Saturday 6th June

Pinatubo

Newmarket

1.50 Shades of Blue 6-1 ( 5 places with William Hill)

2.25 Magic Lily 10-3

3.00 Waldkonig 5-4

3.35 Pinatubo (18-1 Ante Post)

He is the star attraction of the day and it will be disappointing if he didn’t deliver tomorrow. He is unbeaten in 6 starts and has won 2 Group 1’s namely the National Stakes and the Dewhurst. He is the horse to beat and if you paid attention to my Royal Ascot blog from last year you would have been on some decent prices a year later.I know a few of you are on at very nice prices 🙂  I was at Epsom when I saw him in flesh and I was very taken with the manner in which he won the Woodcote. In the winners enclosure I managed to overhear a conversation between Charlie and Richard Hannon since I was very close to them. I was on Richard’s horse Oh Purple Reign on the day that came 2nd. Basically Charlie told him that he has a future star and asked him to back him for Ascot.

The rest is history as he won the Chesham at Ascot and went to destroy the field in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood. His most impressive win came in the National Stakes where he demolished the opposition and had Arizona who re opposes tomorrow 10 lengths behind. This was a breathtaking performance and he was given a rating of 128 which is phenomenal for a juvenile. Arizona got within 2 lengths of him in the Dewhurst but that was on soft going.

I really can’t see him getting beat tomorrow if we see the same horse as we did last year. The vibes coming from the stable are strong and I am very confident he will win tomorrow. The negatives will be whether he has trained on or if other horses have caught up with him. He is odds on now and he should be a 1-2 shot in my book. He will relish the ground and also has experience running at Newmarket which is vital especially when they come down that dip that has caught many good horses before.

At bigger prices I think Wichita represents decent value for each way thieves and I will give a little shout to Mum’s Tipple (everyone was raving about him when he won first time at York but he can be forgiven for a bad run in the Middle Park). But it’s hard to look beyond Pinatubo and we will see confirmation of a true superstar tomorrow.

============================================================================

Newcastle – 2.40 Ispolini 11-2 , 3.15 Acquitted 9-2

============================================================================

Lucky 15 -2.25 Magic Lily 10-3 , 3.00 Waldkonig 11-10, 3.35 Pinatubo 5-6, 3.15 Acquitted 9-2 ( William Hill)

E/w Trixie -1.50 Shades of Blue 6-1, 2.40 Ispolini 11-2 , 3.15 Acquitted 9-2 ( William Hill)

 

* It’s been ages since I last wrote a blog and the last time was on the 14th March at Cheltenham. This seems like an eternity and so many things have been happening since. I hope you and your whole family have been keeping well. A special thought to all those of you who have lost loved ones during the pandemic. Also I was happy to hear from a few of you who did recover from the virus. Let’s hope this thing goes away soon so we can get back to normality.

Racing has been back since Monday and there have been lots of upsets with big outsiders winning a lot of races. I am treating it as start of season where horses need the run or we are seeing lots of unfit horses that will eventually get better as the season progresses. You don’t have to bet daily or in every race. Instead just switch on the TV, put your feet up and start putting horses in your tracker/notebook for future references.

Remember bookies need the money badly and have already loaded their wheelbarrows for the week ! I would simply urge you not to have a bet just for the sake of it as this is often the downfall of many punters. Royal Ascot will soon arrive and it might be a different festival this year for obvious reasons but we will try to find a few winners but don’t get your expectations too high like in previous years 🙂 Good luck tomorrow and as always gamble responsibly.

 

 

Friday 13th March – Cheltenham Day 4

Al Boum Photo

Cheltenham

1.30 Solo 4-1

2.10 Ciel De Neige 8-1 & Mohaayed 11-1 ( 6 places with @Skybet)

2.50 Latest Exhibition 6-1* & Harry Senior 10-1*

3.30 Al Boum Photo 4-1*

4.10 Hazel Hill 8-1 ( Ante Post)

4.50 Chosen Mate 11-2 & Eclair De Beaufeu 15-2

5.30 Column of Fire 7-1(Notebook) * & Five Oclock 10-1 ( 6 places with paddypower)

* denotes prices available when i posted my festival preview blog on Monday.

===========================================================================

Lucky 15 -1.30 Solo 4-1 , 2.50 Latest Exhibition 9-2 , 3.30 Al Boum Photo 10-3  , 5.30 Column of Fire 13-2 ( @paddpower)

E/w Lucky 15 – 2.10 Ciel De Neige 8-1 , 4.10 Hazel Hill 11-2 ,4.50 Chosen Mate 5-1 , 5.30 Five Oclock 10-1 ( on @skybet as they are paying 6 places )

============================================================================

1.30 JCB Triumph Hurdle

This is a tough race for novice hurdlers and is ran at break neck speed over 2m1f. There is much less luck in running these days and the class horses with graded form have been dominating in last few years.  Sir Erec suffered a fatal injury last year in race which was won by Pentland Hills at 33-1 . 12 of the last 15 Triumph winners could be found in the first four of the betting. Look out for French bred horses as they have an outstanding record in race having won five of the last eleven renewals and also had 9 from the 15 win and placed horses since 2015

Nicky Henderson has seven wins to his name in race while Paul Nichols and Alan King have both won it twice. The best guides to this race has been the Adonis Hurdle and the Spring Juvenile Hurdle. They have provided 11 winners between them in the last 20 years. The Irish have a fantastic record in the race too having won it four times in last seven years. The Adonis Hurdle that was won by SOLO recently at Kempton has supplied 5 winners in the last 20 years and this monster of a horse will try to win this race next Friday.  However, the Irish have won four of the last eight runnings including a 1-2-3-4 in 2016 and 2018. They also supplied the second, third, fourth and fifth in between. Gordon Elliott has a superb record with his 4yos at the Festival having won both the Triumph and Fred Winter twice in recent years and also supplied two Triumph runners-up.

Solo heads the betting after his demolition job in the Adonis at Kempton. He surged at the top of the market after winning impressively. He was a horse that I was told to bet 3 months ago and he didn’t disappoint when he had his first run. He traveled really well ,jumped fluently and quickened away smartly in the style of a very good horse. He is trained by the champion trainer Paul Nichols who last did the double Adonis-Triumph with Zarkandar. He will be very hard to beat if he is in the same form. The triumph isn;t easy though as its mostly won by unexposed horses at big odds. Pentland Hills springs to mind from last year.

Next in the betting is Goshen from the Gary Moore yard. Most people are raving about this one too but he only won 3 mickey mouse races at odds on and I really don’t know what he beat. He did thrash Nordano by 11 lengths at Ascot and the latter went on to win the handicap hurdle on this next start but I wouldn’t get too carried away with the form. Goshen has jumped to his right a few times during his races too and he can’t afford to do that against better horses on a track like Cheltenham.

Allmankind represents the Skelton yard and he comes here on the back of 3 wins from 3 this season.He won the Juvenile Trial Hurdle at Cheltenham where he beat Gary Moore’s Botox Has and Nordano by 14 lengths. He then went on to win the Grade 1 Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle at Chepstow when he once again beat Nordano and Cerberus. The latter finished 3rd in the Grade 1 Spring Juvenile Hurdle in Ireland won by A Wave of The Sea. As you can see he has some solid form in the book unlike Goshen.

Aspire Tower was the favorite of this race since he won the Grade 2 Knight Frank Juvenile Hurdle by miles. He made such an impression that day that he jumped straight to being fave for this race. A Wave Of The Sea was beaten by over 18 lengths. The latter reversed the form when he landed the Spring Juvenile Hurdle in Dublin but Aspire Tower fell at the second last but he was beaten by then. We can forgive him that fall as it happens but he is an each way to nothing in race and he has been overlooked. I better have him than bet Goshen anyway. A Wave of The Sea is overpriced too since he is a Grade 1 winner and he could be the dark horse in race.

Selection – Solo 7-2

2.10 Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle

Punters used to like this race before as you could find the winner quite easily but it has become very tricky in the last ten years or so.No favorites have won this race in the last 14 years.  Eight of the last 12 winners have been sent off at odds of 20-1 and above. Novices with handicap experience have a fine record and Irish trainer runners have dominated winning 8 of the last 12 renewals including a clean sweep 3 years ago when they occupied the top 6 positions. 12 of the last 15 winners were aged five or six. Take particular note of 5 year olds with ten wins in the last 21 years. The Irish have a tremendous record in race having won it eight times in the last 13 renewals.

You need to find a horse with speed and stamina. First or second season hurdlers have won 12 of the 13 renewals up to and including 2017.  Some trainers as usual like to target this race. One of which is Paul Nichols who has an excellent record in race having won it 4 times. Dan Skelton won it three times since 2016 with Mohaayed ,Superb Story and last year’s winner Ch’tibello so keep an eye on his runners too that could be well handicapped. Willie Mullins also likes to target this race and has won it four times since 2010. The Imperial Cup winner (run on Saturday 9th March) needs to be followed closely if he lines up here as they have a habit of following up in this race.

Selection – Ciel De Neige 8-1 & Mohaayed 11-1

2.50 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle (Grade 1 )

This can be a war of attrition especially on rain softened ground. Stamina is a key issue in this gruelling 3 mile Novice Chase. You basically need a horse that stays all day, one that is a fluent jumper and one that travels well in his races. Lots of experience over hurdles has been a huge asset both in terms of number of hurdles runs and length of career. Second season novices have a good record and six of the last 15 winners had run over hurdles the previous season. Cheltenham form counts a lot as there have been 9 winners in the last 15 that already ran at the course before. It’s been a poor race for favourite backers in the last few years. The last 6 winners have gone off at big odds like 50-1/33-1/16-1/11-1/33-1/14-1 all from outside the top 5 in the market. Minella Indo caused a huge upset in last year’s race to win at 50-1 on the Friday which is generally a big bookies day!

