Saturday 1st June

Epsom

2.00 The Trader 5-1

2.35 Anna Nerium 5-1

3.10 Bye Bye Hong Kong 5-2

3.45 Duke of Firenze 7-1 & Muthmir 11-1 ( 6 places with @skybet)

4.30 Broome 11-2 & Madhmoon 10-1 (Notebook) ( 4 places with @skybet,@paddypower, @williamhill etc ) – No write ups for now as I am out drinking but might do one tomorrow morning. 

Scroll down for write up 

5.15 Sextant 7-4

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E/w Lucky 15 – 2.00 The Trader 5-1 , 2.35 Anna Nerium 5-1, 3.45 Duke of Firenze 7-1 , 4.30 Broome 9-2 ( @skybet)

 

Sir Dragonet heads the betting after his demolition job on rain softened ground in the Chester Vase few weeks ago. He is drawn in 13 and will be experiencing different conditions in few hours time. The ground is rattling fast from what I saw yesterday and he could be vulnerable. He can be taken on just like Meydaayih in the Oaks. Sir DragonLay 🙂

Telecaster has been supplemented for the race and his only defeat so far came at the hands of Bangkok at Doncaster back in April. He won his maiden in impressive fashion at Windsor before following up in the Dante Stakes at York where he got the better of Too Darn Hot in a fascinating duel on the Knavesmire. He is a very good horse and his sectionals at York were sublime. He will face similar conditions at Epsom and will enjoy the quick ground. The trip wouldn’t be a concern for him as he is by New Approach out of dual Oaks runner up Shirocco Star. He has plenty of stamina in his pedigree and won’t have any problem staying the extra 2f. The slight concern with him is he ran quite free at York and will need to settle better. Also he has been drawn in 2 and its a stall that has been cursed over the years as no horse has won the Derby from there. I can’t see him out of the places though and has the assistance of one of the best jockeys in Oisin Murphy.

Broome is one of my selection here and I had my eyes on him since finishing 2nd to Madhmoon ( we backed it that day on Super Sunday) in the Champion Juvenile Stakes at Leopardstown. He then went to Longchamp where he was beaten by a nostril by Royal Marine in the Group 1 Jean Luc Lagadere. He made his seasonal debut in the Ballysax Stakes where he destroyed his stable mate Sovereign by 8 lengths. He followed up in the Derrinstown last month where he was once again very impressive. He won’t have any problem with the trip and he has form over quick surface too. The son of Australia could emulate his Dad if things fall into place and has a solid chance with Donnacha doing the steering. 

Anthony Van Dyck is the other O’Brien horse in the race and he has some solid form over 7f  when only beaten by the likes of Quorto and Too Darn Hot. He went to the Breeders Cup where he didn’t run to form and being drawn in the car park didn’t help his cause too. He made his reappearance in the Derby Trial Stakes at Lingfield where he was mightily impressive. He looked much stronger than last year and traveled supremely well on the day. They didn’t expect him to win the race and he drifted like a barge before race. He could run a big race too being by Galileo and I expect him to be thereabouts.

Madhmoon is one of horses I follow and did us a nice favour last year on Super Sunday when he won the Champion Juvenile Stakes. He was beaten on debut in the Ballylinch Trial but he wasn’t there to win on the day. He was giving weight to the winner Never No More as well. He ran a fantastic race in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket where he finished 4th and could have possibly been on the wrong side of the track. He was staying on powerfully that day and looked like he needed further. He reminds me a bit of Masar last year. He will relish the ground conditions too. I have a slight concern about him in that we are going into the unknown re stepping up in trip. He is by Dawn Approach ( our legendary horse) and one we backed for the Derby but he didn’t stay the trip 6 years ago. Connections are bullish he will stay though and let’s hope he doesn’t do a Maqsad ( Don’t give up on her yet as she will win big races once dropped back in distance)

The King Power owned Bangkok represents the Balding stable and he is unbeaten in 2 starts this year. He won his maiden stakes at Doncaster back in March and the race has worked out well with Telecaster having won a Group 2. He followed up in the Classic Trial at Sandown. He raced keenly that day but quickened away smartly before staying on powerfully at the end. He will have to improve again to win the Derby and I can’t see it.

Circus Maximus is the other O’Brien horse in race and he ran in very good company last year. He was beaten in the Autumn Stakes by Persian king and Magna Grecia who won the French and English Guineas. He finished 4th in the Group 1 Vertem Futurity beaten by Magna Grecia and Phoenix of Spain. The latter destroyed the field in the Irish 2000 Guineas last week. As you can see he has ran against some very good horses last year and brings some solid form on the table. He won in workmanlike fashion for us in the Dee Stakes but he will come on leaps and bounds from this race. He is wearing cheekpieces for the first time and Frankie has been booked. He is the dark horse in race and I wouldn’t put anyone off backing him.

