Wednesday 1st May

Punchestown

4.55 Vision D’Honneur 11-4

5.30 Allaho 4-1 & Carefully Selected 6-1

6.05 Kemboy 6-4

6.40 Santa Rossa 6-1

7.10 Ben Dundee 9-1 (Notebook)

7.45 Gypsy Island 4-1

============================================================================

Lucky 15 – 4.55 Vision D’Honneur 11-4 , 5.30 Carefully Selected 5-1 , 6.05 Kemboy 6-4 , 7.45 Gypsy Island 9-4 ( @bet365)

E/w Trixie – 5.30 Carefully Selected 6-1 , 6.40 Santa Rossa 6-1, 7.10 Ben Dundee (@paddypower)

 

 

Tuesday 30th April

Punchestown

3.40 Youcannotbeserious 11-4

4.20 Klassical Dream 8-11

This should go to Klassical Dream and based on his demolition job in the Supreme he is very hard to oppose. He was superb at Cheltenham and jumped brilliantly throughout. If he is in the same form then it will take a good one to beat him. His stablemate Quick Grabim hasn’t run since winning for us in the Grade 1 Royal Bond last December . He comes here as a relatively fresh horse after recovering from a stress fracture sustained back in January. He might need the run but i wouldn’t put anyone off having a few quid each way on him at 8’s as he could be a live danger. Felix Desyj won the Top Novice Hurdle at Aintree when just holding on from Aramon. Both were well beaten by Klassical Dream and I can’t see them reversing the form. 

4.55  Jan Maat 14-1 ( 4 places with bookies)

5.30 Min 8-13 and double with Klassical Dream

Min should win this race if he jumps like he did at Aintree.  It’s a 2 horse race with Un De Sceaux who comes back to defend his crown. He had a good rest since Cheltenham where he ran below par in the Ryanair. I still think he is at his very best over the minimum trip and is a major player in race. For those who don’t like taking odds on then UDS in the w/o is the way to go.

6.40 Getabird 7-1

The form horse in race is Delta Work based on his 3rd in the RSA behind Topofthegame. This was a such a tough race for these horses at Cheltenham and we saw recently at Aintree that Topofthegame wasn’t at his best. I think Delta Work could be in a similar boat. A Plus Tard was very impressive when winning the Close Brothers handicap race at Cheltenham. He receives weight for age allowance which could help him too. This is a step up in grade though and he is stepping up in trip too. I prefer to look for an each way angle in race when I am not totally sure. Getabird is my choice and he comes here as a fresh horse too. He was beaten at Limerick last December in that Grade 1 when Hardline collared him close home. He’s already won three times at the track and will relish the step up in trip. He is the each way angle in race and will give you a good run for your money. Of the others Chriss Dream has a small chance if he is back to the form he showed when he won at Navan two starts ago.

7.15 Farceur Du Large 5-1

============================================================================

E/w Lucky 15 – 4.20 Quick Grabim 8-1 , 4.55 Jan Maat 14-1 , 6.40 Getabird 9-2 , 7.15 Farceur Du Large 5-1 (@Skybet)

 

Saturday 27th April

altior

Sandown

2.25 Black Corton 7-2

3.00 This should be straight forward for Altior and a few of us are on him to break Big Bucks record & to remain unbeaten this season. So we will be cheering him on to make history and win his 19th consecutive race. Sceau Royal should follow him home.

3.35 The Young Master 10-1 & West Approach 25-1 (5/6 places with bookies)

4.10 On The Blind Side 5-1

4.40 Molineaux 9-1

5.15 Champagne Court 7-1

===========================================================================

E/w Lucky 15 – 2.25 Black Corton 10-3 , 3.35 The Young Master 9-1 , 4.10 On The Blind Side 5-1, 5.15 Champagne Court 7-1 ( @ladbrokes)

* It looks very tricky tomorrow so keep stakes to a minimum and bet e/w or on the place market when necessary. Payday rules apply too 🙂  Big week coming up as from next Tuesday at Punchestown. No need to bet big too. Good luck

 

Friday 26th April

Sandown 

1.50 Reggae Runner 5-1

2.25 Crystal Ocean is a little bit short in the market. He is form horse in race but he scrambled home in same race last year to beat Fabricate on his seasonal debut. I will have an e/w bet on Trais Fluors instead at 7-1. 