Thyme Hill heads the betting for the Hobbs team and since finishing 3rd in that hot bumper at the festival won by Envoi Allen he has simply won all the 3 races he contested. He re appeared in the Persian War at Chepstow where he beat a subsequent Grade 1 winner in Fiddlerintheroof . He then went to contest the Ballymore Trial race at Chelteham where he stayed powerfully at the end to win with ease. His big success came at Newbury where he won the Challow Hurdle by beating The Cashel Man. He traveled well in his races and has stamina in abundance. He will relish the ground if it turns into a slog.

Monkfish represents the Mullins yard and he has won his last 2 races in good style but I am not too sure about his form and what he did beat. Plus the Mullins record in this race isn’t too inspiring. I think only Penhill won for him and before that he had like 24 consecutive losers.  Latest Exhibition is one I have been monitoring for few weeks now. He hasn’t been out of the top 2 in his 6 races up to date and his form has more substance to it. He was 2nd to Abracadabras at Navan and then went on to beat the well regarded Andy Dufresne at the same track a few weeks later. The way he rallied despite making a jumping mistake told me that he was a very good horse and this wasn’t a fluke win. And his big win came at the Dublin festival when he won the Grade 1 Nathaniel Lacy & Partners Sollicitors which is the most notable irish guide to this race. He stayed on powerfully at the end and showed his class to win this prestigious race.

Harry Senior is another horse that I have my eye on and he won really well for us at Cheltenham last time. He flew up that hill and quickened really well on soft ground. He gave  Edwardstone a scare at Aintree and the latter’s form tie well with the likes of Fiddleroftheroof and Chantry House. He is a young progressive horse and he could reach the highest level very soon. That race could come a little bit early for him but he will give you a good run for your money plus he has good course form too.

Selection – Latest Exhibition 6-1 & Harry Senior 10-1

3.30 Magners Cheltenham Gold Cup

This is one of the highlights of the festival and the feature race on the day. It’s one of those races that every jockey, owner or trainer want to win. It’s a unique test in that it brings together all the best staying chasers that are fit and well. 13 of the last 19 winners had finished first or second at the festival and 13 of the last 14 winners were running in this race for the first time. All 78 horses aged 10 or older have been beaten in this race including 4 favorites.

Backers of Santini, Delta Work and Lostintranslation will be happy to know that second season chasers have an outstanding record in race having won 15 of the last 30 renewals.  Also do take note of festival form as 20 of the last 22 winners had run at the festival before with Coneygree being the exception. Out of the last 18 winners  there were 13 that had finished first or second at the festival before. Also the Gold Cup winners have been those running in it for the first time recently ( 13 from 15 )

Normally the horses that have won top Grade 1 races are the ones to concentrate on since they have won the last 20 renewals of the Gold Cup. 16 of the last 19 winners could be found in the top 3 of the betting. The main contenders are normally the ones that have been winning this race recently. Paul Nichols has won it 3 times , Henderson twice , Gordon Elliot once and Willie Mullins finally broke his duck last year with Al Boum Photo after finishing 2nds six times before. The King Georges at Kempton ( won by Clan Des Obeaux) and the Savills Chase, formerly know as Lexus ( won by Delta work) have been the best guides as 17 of the last 19 winners have ran in one of those races.

Al Boum Photo is the defending champion and he comes into the race after having the exact preparation like last year. He looked very good at Tranmore in the Savills Chase and he attacked his fences with such precision that you wouldn’t have known it was his first competitive race for nearly 8 months. After winning the Gold Cup last year he finished 2nd to a very good Kemboy in what was Ruby Walsh final ride. In my opinion he is the one to beat in this race and it will take a very good one to lower his colours.

Santini was our RSA horse last year but unfortunately he finished 2nd in a race that has worked really well so far. He made his re appearance at Sandown Park in the Intermediate Chase which he won by a short head. He then won the Cotswold Chase at Cheltenham getting the better of Bristol De Mai on the run in. I was surprised by how well he traveled and he was much fitter on the day . He made jumping errors and this is why I am opposing him this time as he will be running against better horses and you can’t afford to make too many mistakes.

Delta Work has been the revelation this season in this division. He finished 3rd in that RSA last season before winning the Grade 1 at Punchestown. He made his seasonal debut at Down Royal in the Champion Chase where he was 4th and not really fully fit. He improved for that run on his following start and won the Grade 1 Savills Chase at Leopardstown over Xmas and reversed the form with his conqueror at Down Royal in Road To respect. That was a very good jumping performance and he got the better of Kemboy in the Irish Gold Cup at the Dublin festival. He showed his class once again and jumped really well. He stayed on strongly at the end to win going away. That was very impressive and he is a more mature horse this year. He is an each way bet to nothing in race.

Clan Des Obeaux retained his King George crown last December and annihilated the field in the process. It was a joy to see him jumping for fun and he showed that he is still a force to contend with in this division. He was 2nd in that Down Royal chase on his seasonal debut but Nichols used race as a preparation for his King Georges race. He finished 5th in that race last year and if he jumps like he did at Kempton then I can’t see why he will not be in the places this time.

I had high hopes for Lostintranslation this season but he disappointed in the King George. He will always hit a few fences and for that reason I can’t side with him. I know he won the Betfair Chase for us at Haydock where he was very good but he only had to beat Bristol De Mai to be honest while Frodon isn’t that good over this trip.

Presenting Percy could be another dark horse in the race and to be honest he wasn’t beaten far in his races this season. He made his seasonal debut in the John Durkan where he was 3rd to Min. He then finished 5th in the Savills Chase and then was 3rd in the Irish Gold Cup in Dublin. If you look carefully at this race you would notice how well he traveled and jumped that day but a bad mistake 2 out cost him the race. He has an each way squeak in the race. I can’t see the others beating the above mentioned horses but for the winner I am siding withthe reigning champion Al Boum Photo as I can’t find any negative for him and he has been prepared all season to peak in this race.

Selection – Al Boum Photo 4-1

4.10 St James Place Foxhunter Challenge Cup Open Hunters Chase

This is a race reserved for amateur riders and is ran over the distance of 3 miles and 2 furlongs. The key piece of Festival form has been the Foxhunter itself as 9 of the last 18 winners this century had ran at the meeting before. Look out for last time out winners as they have won 26 of the 34 renewals. The Irish had a stranglehold in the race having won it six times till Paul Nichols put an end to that sequence with Pacha Du Polder in 2017 and 2018. 17 of the last 28 winners have been aged nine or younger. Horses aged over ten have won this race only 5 times in the last 29 runnings.

Hazel Hill won this race for us last year and he is back to defend his title once again. He suffered a defeat on his re appearance at Wetherby when he got beat by Minella Rocco but he was giving away 4lb against a fitter rival who already had a run under his belt. I am pretty sure he will  come on a lot for this run. His jumping to the right is a slight concern.

Minella Rocco is a veteran now but has won at the festival before. He has a touch of class about him and he won the Willoughy Hunters Chase at Warwick when he benefited from Bob and Co misfortune. The latter looked good till the jockey jumped off the horse at the 2nd last when in the lead. He is the value in the race and if he isn’t saved for Aintree then he has a good chance. Of the rest Shantou Flyer and Top Wood could once again feature at the finish being a year wiser and more experienced.

Selection – Hazel Hill 8-1 (Ante Post)

4.50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase

This race used to be the final race of the festival but they’ve switched it with the Martin Pipe this season. It’s another tricky race for punters but by then I hope we will all be well ahead and not relying on this race to save the festival! The quality of this 2m handicap chase has improved year on year and seven of the last nine winners were rated at least 140. No winner has carried more than 10 st 13lb in this race. Four of the last ten winners were novices and this has been a good race for novices with 13 winners in the last 38 renewals. Favorites have a very poor record in race having won it once in last 14 years. The winner last year namely Croco Bay won at a massive 66-1.

There were nine double figure priced winners in this race since 2006 of which seven were sent off at 16-1 +. The Irish have a fantastic record in the race having won it 7 times with 5 runners ups in the last 20 renewals. Do take note of Irish trained horses that ran over hurdles on their last start as 3 of their 6 last winners did so. JP Mcmanus horses need to be be followed as he won this race 3 times in the last eight years. He also had 2 seconds during the same period. Nicky Henderson also likes to target Dad’s race as I call it. He had 2 winners and 4 runners up in the race. A dozen of his horses have been placed too from 37 runners. He likes to run his novices in this race so do pay attention. Few horses on my radar include Chosen Mate, Bun Doran Eamon an Cnoic

Selection – Chosen Mate 11-2 & Eclair De Beaufeu 15-2

5.30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle

This is the handicap race that is ran over the distance of 2 miles 4 furlongs. The Martin Pipe is a race where the emphasis has firmly been on stamina at the trip. It’s not surprising to see plenty of winners stepping back down in trip. All eleven winners were first or second season hurdlers aged five or six. Favorites have a bad record in race having won only once in the ten renewals. Top weights have won the last 2 renewals in Blow by Blow and Early Door last year.