Japan is the forgotten horse in race and he was one of the favorites of the Derby for few months. He won the Beresford Stakes last year at Naas and disappointed on his seasonal debut in the Dante at York. He has 6-7 lengths to find with Telecaster but everyone knows he wasn’t ready that day. He drifted from 3’s to 8-1 and he didn’t looked 100% to me on the day. One bad run can be forgiven and he might be the one that cause an upset in race. The Beresford winners have also delivered some classic winners in last few years in Capri and Saxon Warrior so don’t be surprised if Japan wins. He could get a lot closer to Telecaster later as O’Brien horses come on a lot from their first run as we saw yesterday with Kew Gardens , Fleeting, Pink Dogwood etc. Line of Duty is a big price but he ran shockingly in the Dante. I am not sure about him over this trip as well so for this reason I will discount him.

 

 

 

 

 

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Friday 31st May

Epsom 

2.00 Misty Grey 3-1

2.35 History Writer 8-1 & Masham Star 11-1(Notebook) – ( 4 places with bookies)

3.10 Old Persian 10-3  ( I had a few quid on Kew Gardens at 5’s  two weeks ago but Godolphin have supplemented Old Persian since. He is a big danger based on what he has done so far this year especially at Meydan. The trip could be on the sharp side for Kew Gardens I think. Old Persian did beat Kew Gardens in the Great Voltigeur last year and I think he is a much improved horse this year. )

3.45 Jazeel 7-1

4.30 Maqsad 7-1 & Anapurna 13-2 ( 4 places with certain bookmakers) –

These are the 2 horses that we have followed so far this season and they have won  some decent races/. I am keeping the faith with both of them. Maqsad finished third in that Yarmouth Novice Stakes last October behind Mehdaayih. She made her seasonal debut at Newmarket when she won by a short head but was very impressive at the same track on her following start in the Pretty Polly Stakes. She will need to prove her stamina in the race and we can be hopeful as she is out of a Galileo mare. She has plenty of speed too since her sire Siyouni was a very good miler. She travels well in her races and has a decent turn of foot too which can be helpful at Epsom as long as she stays the trip.

Anapurna is the other Gosden filly in the race and glad Frankie is on board again. I had my eyes on her since she won at Lingfield few months ago. She went to Lingfield again for the Oaks Trial where she destroyed the field in the manner of a very good horse. Despite drifting in the closing stages she won with plenty in hand and I think there is more improvement in her. Mehdaayih quickened away smartly from her rivals in the Cheshire Oaks and showed a decent turn of foot but that was on very soft ground. She will encounter different conditions tomorrow and she might have her work cut out as a result. I was on Manuela De Vega that day and I think she is a over priced in race. She was giving weight away that day and had to wait for a clear run since she was stuck behind a wall of horses. She ran on well at the end but Mehdaayih had already flown.

Pink Dogwood represents the O’Brien yard and heads the betting. Since finishing 5th in the Marcel Boussac at Longhchamp she had only ran once and that came at Navan in the Salsabil Stakes. She won in a workmanlike fashion that day and stayed on strongly at the end. The step up in distance will suit her being by Camelot but she is a short price for my liking in a race of that nature. Tarnawa was 3rd to Pink Dogwood and she gave the form a nice boost when she won the Blue Wind Stakes few weeks ago at Naas. She  could be the dark horse in the race if she has improved again. Frankellina is the Haggas filly in race and she ran a great race in the Musidora despite being slowly away. She made up lots of ground at the end to fail by a neck to Nausha. She could be another one to benefit if the market leaders have an off day and one for the each way thieves. A little reminder that this race always delivers shock results and has been for a few years now. Qualify winning at 50-1 (was 100-1 in the morning ) four years ago remains one the biggest surprises.

5.15 Space Blues 2-1

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Lucky 15 – 2.00 Misty Grey 11-4 , 3.10 Old Persian 3-1, 4.30 Maqsad 6-1, 5.15 Space Blues 13-8 (@bet365)

E/w Trixie –  2.35 Masham Star 11-1 , 3.45 Jazeel 13-2, 4.30 Anapurna 6-1 (@paddypower)

 

Saturday 25th May

Haydock 

2.50 Aweedram 8-1 & Duke of Hazzard 20-1 ( 4/5 places with bookmakers. Interesting that Kingscote ,the king at Haydock decides to stick with Aweedram instead of riding Barristan The Bold for his boss. Re Duke of Hazzard, he is dropping into handicap company after running well last two times in Group races when beaten by Persian King. He is over priced in my opinion and he wasn’t disgraced in France last time in that Group 1 race.)