3.00 Bangkok 7-4  Bangkok won his maiden at Doncaster few weeks ago at Doncaster. The 2nd that day Telecaster went on to frank the form when he won impressively at Windsor. The 4th Dubai Instinct also gave the form a boost by winning his maiden at Nottingham. Before that Bangkok finished 4th to Kick On at Newmarket last September and the latter recently won the Fielden Stakes for us at same track. As you can see he has solid form in the book. He is stepping up in class tomorrow though but I am sure SDS will give him a good ride. I have a few quid on him at 3-1 ante post too. The danger could be Technician and he won very nicely at Leicester.  

3.35 Beat The Bank 3-1

4.35 Sparkle Roll 2-1

============================================================================

Lucky 15 – 1.50 Reggae Runner 5-1 , 3.00 Bangkok 6-4 , 3.35 Beat The Bank 3-1  4.35 Sparkle Roll 2-1

 

 

Monday 22nd April

Fairyhouse

2.40 Way Back Home 10-1

I think this one is over priced in the market. The top 2 in the betting are the obvious ones since they finished 2nd and 3rd in the Triumph Hurdle behind Pentland Hills. The latter went in again at Aintree by winning the Grade 1 Doom Bar Juvenile Hurdle. I can’t separate the 2 and it will depend on how they have recovered from their Cheltenham exertions. Way Back Home finished 3rd at Punchestown in December in a race won by Gardens of Babylon. He has since won his maiden and a Grade 3 at the track. He travels well and can make the running. He is a fluent jumper too and think he will be in the places at least. He comes here as a fresh horse too compared to the 3 market leaders  and Paul Townend takes the ride too.

4.20 Snow Falcon 11-8

He hasn’t been seen since November when he won the Grade 2 at Down Royal beating the likes of Shattered Love, Monalee and The Storyteller. He comes here a fresh horse and has outstanding claims. Ordinary World is the danger as he has been beaten in Grade 1 races behind the likes of Altior and Min. He is also receiving 6lb from Snow Falcon. The Storyteller has been disappointing since winning the Grade 1 Champion Novice Chase at Punchestown last year. He was pulled up after blundering in the Ryanair last time and he isn’t reliable with his jumping.

5.00 Burrows Saint 9-1 & Roaring Bull 33-1 (Notebook) – ( 6 places with bookies),

6.10 Andy Dufresne 4-5 ( Non Runner)

============================================================================

E/w Trixie – 2.40 Way Back Home 10-1 , 3.15 Getaway John 10-1 , 5.00 Roaring Bull 33-1

 

 

Friday 19th April

Lingfield

1.30  Sha La La Lee 14-1 (Tricky race for apprentices )

2.00 Amade evens ( For the each way thieves Spark Plug 9-1 could sneak a place and could be an e/w saver )

2.30 Rasima 11-2

3.05 Kachy evens (Ante Post) – I can’t see this getting beat tomorrow and he has been aimed at this race for months. Despite the draw in 8 he should make a bold bid from the front and it will be a question of how far.

3.40 Pizzicato 9-2

4.15 Wissahickon should win this nicely so can be used in multiples. Matterhorn is 2/2 at Lingfield but was very disappointing in the Magnolia Stakes at Kempton. I think Master of the World is one that could sneak a place with Ryan Moore in the saddle. He ran a nice race behind Mootasadir last time and his Lingfield form is 3-2-1-7-1-2-1-6.