Gigginstown have won it 4 times so its worth paying attention to their horses entered in race. Willie Mullins has won it 3 times with one of my fave horses Sir Des Champs, Don Poli and Killultagh Vic. Gordon Elliot won it in the last 2 and Nichols won it with Salubrious and Ibis Du Rheu. Gordon likes to target this race so it’s worth paying close attention to horses he is running here. It’s been profitable to follow last time out winners. It’s also worth mentioning to keep a close eye on the Irish horses that are making their handicap debuts. They have a good strike rate in race. I have a few horses on my radar such as Column of Fire, The Bosses Oscar and Front View

Selections –Column Of Fire 7-1 & Five Oclock 10-1

 

 

 

Thursday 12th March – Cheltenham Day 3

Paisley Park

Cheltenham

1.30 Faugheen 5-1 ( For those interested skybet are doing money back as cash up to £10 if your horse is 2nd,3rd,4th or 5th )

2.10 Welsh Saint 13-2 & Kilbricken Storm 20-1

2.50 A Plus Tard 9-4 *

3.30 Paisley Park 7-2/3-1 (Ante Post)

4.10 Deyrann De Carjac 9-1 & Death Duty 20-1 ( 6 places with @Skybet)

4.50 Concertista 12-1* & Dolcita 8-1*

5.30 Le Breuil 13-2 & Plan Of Attack 10-1

* denotes prices available when i posted my festival preview blog on Monday. Hope you did read the bit about Concertista that was well overpriced anyway.

============================================================================

E/w Lucky 15 -1.30 Faugheen 9-2 , 4.10 Deyrann De Carjac 10-1, 4.50 Concertista 5-1, 5.30 Plan Of Attack 10-1 ( @bet365)

Little E/w Trixie – 2.10 Kilbricken Storm 16-1 , 4.10 Death Duty 20-1 , 5.30 Le Breuil 6-1 ( @skybet)

Skybet Double – 2.50 A Plus Tard and 3.30 Paisley Park @ 9-2. Basically getting 9-2 on A Plus Tard!

============================================================================

Festival Preview link – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2020/03/01/cheltenham-2020-10th-13th-march-festical-preview-stats-and-analysis/

Multiples Link – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2020/03/09/cheltenham-2020-the-teams-and-a-few-multiples/

1.30 Marsh Novices Chase

We don’t have many trends or stats about this race as it’s fairly new one and was most commonly known as the JLT. This race has been all about class since the last seven winners had won a pattern race over hurdles and Defi Du Seuil,the current Champion Chase favorite won this last year when he got the better of Lostintranslation in an epic finish on the hill.You tend to look at horses that have ran well at previous festivals who come here to try and win again. Backers of Faugheen and Samcro might like this. The likes of Vautour, Yorkhill and Defi Du Seuil spring to mind. More emphasis is placed on speed rather than stamina.

Six of the 8 JLT winners had won their previous start and the other 2 came close to doing so. You need to find a class horse with pure natural ability and one that can jump at speed too. All nine winners so far ran at the previous festival. The Irish have a tremendous record having won 7 of the 9 renewals of this race. All 8 winners were aged 6 or 7 while four of them had won a Grade 1 Novice Hurdle before. Willie Mullins like to target this race and has won 4 races since 2011 and Faugheen or Alaho could give him a formidable five they line up here.

Itchy Feet heads the betting and represents Olly Murphy. The latter was confident of a good run next week in a preview that I attended recently The horse ran a stormer in the Supreme when he finished 3rd behind Klassical Dream. He made his seasonal debut at Kempton where he finished 4th. He made his chasing debut in a mickey mouse race at Leicester which he won very nicely. On his last start he won the Grade 1 Scilly Isles at Sandown Park where he stayed on strongly on the run in to get the better of Midnight Shadow. He is prone to the odd mistake but if he gets his ground conditions or if its heavy ground expect this fella to be battling it out at the finish. If the ground dries out then its chances will be reduced.

I have touched on Allaho previously but if he runs here instead of RSA then he will have a cracking chance of winning too. Mister Fisher represents the Henderson yard and he made his chase debut at Warwick where he was beaten by Torpillo. He then went to Cheltenham to win the Novice Chase and give a beating to Good Boy Bobby and he followed up in the Lightning Stakes at Doncaster. On both occasions he jumped really well and showed a good attitude. His jumping has improved from each race and he comes here with a lively chance.

Samcro is back at Cheltenham where he won the Ballymore two years ago. Things haven’t worked for him since with few injuries that have kept him out and a year wasted over hurdles. He had a wind op and that could galvanise him. He fell in the Drinmore when he apparently was travelling the best but we will never know if he would have beaten a very good Fakir D’Oudairies that day. He was then sent to Limerick over Xmas and a fascinating clash with Faugheen awaited him. He made a few jumping mistakes and wasn’t jumping at speed. He was back on the bridle after those mistakes but that eventually cost him the race. I hope that we see the real Samcro but my brains are saying he is too slow at his fences and is prone to making the odd mistake. At Cheltenham if Samcro made those same mistakes like he did at Limerick then he will be cooked a long way from home.

Faugheen has been the revelation this season in the Novices division. It has taken many years for Willie to send him chasing but now aged 12 he will be trying to defy all stats and trends in the race. He is an extraordinary racehorse and the fact that he is lightly raced gives him every chance in the race. He also has course form and it will be a remarkable story if he could win again at Cheltenham. He has won 2 Grade 1 ‘s already this season in the Ireland and his latest success in the Flogas was pure class. He still has that raw ability and though he can make one or two mistakes that engine is still here. There will be sentimental each way bets flying all over the place for him in the next few days and he owes us nothing after winning the Champion Hurdle at huge odds when we had the nod for him.In fact it will be 6 years to the day since he won the Ballymore at the same course where he is unbeaten.  Of the rest I will give each way chances to Bapaume and Saint Sonnet if they decide to run here.

Selection – Faugheen 5-1

2.10 Pertemps Network Final

Despite the reduction in distance to 3 miles ,this race is still a good test of stamina. These days it is attracting quality horses. The younger generation seems to have taken over since 6 of the last 8 winners were aged under seven. Favorites have a shocking record in race as only one joint favorite ( Fingal Bay in 2014) has won it last 15 years. It is a very tough race to solve due to its competitive nature and trainers setting up plot jobs.

Eleven of the last 24 winners in this race were last time out winners which is the best trend for this race. Jonjo O’Neil likes to target this race with his horses and pay attention when he runs them in the green and gold silks of JP Mcmanus at big odds. He has won this race on four occasions.

Also take note when you see horses wearing headgear in the race as they have a good strike rate. Nichols horses like to get placed too as seven of his 17 runners have finished between 2nd and 5th. The last four winners have all come from Ireland and Gordon Elliot is responsible for winning two of them. His Sire Du Berlais landed a big gamble last year.  Few horses I am interested are Welsh Saint, A Great View and One For The Team.

Selection – Welsh Saint 13-2 & Kilbricken Storm 20-1

2.50 Ryanair Chase

The Ryanair is run over 2m4f and has always been a very competitive race. The nature of the race is changing these days as we see more and more top class horses running. Thirteen of the last 15 winners have won at Cheltenham before as had nine runners-up so previous course form is a prerequisite. It’s noteworthy how well front runners have done in this race over the years too. Frodon won this race last year in a clip that I have seen million of times due to the fact Bryony Frost is the pin up girl of racing!

Ten of the last 12 winners have already won a Grade 1 and winners at the highest level have recorded four 1-2’s in last eight years. Irish had a shocking record in this race prior to 2016 (0-34) but that changed in the last 3 years when Vautour, Un De Sceaux and Balko Des Flos won for them. It pays to focus on the top end of the market as 8 of the last 12 Grade 1 winners were either fave or 2nd fave.

A Plus Tard and Min head the betting for this year’s renewal and we have the defending champion Frodon in the line up too. A Plus Tard represent the Henry De Bromhead yard and won the Close Brothers handicap race by annihilating the field last year. He was then 3rd in the Champion Novice Chase at Punchestown that was won by Delta Work. He made his seasonal debut in the Fortria Chase where he was beaten by Ballyoisin but he made amends for this by winning the Grade 1 Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown. In doing so he did beat the Champion Chase contender Chacun Pour Soi by nearly 4 lengths and the latter went on to win the Dublin Chase few weeks later. The form is rock solid and it will take a good one to lower the colours of A Plus Tard.

Min has been beaten three times at Cheltenham and he has been 2nd twice to Altior. He finds it hard to win at the course but he is a horse that will always give you a run for your money. He is just below top class and always find one too good. On his last start he bumped into a very good Chacun Pour Soi in Dublin and before that he got beat by the veteran Un De Sceaux in the Champion Chase at Punchestown. As I am writing this I can picture his win where he demolished a very good field in the Melling Chase at Aintree under Ruby Walsh. There is no Altior or Chacun Pour Soi in the field this time and if he is able to dominate then he will be threabouts but I fear he could once again bumped into one.

Frodon comes back again to defend his crown at a track where he is 5 from 7. He made his seasonal debut in the Roan Chase where he finished 3rd in a race won by Forest Bihan. In the Betfair Chase he ran another good race and finished behind the 2 market leaders in Bristol De Mai and Lostintranslation. On his latest start in the Silviniaco Conti at Kempton he dropped down in trip and won very easily. He is a horse that will give you a run for your money and certainly wouldn’t relinquish his crown without a good fight on that hill that he loves so much.

Riders Onthe Storm has been a revelation this season which has seen him won his 3 races that culminated into a Grade 1 success in the Ascot Chase. He won the Graduation Chase at Ascot where he gave a thrashing to his rivals. He really is a good jumper and he attacks his fences with ultimate precision. The only disadvantage compared to his rivals is the lack of course experience but on his day he could be the dark horse and could win if the market principals have an off day. He represents good each way value if ever you fancy him. The race winner will come from the above mentioned horses and I can’t see anything else winning it unless they have taken doping products !