4.00 Mabs Cross 11-4

4.35 Signora Cabello 3-1

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Goodwood -2.30 Mr Diamond 10-1 , 3.40 Mirage Dancer 11-10

York –  3.45 El Astronaute 8-1

Curragh

3.00 Speak In Colours 4-1

3.35 Magna Grecia 5-4 (Ante Post)

Too Darn Hot being supplemented 2 days ago adds further spice to this race. I got on Magna Grecia last Monday thinking Too Darn Hot wouldn’t run and I am going to stick with him since I never change my minds. He won the 2000 Guineas for us very easily few weeks ago and he would have won wherever he was racing on the day.  A few people questioned the pace bias where he was racing etc but that’s nonsense. Like i mentioned many times the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket last year has been working well and Persian King won the French Guineas a week later. I love the way he quickened away and put the race to bed last time. He will be a tough nut to crack tomorrow.

On the other side we have Too Darn Hot, one of our favorite horses in training. He ran a decent race in the Dante in my opinion where he showed he has trained on but he simply didn’t stay the trip. He was beaten by a very good horse in Telecaster and he will be more at ease back over a mile with a run under his belt. The quick turn around is a slight concern but Gosden wouldn’t have run him if he thought he needed time to recover from his York exertions. It was a nice comeback and I’ve noticed Frankie did get him switch off quite easily after leaving the stalls when he raced a bit keenly. Also he was carrying a bit of condition that day from TV pics and he will strip fitter tomorrow.

The only negative for Too Darn Hot if you believe in stats is that John Gosden is 2/18 with horses running back in Group 1’s having run in previous fortnight since 2003 ( Tony Keenan tweet). The two winners were Enable in King George and Persuasive in QEII at Ascot. I can see him going clear favorite tomorrow. If you think Too Darn Hot will win but have done Magna Grecia ante post then i will suggest a treble Too Darn Hot-Calyx (3.25 Sandy Lane Stakes tomorrow) -Magical (Tattersalls Gold Cup on Sunday) that pays around 11-4 with bet365 right now. Of course you have to play with your % to maximise profit for the two outcomes etc but i am sticking with Magna Grecia to win.

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Lucky 15 – 3.35 Magna Grecia 6-4 , 3.40 Mirage Dancer 10-11,  4.00 Mabs Cross 3-1 , 4.35 Signora Cabello 11-4 ( @paddypower)

E/w Lucky 15 – 2.30 Mr Diamond 10-1 ,2.50 Duke of Hazzard 20-1 ,3.00 Speak in Colours 4-1 , 3.45 El Astronaute 7-1 ( @paddypower)

 

 

 

Thursday 23rd May

Sandown

6.00 My Boy Sepoy 11-1

6.35 Proper Beau 9-2

Jm Jackson draw in 7 is putting me off and you need a low draw over 5f at Sandown normally. She finished 2nd to Ventura Rebel who went in again at Ascot next time out beating Lady Pauline.Full Authority is the obvious one in race but a bit short for my liking at 4-5 considering he won on really soft ground at Chester and bagged that rail. I like Proper Beau in race and he has a good draw too in 2 .

7.05 Dee Ex Bee 13-8

This is the race I am looking forward to watch the most tomorrow. Dee Ex Bee is the stand out performer in line up. He was always highly regarded at the yard and since finishing 2nd in the Derby last year he has bumped into a couple of smart horses like Cross Counter in the Gordon Stakes and Kew Gardens in the St Leger. He made a winning reappearance in the Sagaro Stakes few weeks ago where he destroyed the field. He is an exciting prospect in the stayer’s division and is progressive. He should win this race tomorrow

7.35 Regal Reality 15-8 –

He made an encouraging reappearance in the Group 2 bet365 mile here few weeks ago when we were on Beat The Bank. He wasn’t beaten too far and the way he shaped that day tells me the extra 2 f will suit him.Before that he was 3rd in the Joel Stakes behind Mustashry and Zabeel Prince. Mustashry won the Lockinge and Zabeel prince won the Earl of Sefton Stakes at Newmarket recently.  He is an improving horse and there is more to come from him this year. His trainer has a fantastic record in race too and Sir Ryan takes the ride.

8.10 Sangarius 4-1 – One of our horses to follow last season and I think he could win some good races this year.

8.40 Greenside 7-2  NON RUNNER ( History Writer at 5-1 is the danger here and he could be winning very soon)

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Lucky 15 – 7.05 Dee Ex Bee 5-4 , 7.35 Regal Reality 15-8 , 8.10 Sangarius 3-1 , 8.40 Greenside 3-1 NON RUNNER ( @bet365)

Saturday 18th May

Newbury

1.50 Khaadem 5-1

3.00 Solid Stone 11-2 & Good Birthday 9-1

3.40 Lord Glitters 15-2 & Romanised 20-1 ( 4 places with few bookies)

Lord Glitters is one of the most reliable horses in training. If you back him you know you will  always get a run for your money. On his last start he was 3rd to super filly Almond Eye over at Meydan. He has always failed at the highest level but he has a good chance tomorrow in a very wide open race. He has decent place claims here and back him with bookies paying 4 places. He deserves to win a Group 1 race and it could be his day to shine.