4.45 Oh This Is Us 11-2

===========================================================================

Newcastle – 3.20 Newcastle Magic  J 9-2

===========================================================================

Lucky 15 – 2.00 Amade evens , 3.05 Kachy 8-11 , 3.20 Magic J 4-1 , 4.45 Oh This Is Us 5-1( @skybet)

E/w Lucky 15 – 1.30 Sha La La Lee 14-1 ,2.00 Spark Plug 15-2 , 3.40 Pizzicato 4-1 , 4.45 Oh This Is Us 5-1 (@William Hill)

 

* The treble Amade , Kachy and Wissahickon will be very popular tomorrow. Think it will be enhanced as well. Also keep an eye on Adam Kirby who has gone to Bath and has some good chances there tomorrow. Good luck

 

Wednesday 17th April

Newmarket

1.50 Moyassar 13-2 ( If you did have Qabala as your first bet today in the Nell Gwyn then you have a free bet same stakes in that race on @bet365. It’s a trappy race so if you don’t have a free bet go easy and look out for bookies paying 4 places )

3.00 Brando 6-4  ( His form at Newmarket is 1-1-3-1-2  and he has an even better record when he makes his seasonal debut 1-1-1-1)

3.35 Zakouski 9-4  – Masar won this last year and Charlie Appleby has another potentially good horse in Zakouski. He has been the subject of good reports in last few weeks and has been working well with the likes of Auxerre the Lincoln winner. The form horse though is Royal Marine who won the Group 1 Jean Luc Lagadere at Longchamp last October. The second that day Broome has since franked the form by winning the Ballysax at Leopardstown. We did back Royal Marine at Meydan but his run that day can be forgiven as he didn’t like the dirt surface and Super Soumi took care of him. I have always favoured form over hype but I did back Zakouski 2 days ago ante post so I will stick with him. 

4.10 Ojooba 11-4

============================================================================

Cheltenham – 2.40 Wenyerreadyfreddie 5-1  – Don’t normally bet at Cheltenham in April but this one could be well handicapped and comes here as a fresher horse than most. We can forgive him his bad run on bad ground at Doncaster last December but judged him based on his  form when he won at Ascot where did beat Kildisart ( 4th in the JLT and winner at Aintree) & also the likes of Caid Du Lin and Peppay Le Pugh previously. The return to a left handed track and the quicker ground might suit him. The danger could be Highway One O One who didn’t like softer conditions last March at the festival 

==========================================================================

Lucky 15 – 2.40 Wenyerreadyfreddie 5-1 , 3.00 Brando 6-4 , 3.35 Zakouski 9-4 , 4.10 Ojooba 11-4

 

* Looks trappy tomorrow so don’t go mad with stakes. Don’t give away  all your winnings since we have some good races at Lingfield on Friday. Good luck

Tuesday 16th April

Newmarket

1.50 Blackheath 8-1

2.25 Shine So Bright 7-2

3.00 Kick On 7-2

3.35 Main Edition 4-1 & Qabala 8-1(Notebook)

5.20 Solid Stone 2-1

==========================================================================

Lucky 15 – 2.25 Shine So Bright 7-2 , 3.00 Kick On 7-2 , 3.35 Main Edition 7-2 , 5.20 Solid Stone 2-1 ( @bet365)

E/w Trixie – 1.50 Blackheath 8-1, 3.00 Kick On 3-1 , 3.35 Qabala 8-1 (@betvictor)

* Chasing Dreams in the 4.10 could be one for future races. She is regally bred being a daughter of Starspangledbanner. Not a betting proposition for me at 8/15 for a single bet but I will keep a close eye on her. 

 

 

Saturday 13th April

Newbury 

1.40 Defoe 13-8

2.10 Star Terms 9-1

2.40 Boitron 4-1

3.15 Ripp Orf 11-1 & Gulf of Poets 20-1 (Notebook)

===========================================================================

Ayr – 1.25 Duke of Navan 10-1 , 2.25 Mister Fisher 6-1 ( Non Runner ) , 3.35 Big River 10-1 & Crosshue Boy 12-1

==========================================================================

E/w Lucky 15 – 1.25 Duke of Navan 9-1 , 2.10 Star Terms 9-1 , 2.25 Mister Fisher 5-1 ,(Non Runner ) , 3.15 Ripp Orf 9-1 ( @WilliamHill)

 

* It’s the transition period between jump and flat season. I always remind people about this time of the year when you have to take things easy rather than having big bets. Jump horses are tired from a long season and the fresher ones normally run better. On the flat most horses do need the run and we won’t know for sure which ones are fitter or which stables are firing. You will only know these things by watching races and taking notes for future races.