Selection -A Plus Tard 9-4

3.30 Paddy Power Stayers Hurdle

This is one of the four Championship races of the festival and feature race on Day Three. Last year for this race I wrote on this blog ‘  I think we will see a very good horse next week on Thursday. He is the one they all have to beat and I can’t see him getting beat. This is a proper horse and he reminds me of a young Big Bucks especially when he hits the usual flat spot. The Irish would be eating their own words when he wins next week  ‘ Fast forward 12 months and we are back waiting to collect our money for a second year in a row. It’s one of the first ante post bets I did last year at 7-2 and he is now into 4-7/8-13. He is an outstanding horse and should piss this race.

Don’t expect him to trounce the opposition or back by lengths ( only mugs do this ) but he will hit the trademark flat spot but will power clear on the hill to win his second stayers Hurdle. He is an outstanding horse and if he was trained by Mullins or Henderson he will be 1-4 in race ! I simply cannot see him losing bar if he falls but this is racing. He has only ran twice this season. He made his seasonal debut at Newbury where he won the Long Distance Hurdle. He didn’t win by much that day but he was giving lots of weight away but still find a way to win. After this he went on to retain his crown in the Cleeve Hurdle where he beat Summerville Boy by nearly 2 lengths. I can see the same thing happening next week with possibly Emitom in the mix.

City Island reverts back to hurdles and he won the Ballymore in great style last year but has since been a very big disappointment when he was sent chasing. I would give him an each way chance. Emitom is one horse that I follow and has been unfortunate with injuries. It was good to see him back in the winning enclosure last time when he won the Rendlesham at Haydock. He is a good horse but he isn’t in the mould of a Paisley Park.

This horse will win next week and is one of my bankers of the festival. I am sure you noticed i haven’t talked about stats or trends for this race as it doesn’t apply for this race when you have Paisley Park 🙂 Come on Paisley just piss it !!!

Selection – Paisley Park – 7-2 (Ante Post)

4.10 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase.

This is one of the trickiest handicap races in the festival and one that hasn’t been too kind to punters in recent years. It’s a big lottery race and you need some luck in running too. Fourteen winners have been sent off at 20-1 or bigger in the last 30 years. Of the 18 renewals, 6 have been won by horses in their 3rd season over fences, 2 by horses in their 4th and one by a horse in its 5th. In other words the we need to look for an experienced horse over fences. The Storyteller became the 6th novice in last 24 years and they have also accounted for seven of the last 18 runners-up.  10 of the last 15 winners had run during February or March

Look out for French bred horses in race as they have a great record having been successful on eight occasions since 1999 and they had 11 runner up positions when they have not won.

This is a good race to follow some trainers as they like to target this race. David Pipe and Martin Pipe have won 7 of the last 23 renewals. David Pipe’s three wins have been in the last ten years. Venetia Williams also has an outstanding record in race. She won it three times and had 6 other places horses from 22 runners. Most of her winners tend to go off at big prices too so it’s worth paying attention to what she runs here. Henderson also does well in race having won it four times while Paul Nicholls had only 3 places horses from 31 runners so far. Few horses on my radar in this race – Champagne Platinum, La Bague Au Roi and Oldgrangewood.

Selection – Deyrann De Carjac 9-1 & Death Duty 20-1

4.50 Mares Novice Hurdle

This will be the 5th time this race will be run at the festival and surprised a Willie Mullins horse isn’t at the top of the market.  The master trainer has won this race in the previous 4 years and his Eglantine Du Seuil caused a big upset last year when she won at 50-1. Bookies celebrated as this year’s Champion Hurdle fave Epatante backed into odds on fluffed her lines and choked on the hill. Eglantine Du Seuil last year meant Willie Mullins have won 13 of the 16 races restricted to mares at the festival. It could have been 14 if Benie Des Dieux didn’t fall in the mares hurdle when 10 lengths clear.

Minella Melody heads the betting for Henry De Bromhead. She is unbeaten this season having won her three horses with 3 different jockeys on board. She was 2nd to The Glancing Queen at Aintree last year and she also ran really well behind the monster Gypsy Island at Punchestown. Her last success came in the Solerina where she beat a very good horse in Coolreevy who  re opposes here. She has a very good chance and is also a very good jumper.

Floressa comes from the Henderson yard and she has won twice this season and never been out of the top 3 places. She was third in the Rose Mares at Doncaster where she battled gamely but was eventually outstayed by a legend in Lady Buttons. Before that she won the listed race at newbury in impressive fashion beating a good yardstick from the Cromwell yard in Jeremys Flame. The latter went on to finish 2nd in a Grade 1 Tolworth at Sandown won by Fiddlerontheroof. So the form is rock solid and she has an each way chance.

Colreevy won the Grade 1 at Punchestown when she got the better of Abracadabras ,one of the leading contenders in the Supreme. She got beat on seasonal debut at odds on but won a mickey mouse on her following start. She got beat by Minella Melody at Fairyhouse by a very good horse but she showed nice battling qualities which should serve her well on the hill next week.

Dolcita arrived at the Mullins yard with a big reputation and she won her maiden race over hurdles at Tranmore. She then went to run in that Solerina horse where she finished 2nd behind the above two mentioned horses. She was favorite for race overnight but drifted to 13-2 before the off which suggests to me she wasn’t really fit or they didn’t want her to win. I think she is the over priced horse in race and I wouldn’t put anyone off backing her.

I have a lot of time for the other Mullins horse Concertista. She was beaten in that race by a neck in a photo last year and comes here in very good form after finishing 3rd to Black Tears at Leopardstown where we backed her. She made good headway in the run in and at one point I thought she was going to win but she had nothing left in the closing stages. At 10-1/12-1 she represents very good value considering she has the advantage of having course form over her rivals.

Selection – Dolcita 8-1 & Concertista 12-1

5.30 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup

This race is the only one reserved for amateurs riding in a handicap. It’s another lottery race with a big field. This is a thorough test of stamina that can often become like a war of attrition. It pays to look out for the top amateurs who normally get on the best handicapped horses. Jamie Codd has an outstanding record in race having won it 4 times in the the last 11 years. Derek O’Connor won it last time after finishing runner up three times before. The past 4 winners and 7 out of the last time arrived at Cheltenham without having won a race before. So it is a case of looking beyond the most recent runs. The last eleven winners have all carried 11st4lb +. Horses that ran in the NH chase the year before have a tendency to run well the following year in the Kim Muir. Cause of Causes and Missed Approach are 2 classic examples in recent years. This year Le Breuil is entered and could follow in their steps.

Remarkably, the last six winners of this race and seven of the last eight all wore headgear of some sort. So pay attention to those horses wearing headgear as it has been a profitable system in recent years just like the Ultima handicap on Tuesday. The likes of Donald Mccain (especially those in Trevor Hemmings colours) , David Pipe ( pay attention to his horses coming into this race after 3 month break) and those in JP Mcmanus silks (3 wins to his name )  need to be followed closely. Paul Nichols has a shocking record in race having only 1 horse placed from 21. A few horses that I am interested are Plan of Attack, Cheb De Kerviniou and At The Acorn

Selection –

 

Wednesday 11th March – Cheltenham Day 2

Envoi

Cheltenham

1.30 Envoi Allen (6-1/4-1/2-1/6-4 ) Ante Post  – Also @skybet is doing money back as cash if your horse comes 2nd,3rd,4th or 5th if ever something else.

2.10 Minella Indo 7-2

2.50 Franco De Port 9-1 & Eglantine Du Seuil 20-1-Notebook ( 7 places with @paddypower & 6 places with @skybet )

3.30 Chacun Pour Soi (8-1 Ante Post )

4.10 Tiger Roll 2-1/7-4 (Ante Post)

4.50 Tronador 7-1 & Saint Doroux 14-1 ( 6 places with @skybet)

5.30 Appreciate It (12-1/10-1/4-1/2-1) Ante Post

* It’s ladies day on Day 2 of the festival and it could be a good day for punters too in my opinion. Most of my horses that I’ve backed ante post are running today. The ground was very soft/heavy yesterday and it turned into a real slog. We were unlucky with four 2nds but hopefully we turned those into winners today. Good luck everyone. 

============================================================================

Lucky 15 – 1.30 Envoi Allen 4-6 , 2.10 Minella Indo 10-3 , 4.10 Tiger Roll 5-6 , 5.30 Appreciate It 15-8 ( @bet365)

E/w Trixie – 2.50 Franco De Port 9-1, 4.50 Tronador 7-1 , 5.30 Israel Champ 11-1 ( @skybet)

============================================================================

Festival Preview link – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2020/03/01/cheltenham-2020-10th-13th-march-festical-preview-stats-and-analysis/

Multiples Link – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2020/03/09/cheltenham-2020-the-teams-and-a-few-multiples/

============================================================================

1.30 Ballymore Novices Hurdle 

This is a race for novices over two and a half mile. This is much more of a test of speed than might be expected at the trip. You need to be on the horse that travels really well in his race, one that stays and have a good turn of foot. It has been very punter friendly race since only 3 out of the last 34 winners being outside the top five in the betting. Ten out of the last 12 winners won last time out. The main British trial race has been the Challow Hurdle at Newbury that Champ won this season. All 17 winners of the Challow Hurdle (won by Thyme Hill this season) have all been beaten in the race but eight finished 2nd or 3rd. This is one of the main stat in this race. Another bad trend for race is about 7 year olds since all 55 Ballymore runners aged 7+have been beaten since 1988 ! The Irish best guide for this race has been the Chanelle Pharma Novice Hurdle won by Asterion Forlonge few weeks ago. He is more likely to run in the supreme as the same owner has The Big Getaway here. Favorites in this race have a good record in race having won it 11 times. Last time out winners have a good record in race as they have won eleven of the last 13 renewals.