Romanised is a Group 1 horse that I think is overpriced. He won the Irish Guineas on his 2nd start last year and the strong pace set by US Navy Flag on the day suited him perfectly.He then ran in Group 1 races where he was beaten by the likes of Without Parole, Alpha Centauri and Roaring Lion. He was 5th in the Gladness Stakes on his seasonal debut but he was given a tender ride. He would have been closer to winner if he got a clearer run on that day. Le Brivido finished an eyecatching 3rd but Romanised was giving him 5lb on the day. And Le Brivido is 4-1/9-2 fave while Romanised is 20-1. It’s a no brainer. He will have a strong pace tomorrow in the race and conditions are ideal too. He will relish quick ground and should run a good race. Its deffo worth a few quid each way with bookies paying 4 places.

4.50 Sea of Faith 11-4 (Notebook) – Eyecatching run behind our winner Sparkle Roll at Sandown Park. Missed the kick and ran green but once penny dropped she started running on strongly at the end. That Sandown race has worked out well now after the meeting at Salisbury where two horses (La Lune & Motivate Me) that finished well behind have won. King Power was thrashed by our Saturday winner Anapururna in the Oak Fillies race at Lingfield last weel. Sparkle Form herself didn’t run her race on ground that was too quick for her at York but we can forgive her. The danger in race could be Lavenders Blue.

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E/w Lucky 15 –1.50 Khadem 9-2 , 3.00 Solid Stone 5-1 , 3.40 Romanised 20-1, 4.50 Sea of Faith 5-2

Friday 17th May

York

1.50 Lady Kermit 4-1 ( Same stakes on @bet365 if you had What’s The Story earlier today at York, It’s bigger on @skybet where its money back as cash if 2nd or 3rd)

2.25 Twist N Shake 5-2 ( She finished 2nd to Maqsad at Newmarket and was narrowly beaten on the day. Maqsad, a confirmed Oaks runner went on to destroy the field in the Pretty Polly Stakes on her next start while Twist N Shake won very easily at Nottingham. She is stepping up in class here and should relish ground conditions too. One at a bigger price that could be a danger is Clerisy.)

3.00  Stradivarius evens (Ante Post) 

3.35 Mistiroc 12-1 (Notebook)

4.35 Tenax 11-2

5.05 Laafy 7-2

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Newbury – 2.10 Ice Age 7-1

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E/w Lucky 15 – 1.40 Lady Kermit 9-2 ,  2.10 Ice Age 13-2 , 3.35 Mistiroc 9-1 , 4.35 Tenax 11-2 (@WilliamHill)

Trixie – 2.25 Twist N Shake 5-2 , 3.00 Stradivarius 4-6, 5.05 Laafy 3-1 (@WilliamHill)

 

 

Thursday 16th May

TDH

York

1.50 Tommy Taylor 12-1 (4/5 places with bookies + Money back as cash if 2nd or 3rd with @skybet)

2.25 Lah Ti Dar should win this on her seasonal debut. She drops in class here and should prove to be a cut above this lot.

3.00 Too Darn Hot 7-4 (Ante Post) –

Our champ and cash machine horse of last year makes his seasonal debut in the Dante Stakes. He won the Dewhurst very easily last time and the third Anthony Van Dyck gave the form a nice boost last Saturday when he destroyed the field in the Lingfield Derby Trial. That Dewhurst race was the best performance  by any horse since Frankel. He is stepping up in trip here and I don’t think it will inconvenience him. He is a superstar and is very hard to oppose him. Still my brains say he won’t be running in Derby but lets see how he performs tomorrow. Line of Duty who did us a massive favour when winning at the Breeders Cup is one that will relish the distance and he could be a danger. Japan won the Beresford Stakes over a mile last time out and he is one of the leading contenders for the Derby. I think he will be saved for the Derby and won’t be given a hard time tomorrow. He might even need the run.

3.35 Whats The Story 12-1 ( Tricky race- 4/5 places with bookies )

4.05 Soldier’s Call 15-8

4.35 Hong Kong 6-4 NON RUNNER ( Not a race to bet with big stakes as most of these are newcomers but Hong Kong is one to keep an eye on for future races as he is regally bredhttps://twitter.com/kris1179/status/1128389413598375938

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E/w Trixie – 1.50 Tommy Taylor 12-1 , 3.00 Line Of Duty 15-2 ,3.35 What’s The Story, 11-1 ( @William Hill)

Double – 2.25 Lah Ti Dar & 3.00 Too Darn Hot ( 11-4 on @Skybet)