2019-few-multiples-and-the-teams/

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2.30 Albany Stakes (Group 3 )

This is a race reserved for 2 year old fillies and many good horses have ran in it in recent years.The French caused a big shock two years ago when Different League won it at big odds. No real stats or trends for this race but it’s important to note that two out of the 17 winners did contest a maiden last time out with ten winning that maiden and there were eight winners who were having just their second career start.

Pay attention to those who have course form at Sandown as they have delivered three winners. Richard Hannon like to target this race and he has three winners to his name and all three entered the race after winning their maiden races. Another trainer that needs to be monitored closely is Mick Channon. He also has three winners to his name and two of them have won at big odds. Another five from his 12 runners have finished in the first six in the race.

Selection – Daahyeh 6-1

3.05 The King Edward VII Stakes ( Group 3 )

This race has been very kind to punters in recent years as 16 of the last 25 winners have started favorite or second favorite. The Irish have a very poor record in the race too as they have won it only once in the last 44 years. Aidan O’Brien favorites have lost four times in the last 6 years of which three have started at no bigger than 6/5. It could be that the ones that ran in the Derby are tired and its a race that comes way too soon for them.You have to look for a horse that has won a Group race before or have been competing at the highest level. 19 of the last 23 winners had already won a Group race before which is quite high. Over the years it’s normally an unexposed horse that comes and win this race when they are sent over this trip for the first time.

I have my eyes on a Gosden horse in this race in Private Secretary. He was a good second to the well regarded Space Blues last year at Nottingham. He is unbeaten this season having won three times and that includes the Listed Cocked Hat Stakes on his last start at Goodwood. At one point he was entered for the Derby but they have aimed him at this race instead. He has progressed with every start and could develop into a smart horse.

I am not sure which horses Aidan O’Brien will be running here but it looks likely that Japan will be confirmed. He has been the Derby favorite for most winter. He ran in the Dante where he was awful but that was just a warming up race to get him fit for the Derby. He drifted to 22-1 on the day but ran a stormer to finish in the places. It was a very encouraging run and they have always thought highly about him. The only question mark I have about him is whether this race will come too soon for him and also I have that O’Brien stat at the back of my mind.

Selection – Private Secretary 4-1

3.40 The Commonwealth Cup ( Group 1 )

No real stats or trends for this race as it’s been only run since 2015. It is reserved for three year olds and it’s ran over 6f. It’s been won by some superstars like Muhaarar, Quiet Reflection and the mighty Caravaggio. Whenever I write about this race I can see myself shouting at Ryan on Caravaggio once he starts moving to the rail and telling him to press the turbo button. That win was epic and won’t forget it. It’s a shame that Calyx suffered an injury when he suffered a shock defeat in the Sandy Lane at Haydock few weeks ago.

Ten Sovereigns is at the top of the betting and he was unbeaten last season in 3 starts. In fact he was one of my first antepost bets that I did on him for this race at 5-1 once he won the Group 1  Middle Stakes at Newmarket where he got the better of Jash by 1/2 length over 6f. He is a sprinter which is all about speed and I was surprised they did start him over a mile in the 2000 Guineas. I suppose that you won’t know if horses stay or not if you don’t run them and this is what Aidan did with him. He ran creditably well that day but didn’t show the same pace over further against horses that are proven stayers. The 4th on the day Madhmoon went on to run very well in the Derby and was only beaten by 1/2 length. He is a smashing horse and you will see a different horse next week over the minimum trip. He travels really well in his race and this son of No Nay Never has a great turn of foot as well which can help to make all the difference at the business end.

Jash reopposes here and has very decent claims too. He has shown he has trained on too when he won the King Charles II Stakes at Newmarket over 7. He stayed on very well and pulled clear of his rivals once Dane O’Neil asked him the question. Hello Youmzain is the Kodiac colt trained by Kevin Ryan. He made his seasonal debut in the Greenham where he ran well to finish 4th. He then benefited from Calyx injury at Haydock to win the Sandy Lane Stakes but he showed he is a much improved horse as he quickened away smartly in the last 2f to put the race to bed. I wouldn’t put anyone off backing him as he has decent place claims.