Envoi Allen heads the betting and has been for a very long time. The supremely talented horse was our Champion Bumper winner on the Wednesday of last year and hopefully it is the same result next week. He is unbeaten in seven races and goes to Cheltenham as one of my bankers of the festival. He made his hurdling debut at Down Royal and won it very easily. He followed up in the Grade 1 Royal Bond where he two very good horses in his stablemate Abracadabras and Darver Star. He showed very good battling qualities that day and pulled away when it matters. He is a sound jumper and travels very well in his race. It will take a very good horse to lower his colours and I can’t see one whether he runs here or in the Supreme.He isn’t a flashy horse but just does enough to win. If you eyeball him like Blue Sari did last year on the hill he will always find something which is a sign of a great horse. Let’s hope he doesn’t disappoint and this is the one that will kick start a hopefully great Wednesday.

Sporting John represents the Philip Hobbs connections and he has won his 3 starts to date. I was impressed with him when he won very easily at Ascot. He traveled very well and his jumping was fantastic to see. He never came off the bridle and he could be the danger to Envoi Allen. The Big Getaway tends to get beat at very short odds and has done so in 3 occasions so far. I watched his race last time and for once he was very good but we don’t really know what he did beat that day. He might have won by 17 lengths but it could be that he beat monkeys too. I think if Envoi Allen does switch to Supreme then Asterion Forlonge might run here and he will have a favorite chance. The Big Breakway is a powerful and strong horse from the Tizzard yard. He is the type that will do very well when he is sent chasing next year. He looked really good on both times he ran this season and he has been kept fresh for race since November. I woudn’t put anyone off backing him each way if you don’t like short odds. I don’t think Thyme Hill will run here as he is Albert Bartlet bound. Chantry House and Son of Camas are two that could get placed in race too if the market rivals defect to other races or have an off day. But for the winner I can’t see past Envoi Allen and he is a superstar that will win this race if he is at the start.

Selection -Envoi Allen (6-1/4-1/2-1/6-4 ) Ante Post

2.10 RSA Insurance Novices Chase

This is a race over the standard 3 miles and there are 19 fences to be jumped. The standout guide to finding winners in this race in recent years has been to look at those who won the Albert Bartlett in previous seasons before. It has featured five of the last ten winners. Backers of Minella Indo and Alaho will be happy with those stats. The previous nine winners were all seven year olds while only three six year olds have won it since 1978. Nine of the last 13 winners had won on their previous start with many improving with experience throughout the season.

Six of the last nine winners were beaten on their chasing debuts so don’t be put off by horses getting beat earlier in season. The last 15 winners had all run 3 times plus over fences which is a negative for Alaho and Minella Indo as they have only ran twice. Willie Mullins has an outstanding record in race having won it four times and has also saddled up three runners up. The Kauto Star Chase winners ( won by Slate House this year) have an awful record in this race as all 20 winners of the Kempton race have gone to lose at Cheltenham.

Champ heads the betting and comes here at the back of a fall in the Dipper Novice Chase when he had the race in the bag. He is a good horse but is prone to making jumping errors that can prove costly. He was second in the Ballymore behind City Island last year but then went on to win the Grade 1 Sefton Novice Hurdle at Aintree. He was lucky to win at Newbury as he was hampered by a loose horse but he responded well under pressure to get up close home. The fact that he stayed over hurdles for 2 seasons is slightly off putting as they have a bad record when they go chasing. It’s one of the reasons why many people are going to take him on while bookies will keep enhancing his odds.

Minella Indo represents the Henry De Bromhead yard and he caused a big upset when he won the Albert Bartlett at 50-1 last year. He followed up at Punhcestown when he again got the better of Alaho proving his win at Cheltenham was no fluke. He made his chashing debut at Gowran Park where he was soundly beaten by a fitter Laurina. He then won his following race where he jumped brilliantly and beat a good horse in Captain CJ. The latter gave the form a boost when he won the Grade 2 Ten Up Novice Chase at Navan. Discordantly who was 4th in race just won a race earlier in Ireland so the form looks rock solid and he has a very good chance of winning this race.

Allaho was our Albert Bartlet horse last year and he ran a very good race behind Minella Indo and Commander of Fleet. He made his chasing debut at Leopardstown where he finished 2nd behind Easy Game.He then won his next race at Fairyhouse where he made all and jumped brilliantly throughout. It was a good improvement from his last run and I think he is tailor made for the RSA. He has a good engine and he has course form too. I wouldn’t be surprised if he wins to be honest.

Copperhead has been a revelation this season and has won three of his 4 races. His only defeat came on his seasonal debut at Chepstow. Since then he has progressed with every run and has jumped his rivals into submission on each occasion. His latest win at Ascot in the Grade 2 Reynoldstown was visually very impressive and he was very fluent with his jumping. He would have been my bet if he had ran in the NH Chase race on Tuesday but here he is facing some serious rivals. I haven’t made up my mind yet. Of the others still in race I will give small each way squeak. to The Conditional.

Selection -2.10 Minella Indo 7-2

2.50 Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle

This is the only open Handicap where there isn’t a level weights race at a similar trip. It therefore tends to be won by a progressive horse en route to winning Grade 1 races. Second season hurdlers have won 11 of the last 15 renewals. Last time out winners have a great record in race having won it 13 times. Look out for French bred horses as they have won 9 of the last 17 renewals. Irish trained horses have won the last 3 while we need to pay attention to some classy horses since 9 of the last 10 winners would contest a Grade 1 or 2 on their very next start.

The Irish have a very good record in race having won it on ten occasions with Gordon Elliot having won it twice in last nine years. We need to look for a horse that had a very light campaign as the last ten winners had run no more than four times earlier in the season. Gordon Elliot had 2 winners and 3 places from 10 runners in this race and it’s an angle to monitor closely as it has been very profitable. Paul Nichols has also a good record in race with a winner and two placed from 7 runners in last 4 years. Willie Mullins was a novice in this race ( 0/24) till Blue Berry won the race for him two years ago. Look out for horses that had ran four times or less in the season as they have won this last 11 years. Another good angle that can be profitable is to look at those horses that haven’t had a run in same calendar year. There has been no winner aged older than nine since 1995.  Few horses on my radar for this race – Ilikedwayurthinking, Dame De Compagnie, Concertista and Eglantine Du Seuil.

Selection – Franco De Port 9-1 & Eglantine Du Seuil 20-1 

3.30 Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase

This could potentially be one of the races of the festival with Altior, Chacun Pour Soi and Defi Du Seuil locking horns. There is nothing better to see those horses jumping at speed around Priestbury Park. Altior is the reigning champion and has won this race in the last 2 years. He will attempt to become the 2nd horse in history to win it for the 3rd consecutive time. The Tingle Creek has been the best guide of recent seasons and 3 of the last 4 winners have went on to win the QM Champion Chase at Cheltenham. The race has also featured 12 of the last 19 winners. 37 of the last 38 winners were sent off at a SP of no bigger than 11/1 and 17 of the last 20 could be found at no bigger than 5/1. It’s not a race that normally delivers big price winners.

Defi Du Seuil has been the stand out horse in this division so far. He won the JLT for us last year and was then beaten by Chacun Pour Soi in the Ryanair Hurdle at Punchestown. He made a winning reapperance in the Schloer Chase at Cheltenham. He then went on to win the Tingle Creek at Sandown where he beat Un De Sceaux by a neck. He beat the same horse at Ascot where he won the Clarence House Chase. He will be sitting behind the leaders and will be ready to pounce on that hill he loves. He goes there as a leading contender and he will attempt to become a three time festival winner next week.

His task isn’t easy as there is Altior who had an interrupted preparation this season. They tried him over further but he got beaten by a very good horse in Cyrname on the day. I don’t think Altior was fully fit but he was still making up ground towards the end. He dropped back in distance at Newbury where he once again won the Game Spirit. He was much better jumping wise but hit that famous flat spot. But once the turbo kicked in he started running powerfully and showed his trademark devastating kick. If he is 1/2 lengths behind the leader jumping the last then he will win easily. I still think he is the best horse in the race and will prove it once more. Chacun Pour Soi reappeared over Xmas in the Grade 1 at Leopardstown but he was beaten by a fitter horse in A Plus Tard. He needed the run that day and he was utterly brilliant in the Dublin Chase where he beat his stablemate Min. He is a good traveler and has a touch of class about him. There won’t me much between those 3 next week in what promises to be a fantastic clash. I still think the winner will come from either Altior oe Chacun Pour Soi. It depends on the ground conditions as well. 

Selection – Chacun Pour Soi 8-1 & Altior 5-1 (Ante Post)

4.10 Glenfarcas Cross Country Chase.

For the fourth time this is a conditions race rather than a handicap one. It should help the classier horses that have always been giving weight away in the past. Favorites have a shocking record in race with only one  having won in last 13 years and that was Tiger Roll romping away with it last year. Course form is very important in this race and of the 56 races that have been run over this course. 35 winners had won or were placed over these obstacles before.

Enda Bolger has a fantastic record in race having won three of the first four renewals all for JP Mcmanus but in the last 9 years his 23 runners have all been beaten. Gordon Elliot has a fantastic record in race too. From just six runners, two winners and two places are a very solid return since the nature of the race was changed. Backing the Elliot horses in the past three years would have yielded a profit of £7 to a level stake of £1. Do look for horses over the age of 8 as the younger horses do generally badly in this race. The Cross Country race at the course back in December has been the best guide in recent years having featured 8 of the last 15 winners.