You will notice that lots of fancied horses at short odds will get overturned on flat and jumps in April while big priced ones win easily for bookies. Be wise and don’t lump on anything. Once it has settled down in few things then it will be all guns blazing till Royal Ascot. Good luck

 

 

 

 

Saturday 6th April

Grand National

Aintree

1.45 Aux Ptits Soins 12-1 ( 6 places with @skybet)

2.25 Angels Breath 7-2

3.00 Clondaw Castle 4-1

3.40 Apples Jade 7-4

4.20 Mister Malarky 13-2 & Springtown Lake 11-1 (Notebook)

5.15 Tiger Roll 5-1 (AP) , 2 each way bets Rathviden 11-1 and Ramses De Teillee 25-1

(Some great offers from bet365 as long as you bet before midday tomorrow as they return half of your stake back on each way bets. Shop around as always to get best place terms with bookies. Some are paying 6/7 places right now.  Hope all horses come home safe and sound which is most important. It’s a difficult race as we all know so don’t lump on anything )

6.20 Scheu Time 11-2

============================================================================

Lucky 15 – 2.25 Angels Breath 7-2 , 3.00 Clondaw Castle  ,3.40 Apples Jade 7-4, 5.15 Tiger Roll 9-2

E/w Lucky 15 –  1.45 Aux Ptits Soins 12-1  ,4.20 Springtown Lake 10-1, 5.15 Rathvinden 8-1, 6.20 Scheu Time 11-2

==========================================================================

2.25 Betway Mersey Novices Hurdle (Grade 1 )

Black Op was last year’s winner and arrived in this race after finishing 2nd to Samcro in the Ballymore. In the process he became the 14th winner in the last 20 years that have ran at the Cheltenham festival. Nine of those 14 have ran in the Ballymore Novice Hurdle. We all remember our 2 superstars in Yorkhill and Simonsig who did the Ballymore-Mersey Novice double in the last few years. The Ballymore  has become more influential lately and it will likely provide more winners in future.

This is another race on Aintree’s hurdles track in which front-runners tend to struggle, although Black Op did race prominently from a relatively early stage last year . The lack of suitability for front-runners has been well-documented already, although those who track the pace are well-suited. Its normally a race for favorite backers as they have won 17 of the last 21 races. A good stat for Angels Breath backers is that seven of the last 21 winners of this race were stepping up in trip for first time. Paul Nichols has a fantastic record but he has no runners this year. The same can be said about Willie Mullins. Five Year olds have a good record in race as they have won three of the last five runnings that includes a 1-2-3-4 two years ago.

Angels Breath comes here on the back of finishing 7th in the Supreme that was won by Klassical Dream. He was an impressive winner of the Novice Trial at Ascot on his debut last December where he quickened away smartly despite jumping only 4 hurdles that day due to the low sun. He wasn’t seen again till the Dovecote in late February where he was beaten by a very good/experienced horse in Southfield Stone. He can be excused as he didn’t have a good preparation and was vaccinated few days before race. He was given an educational ride that day and its not easy to give weight away too. On his last start there was no excuse as he was soundly beaten and he made a few jumping mistakes too during the race. He is stepping up in distance today and the flat track might suit him. He still has questions to prove but we all know he is well regarded at the yard. He could well be a different horse tomorrow if he has improved in the last 3 weeks.

Brewin’upastorm represents the Olly Murphy yard and he was very impressive when he won on seasonal debut at Huntingdon. He then contested the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle where he was 4th behind Champ. He was kept at the rear but was too keen. He did stay on strongly at the end though. He was an unlucky faller on his following start at Cheltenham when he was going to piss it. His last start was in the Ballymore where he ran a creditable race in 4th beaten by over 4 lengths by City Island. He had every chance turning for home but didn’t find much under pressure. He isn’t a Grade 1 horse for me yet as he could bump into a classy one but it could be the track might suit him better than at Cheltenham.