Khaadem is a horse that I have been following closely since his 3rd to Calyx at Newmarket last year. He has won three times since and his latest success came in the Listed Carnavon Stakes at Newbury. That was a fantastic ride by James Doyle on the day and despite the drift he battled gamely at the finish to repel the challenge of Oxted and Barbill. I don’t think he is a Group 1 horse yet but he has place claims in the race. He is very talented and Charlie Hills has his string in good order as well which is a bonus.

Advertise seems to be the forgotten race in the race looking at the betting right now. He was only beaten under a length in the Coventry Stakes last year by Calyx. His biggest win came in the Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh where he was very impressive. He then finished 2nd in the Dewhurst behind the best two year old horse of last season in Too Darn Hot. He was stepped up in trip in the 2000 Guineas on his seasonal debut where he didn’t appear to stay as he weakened away tamely in the last furlong. We can always forgive a horse a bad run especially when it’s their first start of the season over a new trip.  He will be more at home over the minimum trip and I can see him running a big race. I am surprised he is still available at 16-1.

A little mention for the French raider Big Brothers Pride from the Jean Pierre Boudot stable. He won the Group 3 Prix Sigy recently at Chantilly where he showed a nice turn of foot but if the ground is very soft next Friday I wouldn’t be surprised to see him run well. Far Above finished 4th behind Jash in the King Charles II Stakes and was a little bit rusty. He won very easily on his next start at Windsor but he will need to improve a bit to worry the market leaders.

Selection – Ten Sovereigns 5-1 (Ante Post) , Advertise 16-1 e/w

4.20 The Coronation Stakes (Group 1 )

This is the feature race on Friday and it promises to be an exciting one as it was last year when Alpha Centauri broke the track record to complete the Irish Guineas-Coronation double.There has been few surprises in this race over the years but 16 of the last 19 winners were no bigger than 6-1 with ten starting favorite or joint favorite. The 1000 Guineas at Newmarket has been responsible for providing ten of the last 16 winners. Trainers who have a good record in this race are Sir Michael Stoute  who won it four times , Aidan O’Brien with 3 wins to his name and John Gosden with 2.

Hermosa has been rerouted here instead of going for the French Oaks on Sunday and she comes here with a solid chance after winning both Irish and English Guineas. She has progressed a lot this season and looks a serious horse on what we have seen so far. She was third to Skitter Scatter in the Moyglare and then finished second to Iridessa in the Fillies Mile at Newmarket. She again finished second in another Group 1 at Chantilly behind Royal Meeting. She was unfancied in the 1000 Guineas but showed her class when she made all before staying on strongly in the closing stages to beat the ill fated Lady Kaya and Qabala. A few weeks later she went to the Irish 1000 Guineas where she was even more impressive. She gave a good beating to Pretty Pollyanna that day and won like a 1/3 shot. She seemed to have improved again and her turn of foot is a real asset. She travels well in all her races and will be very hard to beat next Friday. She rates as one of the banker of the festival if she is in same form as she was in May and could become the tenth Irish Guineas winner to follow up here in the last 32 years.

Jubiloso represents the Stoute team and is the unknown in the race. She could be anything and this Sharmadal filly looked the part when she won on debut at Newbury. She took up the running and won very easily. The fact that she has a lethal turn of foot could help her but she will need to improve a bit to reach the level of Hermosa who has plenty of Group 1 form in the book and has proven it against better horses.But she is a very exciting filly and when Stoute throws one of her maiden winners straight into a Group 1 you do take notice immediately !

Castle Lady flies the flag for France in the race and she was the winner of the French 1000 Guineas at Lonchamp back in May. She narrowly got her nose ahead that day beating Commes and East. The latter has since disappointed and the form of that race doesn’t look that strong to me. The fifth that day Matematica also let the form down on her next start when she was well beaten in the Prix Sandringham.

Pretty Pollyanna is the other proven Group 1 horse in the race and she comes here on the back of a good second behind Hermosa in the 1000 Guineas at the Curragh. She lost her way towards the end of last season when she was 3rd to Iridessa in the Fillies Mile. Before that she disappointed in the Cheveley Park Stakes when she finished 4th but to be fair she wasn’t given the best of rides. She won the Group 1 Prix Morny in France as well as the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes on the July course. If she takes her chance next well she will go there with decent place claims and isn’t one to be discounted. If Hermosa has an off day she could be the one to benefit with Frankie on board.