Tiger Roll heads the betting and has become the people’s horse after winning the Grand National for the second time last year. Last year in this race he has the race won at halfway such was his dominance. He is the one to beat in the race and Gordon Elliot will have him spot on for the race that he has been aimed at all season. He made an encouraging return   few weeks ago in the Boyne Hurdle and he will strip fitter next week. He will attempt to win it for the third time and try to make history again.

But he faces an exciting horse in Easysland that was purchased by JP Mcmanus ( looking for his 7th win in race) this ime. Easysland won for us last time when he landed a mighty gamble. He looked visually very good that day and is a very fluent jumper. He has a good turn of foot as well. He could be a good bet in the w/o market for those who like those kind of bets. I don’t think Yanworth or Might Bite are good enough to win. Urgent De Gregaine could sneak a place. For the winner I can’t see past the legendary Tiger Roll. If he is beaten it would be by Easysland but I am sticking with our cash machine horse.

Selection –  Tiger Roll 2-1/7-4 (Ante Post)

4.50 Boodles  Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

This race has been a punters graveyard in recent years with 6 of the last 8 winners going off at 25-1 or bigger. We won this race last year when Band of Outlaws landed a big gamble on course to become the 3rd favorite to win this race. Look out for horses that had their first run from February onwards as trainers such as Nichols or Elliot like to hide them and unleash them as from February to get them fit for the festival.

French bred horses have a fantastic record in race as they have won eight of the last 15 renewals. In fact, 30 of the last 48 win-and-placed horses were French-bred. Lots of Trainers like to keep few secrets from the handicapper and only run them 1/2 times during a season to protect their handicap mark.  Try to look for horses with obscure bits of form at small tracks that has left them ahead of the handicapper. Last time out winners have a good record in the Fred Winter (now called Boodles). Also note horses in headgear as they have a good record in race too.

But the one trainer that has a fantastic record in race with his French bred horses is Paul Nichols. As well as winning 3 of the last 10 renewals, he has had 4 seconds, a third, a fourth and a fifth from 16 runners. He isn’t afraid of pitching a juvenile into open novice company or handicap. Gordon Elliot has saddled 2 winners and 2 places from 13 runners.  David Pipe is another trainer who likes to target his race with his french imports. He has won it once with two seconds and two more placed from his 13 runners. Willie Mullins had no luck in this race with only one of his horses getting a place from 14.  I have a few horses in mind for this race like Tronador, A Wave of The Sea & Palladium but I will decide closer time.

Selection – Tronador 7-1 & Saint Doroux 14-1

5.30 Weatherbys Champion Bumper Grade 1

This should be renamed as the Irish Champion Bumper as they have won 12 of the last 15 renewals of this race. In total they have been victorious 19 times out of the 26 runnings. Willie Mullins will be looking for his tenth win in race and it’s one he likes to target. It is worth noting that Willie won this race on 4 occasions when he had only one runner. The last 16 winners have all won on their previous start. Eleven of the last 17 winners had run in at least three bumpers. 24 of the 27 winners were aged 5 or 6. Favorite backers have had a nightmare recently in the race but 18 of the last 27 winners could be found in the top 6 of the betting.

Envoi Allen won this race for us last year and the Mullins monster Appreciate It will attempt to follow in his footsteps. He is a horse that I was given as one to follow this season by someone very knowledgeable. He told me he wouldn’t be fit for his first race but to back him after Xmas onwards. He won his last 2 races and he way he destroyed the field at the Dublin festival when he was well punted ( 2-1 into 4-7 ) was mesmerising. He traveled really well that day and quickened away smartly in the manner of a very good horse. He is a very solid favorite next week and hopefully he can replicate his Leopardstown run. The Mullins yard also have another contender in Ferny Hollow who came over with a big reputation. He disappointed on his first few runs but looked very good on his latest start where he showed good improvement. I have heard he will be saved for Punchestown and they won’t run him at Cheltenham.

Queens Brook won her only start for Gordon Elliot at Gowran Park and she won really well. Jamie Codd has been booked and Gordon gave it a good mention at the preview I went couple of days ago. She is the each way value in race in my opinion. Another one who has a very good each way chance in race is Israel Champ. I saw him win his race at Cheltenham and was very impressed in the style he put the race to bed. It was a very good performance and he followed up at Ascot. He hasn’t been seen since December but in David Pipe he has someone who knows what it takes to win bumpers. Panic Attack represents the same connections and she was bought out of the Mullins yard when she won at Carlisle. If she could win this race I don’t think they would have sold her. At bigger odds I will give small each way chances to The Glancing Queen and Here comes Mccoy. For the winner I will stick with my ante post bet of Appreciate It.

Selection – Appreciate It (12-1/10-1/4-1/2-1) Ante Post

Tuesday 10th March – Cheltenham Day 1

GIVE-BENIE-HER-DIEUX

Cheltenham

1.30 Asterion Forlonge 3-1

2.10 Fakir D’Oudairies 4-1

2.50 Discorama 8-1 & Cobra De Mai 16-1 ( 6 places with bookies)

3.30 Epatante 7-2

4.10 Benie Des Dieux 8-11

4.50 Galvin 15-2 & Champagne Court 25-1 (Notebook)  ( 4/5/6 places with bookies )

5.30 Lord Du Mesnil 7-1 ( 4 places with Ladbrokes)

* Tuesday looks very competitive in my opinion with some big field handicaps and tricky races. 

============================================================================

Lucky 15 – 1.30 Asterion Forlonge 11-4, 2.10 Fakir D’Oudairies 4-1, 3.30 Epatante 10-3, 4.10 Benie Des Dieux 8-13 ( @bet365)

E/w Trixie – 2.50 Discorama 8-1 , 4.50 Galvin 13-2 , 5.30 Lord Du Mesnil 7-1 ( @skybet)

============================================================================

Few bookie offers that might interest people

(1) Risk Free bet and money as cash up to £10 if your horse loses first race on Tuesday with @Skybet

(2) Money back as a free bet up to £10 if your horse finishes 2nd,3rd or 4th in ALL races on Tuesday with @paddypower

(3) William Hill paying 7 places on first race on Tuesday

(4) £20 free bet via mobile on Betfair Exchange if you back a horse £20 in the 1.30 Tuesday

(5) Bet365 – Back a 4-1 or bigger priced winner on ITV and get a free bet up to £50 on the next ITV race (Tuesday-Friday).

============================================================================

Day 1 Tuesday 10th March

1.30 Skybet Supreme Novices Hurdle (Grade 1 )

This is the race that kick off proceedings at the festival with the famous roar. The Irish have an outstanding record in the race having won 16 out of the last 28 proceedings. Eleven of the last 14 favorites that were sent off 2-1 or shorter in this race have been beaten. Also do note that last time out winners have won 20 of the last 23 renewals of this race.

The Tolworth Hurdle is a race that has produced few good Cheltenham winners recently and is one to look at closely. Fiddlerontheroof won the 2020 version by six lengths and his performance was very pleasing and his time was very good on the clock too. I think he has a decent place claims if there is soft or heavy in the going. He made his debut at Chepstow in the Persian War where he was a good second behind Thyme Hill who subsequently went on to win a Grade 2 at Cheltenham and then won the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle at Newbury. He then finished 2nd behind Edwardstone before winning his last 2 races at Sandown. There is some substance to his form and he would be thereabouts if he gets his ground conditions.

Willie Mullins has an outstanding record in the race having won it four times in the last 7 years with the likes of Champagne Fever, Douvan, Vautour and our winner of last year Klassical Dream. He also had 3 of the last 4 beaten favorites in the race. The Chanelle Pharma race in Ireland is the best guide for the Irish and it was won by Asterion Forlonge. Whenever Willie Mullins has sent the winner of that race to the Supreme they have always won (3/3). Klassical Dream was the latest one to achieve the feat. Asterion Forlonge is unbeaten in three starts this season and has that progressive profile about him. He made his debut at Thurles in a bumper race and his latest win was in the Dublin festival Grade 1 race where he destroyed the field with consummate ease. He looked really good that day and stayed on powerfully at the end. On what we have seen so far he looked the type that will have no problem with the Cheltenham hill. He has an outstanding chance  and will be primed for the race.

Nicky Henderson main hope in race this season is Shishkin. He fell on his hurdling debut at Newbury but has won his last 2 starts very easily. He looked visually impressive in those races and he is highly rated at the yard too. He is a sound jumper and travels really well in his races. He will probably go off favorite in a race that Nicky has only won once with the mighty Altior few years ago but he had like 11 places with his horses in the last 11 years. Since 2008 horses that have won this race have ran more than twice over hurdles and it is something both Shishkin and Asterion Forlonge will be trying to overcome. In fact the last 11 winners of this race had all ran four times or more before taking the Supreme route.

Abacadabras will fly the flag for Gordon Elliot yard and he finihsed 4th in the champion bumper won by his stablemate Envoi Allen last year. He made his seasonal debut at Gowran Park and has never been out of the top 2 since. He then went on to win the Grade 3 at Navan where he had Latest Exhibition in 2nd. The latter went on to win the Grade 1 Nathaniel Lacy & Partners Solicitors at the Dublin festival. Abacadabras ran a solid race behind mighty Envoi Allen in the Royal Bond and was only beaten by a better horse on the day. He finally won his Grade 1 over Xmas when he destroyed the field to win the Future Champions Novice Hurdle. As you can see Abacadabras bring some solid form to the table and he is a serious contender. I don’t think Envoi Allen will turn out here unless the ground is really testing. Of the rest I will give small squeaks to Chantry House and Captain Guinness if they line out here.