One For Rosie ran a gallant race in that race at Sandown under top weight when he got collared by Third Wind in the dying strides. Before that he won very easily  at Warwick where he jumped brilliantly throughout. On his seasonal debut he did beat Glen Forsa over at Carlisle. He is a progressive horse and could make his presence felt on this speed track.

Chosen Mate has won 2 out of his 3 races this season for Gordon Elliot. He won his maiden over at Fairyhouse in convincing fashion before finding the exciting Sinoria a little bit too strong in the Listed race over at Punchestown. He was then sent to the Grade 2 Paddy Power Novice Hurdle at Naas where he hold on gamely at the end. He travelled beautifully that day and stayed on strongly. This step up in trip will suit him and he will relish conditions too. I will give him an each way squeak.

Umbrigado has won all his three starts this season. He made his debut at Uttoxeter last November in a bumper race that he won easily. He then made his hurdling debut at Southwell before defying a penalty to win at Exeter on his last start. His stable are in good form and I think he will relish the step up in trip and could run a good race.

 Selection – Angels Breath

3.00 Doom Bar Maghull Novices Chase (Grade 1)

Winners of this race are normally found in the first three of the betting. 20 out of 21 winners could be found in top three and 12 of the last 16 in top two in the betting. Winners of this race normally comes from the Arkle at Cheltenham as 18 of the last 24 have ran at the festival before. It is another race where you have to take into account form on a flat track as plenty of winners have proved their worth on speed based tracks like the winner Diego Du Charmil last year. Five year olds have a good record in race between 1999 and 2007 when they had five from nine winners. That was due to the weight for age allowance that existed at that time. It was completely removed in 2008 and since then only six five year olds have taken their chance. Seven of the last nine winners were aged six.

Us and Them heads the betting for Joseph O’Brien. He made his seasonal debut at Wexford where he was 4th to Minds Eye and he then won his beginners Chase at Navan. He then came 2nd to a very good horse in Le Richebourg over Xmas in the Racing Post Novice Chase where he was very good with his jumping and stayed on stronglly in the run in. He was then destroyed by the same horse in the Frank Ward Arkle Novice Chase over at Leopardstown where he wasn’t disgraced at all. He ran his race at Cheltenham in the Arkle where he was 2nd again but it was a race decimated by fallers to Kalashnikov, Lalor etc. The winner that day Duc De Genievres spread eagled the field and won with ease. He will give you a run for your money but could bump into an improver.

Clondaw Castle comes from the Tom Georges yard and he was fourth in the Arkle and has 7 lengths to make on Us and Them on form. He ran a very good race at Cheltenham and even challenged the winner but he couldn’t keep up with the pace on the turn. Before that he won two races at Leicester and Huntingdon. He is a sound jumper and there could be more improvement to come from this fella on this speedy track.

Lalor won the Top Novices Hurdle at big odds at this festival last year. He made his chasing debut at Cheltenham in the Arkle Novice Trial where he jumped his rivals into submission. That was very impressive performance as he was very fluent at his fences and it was a joy to watch him that day. He gave a good beating to Dynamite Dollars who then reversed the form at Sandown in the Henry VII Chase. He was pulled up in the Arkle as he was never travelling on the desperate ground that day and Richard Johnson looked after him. I think if the ground dries up more tomorrow he will be thereabouts if he comes back to the form of his Cheltenham form in earlier season.

Ornua was the other faller in that dramatic Arkle race at Cheltenham. Before that he was a good 2nd to Dynamite Dollars at Sandown in the Henry VII. He also finished 2nd in the Grade 2 Buck House Novice Chase at Punchestown where he was beaten by Cadmium,who just won the Topham. He has decent claims on form and if he jumps he will be thereabouts.

Knocknanuss hails from the Gary Moore race and was 5th in the Arkle.He fell on his seasonal debut at Plumpton before redeeming himself at Fakenham and Newbury. He was then beaten by a well regarded horse in Mister Dino in the valuable race at Plumpton where he was caught 2 out. He also fell in the Grade 1 at Leopardstown during the Dublin festival. He is a front runner and is prone to jumping errors. For that reason I cant have him in the race.

Selection – Clondaw Castle