I have plenty of time for Qabala and she was a very good winner for us in the Nell Gwyn Stakes at Newmarket on seasonal debut. She landed a big gamble on the day. She then ran a stormer in the 1000 Guineas and wasn’t beaten far in third. She disappointed in the Irish version at the Curragh but she wasn’t right as she was found to be lame after the race. She was being pushed after 2 furlong and was never travelling. That wasn’t her true running and let’s hope she is 100% fit next week. I don’t think she will reverse the form with Hermosa but she will have decent place claims if she is in the line up next week.

Maqsad is another one of my favorite horses in training and she has won 2 races already this season. This daughter of Siyouni won her maiden race at Newmarket back in April when she narrowly got the better of Twist N Shake. She then followed up at the same track when she annihilated the field in the Pretty Polly Stakes. She is such a strong traveler and has a terrific turn of foot. She was then sent to the Epsom Oaks where she stepped up in trip. She traveled like the best horse in the race till the 2f post but she simply didn’t stay the trip. The jockey looked after her once he knew she couldn’t win. She comes here with a live chance now she is dropped back in trip. I saw her in the flesh at Epsom and she looked like a million dollars. I am sure she will run a good race next week. The only concern is the Haggas stats at Royal Ascot in the last 6 years- 71 runners and 71 losers ! (Non Runner)

Of the rest I can’t see anything that can cause an upset or trouble the market leaders. The likes of Matematica, Foxtrot Liv or East are simply not good enough. For the winner I think Hermosa will take the beating and she is a good thing for this race.

Selection – Hermosa 2-1 ( Ante Post)

5.00 The Sandringham Stakes ( Listed-Handicap)

This is a race reserved for 3 year old fillies and it has been run as a handicap race for the first time last year. It has been a race for punters recently since only 3 of the last 23 winners could not be found in the top 6 in the betting. Agrotera won this well for us last year when she landed a monster gamble.She defied the stats that day and became the first last time out maiden since 2000.

Whatever Jamie Spencer is riding needs to be under close scrutiny since he is the man for these races having won it four times since 2006. Like I have mentioned previously Jamie is one of the best jockeys riding a hold up horse over the straight mile at Ascot. Look out for a Nell Gwyn runner as they tend to run well in this race. Also there has been 18 winners from the last 23 that have already won previously so this is a strong stat. There has been recently two winners that were placed in the Pretty Polly Stakes won by Maqsad that have won this race after dropping back in trip. The two trainers that like to target this race are Mark Johnston and John Gosden. The latter had 8 runners making the frame out of the last 22. Mark Johnston has five winners to his name in the race.

The likes of Mark Johnston and John Gosden like to target this race so it’s worth to pay attention to what they run. Gosden’s 8 runners from 21 have all made the frame in this race. Michael Bell and Ed Dunlop are other trainers worth mentioning as they know how to win this race with fillies having each won it twice. Two other trainers who have a decent record in race are Ed Dunlop and Michael Bell so it’s worth paying attention to what they will be running here.

Selection -Desirous 8-1 & Invitational 12-1

5.35 The Duke of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap)

This is another tough little race where the draw played an important role in the last few years. You have to look out for horses drawn wider in double figure stalls since it’s run over the 1m4f trip. Horses drawn in 19 won the last 2 renewals and even those who were placed got a high draw. Also pay attention to last time out winners since they have won 11 of the last 23 runnings. The ideal horse should be a 4 or 5 year old coming here off the back of a victory and who is drawn high. Horses that were drawn wider in double figure stalls have won the last eight renewals of this race

. Dash of Spice won this race for us last year and he was drawn in stall 14. In 2017 the first , second and fourth were drawn in 19.18 and 17 respectively. And in 2016 the first, second and third were drawn in 19,13 and 15. This race has been tough for punters to solve recently as there has been some big price winners in the last 12 years. 13 of the last 25 renewals of this race have been won by horses that have been in the top 4 in the betting excluding the favorite. Sir Michael Stoute has a cracking record in the race having won it 6 times from his last 18 runners and also had 3 runners ups. Mark Johnston has won it three times as well.

Selection -Baghdad 6-1 & Secret Advisor 16-1