Selection – Asterion Forlonge 3-1

2.10 Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Novice Chase

This is a race for novices over the 2 mile on the old course. It is a race designed to test horses ability to jump efficiently and go as fast as possible. It has been a race that has been very profitable for favorite backers in recent years. The likes of Altior, Douvan, Footpad & Un De Sceaux have all won this race at odds on. 14 of the last 18 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 over fences earlier in the season.

Cheltenham form is crucial as 12 of the last 19 winners had run at the course before and four of the past 13 winners had won at the previous season’s festival. Willie Mullins has won this race four times in the last five years. Of the last 29 winners, 25 have started at no bigger than 11/1 with 16 of those being in the top 4 in the market. The Henry VIII Novices Chase ( Esprit Du Large) and the Wayward Novice Chase at Kempton ( Global Citizen won) have featured 3 winners of the Arkle in the last 15 years. The Arkle Novice Chase won by Notebook at Leopardstown has been the Irish best guide since it has featured ten of their last 12 Arkle winners.

Notebook heads the betting and represents the Henry De Bromhead yard. He is unbeaten this season in four starts. He won the Grade 2 race at Punchestown when he stayed on strongly to beat Moon Over Germany. He was then sent to the Racing Post Novice Chase and he came of age when despite giving weight to Fakir D’Oudairies and jumping slightly right at times he still managed to win. He then won his second Grade 1 at the same track when he just got the better of Willie Mullins’s cash back who re opposes here. There wasn’t much between them at the end but Notebook looked a very good stayer and he would relish that Cheltenham hill in my opinion.

Fakir D’Oudairies has long been favorite for this race till he got beat by Notebook over Xmas. He was 4th in the Supreme last year and then beaten by Fusil Raffles in the Grade 1 at Punchestown. He made his chase debut at Navan where he jumped beautifully throughout and won very nicely. His next assignment was the Grade 1 Drinmore Chase where he showed his class to win by 20 lengths. It was  visually a very good performance as he pinged every fence with such consummate ease. But since getting beat by Notebook over Xmas he hasn’t been seen since but he goes well fresh in the race and will give you a good run for your money.

Cash Back made his chase debut at Navan and followed up at Naas in impressive fashion. He then ran Notebook close in the Grade 1 at Leopardstown and he has a progressive profile about him. He is an each way bet to nothing if you fancy him as he will give you a run for your money. The only slight doubt I have about him is he can make jumping mistakes.

Brewinupastorm is from the Olly Murphy yard and has been kept fresh for race. He only ran twice this season and hasn’t been seen since his win at Taunton. Though he did win both of his races over fences I am not too sure about his jumping and he doesn’t strike me as a horse that has that touch of class that will can help him win a big race. The stats are against Global Citizen ( only two runs over fences ) and also against Esprit Du Large & Brewinupastorm ( not had a run since Xmas). Maire Banrigh is such a wonderful mare and one we follow. She is still unbeaten but the fact that the last mare to have won this race was in 1980 puts me off ! I can’t see any upsets in this race unless we have a Western Warhorse in the field.

Selection – Fakir D’Oudairies 4-1

2.50 Ultima Handicap Chase

This is one of the toughest and trickiest handicap races of the festival. It has been a real graveyard for favorite backers as only 3 of them have won since 1977. Second favorites have a good record in the race too having won it nine times since 1984 and 13 winners since 2000 could be found in the first four in the betting. Novices have a good record in the race having won 6 times in the last 15 runnings.

It’s also important to note that nine of the last 20 winners had finished in the first four at this meeting before and to respect last time out winners as they have provided the winner on seven occasions in the last 15 years. Jonjo O’Neil has a cracking record in race having won three of the last ten runnings with 2 of those successes coming for the green and gold silks of JP Mcmanus. Other trainers that like targeting this race are David Pipe , Alan King and Neil Mulholland. So do take note of horses they will be sending for this race.

Another nice stat is that seven of the last eight winners have ran in headgear. Do take note of horses trying headgear for the first time or switching headgear. Paul Nichols record in the race is shocking as he is 0/23! Another good stat is the fact that ten of the last 22 winners have finished in the first four at this meeting before. Irish trained horses are 0/21 since winning the race in 2006. The last 4 winners of this race have all ran on Trials Day in January

Selection – Discorama 8-1 & Cobra De Mai 16-1

3.30 Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy

This is one of the most anticipated races of the festival and most eagerly awaited. The true test of the two mile hurdler. the key to the Champion Hurdle is often fluent hurdling. Jumping at speed is crucial and the great champions like Istabraq, Hurricane Fly and Buveur D’Air portrayed the perfect technique. They were able to got from one side to the other without breaking stride at times. Nine of the last 20 winners have come from the previous Champion Hurdle race. Only two five year old have won since 1985 (Katchit in 2008 ) and last year’s winner Espoir D’Allen when the race fell apart ! Six other five-year-olds have hit the frame from 29 runners in the last 13 runnings.  Course form is vital since 19 of the last 20 winners have ran at the festival before. No 10 year olds have won since 1981 even though 29 have tried.

Nicky Henderson has a great record in race and will be looking for his 8th win in race with the likes of Epatante, Pentland Hills, Fusil Raffles and Call Me Lord. Epatante heads the betting and she was our Triumph hurdle horse last year. She was heavily gambled into odds on and choked on the hill which was disappointing. This year she has won her two races in the manner of an improving horse. She won the Intermediate Hurdle at Newbury very easily on her seasonal debut and then went the Xmas Hurdle at Kempton. She traveled smoothly ,jumped fluently and showed a fantastic turn of foot to put the race to bed in impressive fashion. The way she quickened was visually good and her times on the clock did reflect that. Only 3 horses( Faugheen, Buveur D’Air and Kribensis) before have won the Xmas Hurdle -Champion Hurdle double from the 27 that have tried and Epatante will try to emulate those superstars.  Only 3 mares have won this race before and the last one to do so was the mighty Annie Power. She has a very good chance and will get a 7lb mares allowance as well which could be very useful. The only reservation I have about her is whether she likes the ondulations at Cheltenham as for me she appears to run better on speedier tracks. I don’t think Honeysuckle or even Benie Des Dieux will run here so we can discount them.

Pentland Hills is the other Henderson horse in race and he broke many people’s heart last year when he won the Triumph at 25-1. He followed up at Aintree in the Grade 1 Juvenile Hurdle but has been beaten on his 2 starts to date this season. He could only finish 5th in the International Hurdle at Cheltenham on his seasonal debut where he weakened tamely on the hill but he could be forgiven this run as he was giving weight away on unsuitable ground. He was then beaten in a photo by Ballyandy in the dying strides at Haydock. It was a much improved run this time on very heavy ground and he only emptied in the closing stages. He will come on a lot for  those 2 runs and I wouldn’t put anyone off backing him each way.

Cilaos Emery was supplemented for the race by Willie Mullins after the injury suffered by Klassical Dream. He was then chasing this season where he won his first 2 races that included the Grade 2 Hilly Way Chase at Cork. He then fell in the Dublin Chase at Leopardstown but won the Red Mills Trial Hurdle when reverting back to hurdles. He could be a major player in a wide open race. Sharjah is the other Mullins horse in the race. He won 2 Grade 1’s last year namely the Morgiana and The Ryanair Hurdle over Xmas. He was unfortunately brought down at the 3rd hurdle in the Champion Hurdle. He made his seasonal debut in the Morgiana where he only finished 4th but then went on to win another Grade 1 at Leopardstown. He was firmly put into his place by Honeysuckle in the Irish Champion Hurdle. If he gets his ideal conditions next week then he could be the dark horse in race that could win at big odds.

Supasundae represents the Jessica Harrington yard and he only ran once this season where he finished 4th in the Irish Champion Hurdle that Honeysuckle won. He normally needs his first run of the season and normally comes good around this time of year. He was 2nd in the Stayers hurdle behind Paisley Park last year before he went on to win the Aintree Hurdle. If the ground is heavy he will relish conditions and he could be one for the places. Darver Star represents connections of last year’s winner Espoir D’Allen and he has never been out of the top 3 in his last 6 races. He won his first 3 races in Ireland and was sent to the Grade 1 Royal Bond where he finished well into 3rd, only to be beaten by Envoi Allen and Abracadabras. He then gave a fright to Honeysuckle in the Irish Champion Hurdle where he was narrowly beaten by half a length. He travels well into his races and is a fluent jumper. If you are looking at formlines then the 16-1/20-1 currently available represents decent value for each way thieves. I can see him shortening on the day or put up by the big tipsters such as Andy Holding or Hugh Taylor. Of the rest I can’t see any of them winning and they are just in race to make up numbers.

Selection – Epatante 7-2

4.10 Close Brothers Mares Hurdle 

This should be renamed as the Willie Mullins benefit race such has been the dominance of the champion Irish trainer since 2008. He goes in search of his 10th victory in the race having won it nine times in the last 11 years. Apples Jade broke the sequence in 2017 for Gordon Elliot and Roksana was the fortunate winner when Benie Des Dieux crashed at the last last year. This promises to be one of the races of the festival when Benie Des Dieux and Honeysuckle goes head to head in a fascinating clash of the titans.

Benie Des Dieux would have been unbeaten if she didn’t fall when 10 lengths clear. She sets the benchmark in this race and had only ran once this season where she annihilated the opposition in the Galmoy Hurdle  and won on the bridle. She traveled really well and jumped brilliantly throughout. I really can’t see her getting beat if she takes her chance in this race even if love Honeysuckle to bits. She is the unbeaten mare in the race having won all her seven starts. She has been seen three times this season and has added 2 Grade 1 races to her Cv namely the Hatton’s Grace and the Irish Champion Hurdle. In the latter race she showed all her guts and determination to get back up once she was headed in the closing stages. The horse that gave her a fright was Darver Star and he runs in the Champion Hurdle so you will get a little idea of the form in the earlier race. I think its the right race for her and we could see both superstars jumping the last and then Benie might pull away on that hill that she knows so well. Hopefully she will stay on her feet this time. She is more experienced and has also course form which counts a lot for the festival. Hence why I have backed her for the race and I think she will win. Last year’s winner Roxana is in the race and she has an each way chance. The same can be said about Willie Mullins other horse Stormy Ireland that is 3/3 this season. I think she will run well and could reverse form with her conqueror of last year.

Selection – Benie Des Dieux 8-11

4.50 Northern Trust Company Novices Handicap Chase

This is another tricky race at the festival and so competitive. You need to have a bit of class to win this race nowadays. Last time out winners have a fantastic record in race with 7 of the last 11 winners having done so. In recent years it paid to look at horses in the top 6 in the betting as they’ve won 12 of the last 15 renewals. You need to look at a progressive horse that is peaking at the right time. We need to focus on horses with 3 or 4 runs under their belt. Ten of the last 14 winners have been beaten on their first 2 chase starts. Course form is important too since 6 of the last 15 winners have already ran at the festival before. Also don’t discount a maiden over the larger obstacles which  has placed at worst in this race in nine of the last ten years. Five of the 14 winners ran at last season’s Festival, three of which in a novice hurdle.

Also a nice trend that has served me well over the last few years is the wearing of any type of new headgear by horses in race. Irish Cavalier won this for us few years ago after being fitted with cheekpieces for first time and Ballyalton did the same 2 years ago. Another interesting stat is that 30 horses have contested this race in first time head gear with 2 winning and another 6 being placed ( 5 of those going off between 20-1 and 66-1). There can be decent each way value at decent prices on horses wearing headgear for the first time.

Look out for small stables as they have a habit of winning this. Four of the last 7 winners have come from not so fashionable stables like Alan Fleming( Tully East), Ballyalton( Ian Williams), Present View( Jamie Snowden) and Hunt Ball( Kieran Burke) . It’s a race where it’s hard for the big yards to plot up a horse up  Nicky Henderson has a good record in race having won it with Rajdhani Express in 2013 and he has also saddled up five runners ups.

Selection – Galvin 15-2 & Champagne Court 25-1 (Notebook)

5.30 National Hunt Chase Cup Amateur Riders Novice Chase

The National Hunt Chase is generally known as the 4 miler and is now contested by high class novices with strong form in graded races. Lots of experience over fences has proved crucial in such a tough attritional race. It is fast becoming a race for proven graded performers. Five  of the last nine winners had contested a Grade 1 Novice Chase earlier in the season  and three of those were officially top rated.

Seven of the last 13 winners had experienced Cheltenham fences earlier in the season and another was placed in the Kim Muir the previous season. Horses with less than 3 chase starts have a very poor record.The last 17 winners have already ran at least three times over fences  Look out for horses that have ran in handicap chases earlier in the season and don’t dismiss them. The second season chasers have a tremendous record in race having won it four times in the last ten years.

I was told years ago to simply pick a horse ridden by Derek O’Connor or Jamie Codd especially in this or the Kim Muir where the horses are professionally ridden during the season and they often get on the best ones. Derek O’Connor won this race twice on Chicago Grey and Minella Rocco and been placed on 4 occasions.  Jamie Codd has won this race twice with Cause of Causes and last year’s winner Le Breuil.

Jonjo O’Neil has by far the best record in the race with 6 winners. Willie Mullins didn’t have a good record till two years ago when Rathvinden won but it’s worth paying attention to his runners as 3 of the last 5 have all finished 3-4-3 despite going off at 9-1,10-1 and 33-1. Also note Gordon Elliott who has trained three of the last 8 winners in the race in Chicago Grey, Cause of Causes and the legendary Tiger Roll in 2017. Alan King has two winners in the last 12 years while Paul Nichols had 18 losers in a row in this race and most started in top five in betting.

Carefully Selected heads the betting for Willie Mullins but he is very short in the betting and he was lucky to have won his last race when he was left clear after his rivals fell. He hit so many fences that day and is bound to do the same at Cheltenham. If you don’t jump well over there you have simply no chance of winning. He will be in many price boosts on Tuesday. Battleoverdoyen might run here but I don’t think he is a horse that love the course. He was disappointing here last year but he has a little bit of class about him that could help. At bigger odds Newtide could interest me as he is a good jumper. I will decide closer to final declarations.

Selection – Lord Du Mesnil 7-1

Cheltenham 2020 -The Teams and a few multiples

 

The A Team –

Tuesday – 4.10 Benie Des Dieux  Wednesday 1.30 Envoi Allen  5.30 Appreciate It  Thursday– 3.30 Paisley Park   Friday – 3.30 Al Boum Photo

The B Team –

Tuesday 1.30 Asterion Forlonge  3.30 Epatante   Wednesday 2.10 Minella Indo 3.30 Chacun Pour Soi   Thursday 2.50 A Plus Tard   –Friday– 2.50 Latest Exhibition  4.10 Hazel Hill 5.30 Column of Fire

The C Team –

Tuesday -2.10 Fakir D’Oudairies   Wednesday 4.10 Tiger Roll    Thursday 4.50 Dolcita   Friday – 2.50 Harry Senior

I like to put my horses in different categories . It doesn’t mean I fancy the ones in the C team less than the ones in A Team or vice versa. Just a guide about my bets and how I have paired them in multiples. This will be updated as we go along with final declarations and other bets I will be doing.

===========================================================================

The Multiple Bets –

(1) Best Single of the festival – 3.30 (Thurs) Paisley Park

(2) Best Double – 1.30 (Wed) Envoi Allen & 3.30 (Thurs) Paisley Park

(3) Treble – 4.10 (Tues) Benie Des Dieux , 1.30 (Wed) Envoi Allen , 3.30 (Thurs) Paisley Park

(4) Trixie – 1.30 (Wed) Envoi Allen , 4.10 (Wed) Tiger Roll, 5.30 (Wed) Appreciate It

(5) Lucky 15 -1.30 (Wed) Envoi Allen, 2.10 (Wed) Minella Indo , 2.50 (Thurs) A Plus Tard,  , 3.30 (Fri) Al Boum Photo

(6) E/w Lucky 15 -1.30 (Tues) Asterion Forlonge, 4.50 (Thurs) Dolcita , 2.50 (Fri) Latest Exhibition,  5.30 (Fri) Column Of Fire

(7) E/w Lucky 15 – 2.10 (Tues) Fakir D’Oudairies ,  2.50 (Fri) Harry Senior, 4.10 (Fri) Hazel Hill. 5.30 (Fri) Column Of Fire

(8) Top 4 bets each day in muggy acca / L15 – 4.10 (Tues) Benie Des Dieux,  1.30 (Wed) Envoi Allen, 3.30 (Thurs) Paisley Park, 1.30 (Fri) Al Boum Photo

(9) Horses that have great chances of getting placedTuesday 3.30  Supasundae, 4.10 Stormy Ireland, Wednesday 4.10 Easysland, 5.30 Queens Brook Thursday 1.30 Faugheen Friday 1.30 Allmankind  2.10 Ciel De Neige

As usual guys and girls, these are multiples bets which means it’s harder to win as compared to singles. Don’t rely on them or lump on these to get you out of jail. Always cover them with few singles. If they come in it’s nice to land one or two but my main focus is always on the singles to get ahead of bookies. The best gamblers and those who make consistent profit on horseracing are the ones who back lots of singles over time. Good luck

Saturday 7th March

Meydan 

12.35 Bochart 2-1

1.10 Space Blues is one of my favorite horse and once we follow. He should win this race if fully fit but this is his first run of the season. He is odds on as well. Rusumaat could sneak a place in race but no bet for me in race.

1.45 Salute The Soldier 8-1 ( Notebook4 places with Paddy/Betfair)

2.20 Barney Roy 4-6

2.55 Matterhorn 15-8

3.30 Desert Encounter 9-2

======================================================================

Lucky 15 – 12.35 Bochart 15-8 , 2.20 Barney Roy 4-6 , 2.55 Matterhorn 13-8 , 3.30 Desert Encounter 9-2 ( @paddypower)

 

* It’s the last weekend before Cheltenham and we have a decent card at Meydan on Super Saturday. I am getting lots of messages on twitter re Cheltenham and I simply don’t have time to reply to you all as I am very busy studying.

I haven’t done many ante posts this year but i mentioned 3 last March which were Klassical Dream for Champion Hurdle, Paisley Park for Stayers and Chacun Pour Soi for Champion Chase. The last 2 looked good so far from the 7-2 and 8-1 we got last year while the first one has been down the drains for many months but he owes us nothing from the 16-1/14-1 we got on him for Supreme  🙂  Furthermore  I have done Envoi Allen Ballymore , Appreciate It (Champion Bumper ), our Foxhunter’s winner from last year Hazel Hill again, Altior in Champion Chase, Tiger Roll in X Country.

For the first time in many years I have NO ante post bets on any horse for Tuesday ! Once the final declarations are out (Sunday 10am for Tuesday races) I will be betting. My Cheltenham blog will be out on Monday evening as I am still working on it. Hope this answers most of your questions and my DM inbox will get some rest in the next 3 days  🙂 Good luck tomorrow.