Saturday 30th March

almond

Meydan

12.15 Muntazah 6-5, True Timber 14-1 e/w

12.50 Call The Wind 4-1

1.30 Blue Point evens (Ante Post) , Brave Smash 14-1 e/w

2.05 Divine Image 11-4 , Superior 25-1 e/w

2.40  X Y Jet 7-2

3.20 Almond Eye 5-4

4.00 Rey De Oro 3-1

4.40 Capezzano 5-1 (Ante Post) & Yoshida 8-1 (4 places with Paddy Power)

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Lucky 15 – 12.15 Muntazah 10-11 , 3.20 Almond Eye 5-4 , 4.00 Rey De Oro 3-1, 4.40 Capezzano 4-1 (@skybet)

E/w Trixie – 12.50 Call The Wind 7-2 , 1.30 Brave Smash 14-1 , 4.40 Yoshida 8-1 (@bet365)

Fun E/w Lucky 15 – 12.15 True Timber 12-1 , 1.30 Brave Smash 14-1 , 2.05 Superior 25-1 ,4.40 Yoshida 8-1 (@bet365)

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12.15 Godolphin Mile (Group 2 )

This is a race that Saeed Bin Suroor has won ten times but it’s been 6 years since his last success in the race courtesy of African Story. Doug Watson has won it twice in last three years with One Man Band and Second Summer( our 25-1 winner in 2017). The defending champion Heavy Metal is back again to defend his crown but he has looked a shadow of the horse we saw last year. He was last on his seasonal reappearance in the Group 2 Al Maktoum Challenge. He was then beaten by miles in the Firebreak and Burj Nahaar by Muntazah. I honestly can’t see him reversing form with the horse he beat last year in race in Muntazah.

This is the horse we have been following since January when he was 3rd behind North America and Kimbear. He has been a revelation since winning both his races by a wide margin. He has progressed with each run and he has a terrific turn of foot. He is well drawn in 6 and he has so much speed gate which is crucial at Meydan. He will make the running and in Jim Crowley he has a jockey who knows how to ride him. I can’t see him getting beat and I reckon Doug Watson will have another winner in race. Uncle Jim said in one interview few days ago that Muntazah was the best horse he’s ever ridden at Meydan which speaks volumes about how highly regarded he is.

Kimbear is the other Doug Watson runner in race but he has been disappointing this year. His last win came on Super Saturday last year and he has been thrashed by the likes of Muntazah and North America this year. Coal Front brings some solid US form on the table but his draw in 12 puts me off him.

Another US horse that could feature is True Timber who brings Grade 1 form to the table after finishing 7th in the Pegasus at Gulfstream Park. At 14-1/12-1 I think he is overpriced in this race. Major Partnership represents Godolphin but he scrapped to win a handicap on his last run at odds of 33-1. African Ride is another horse that won a handicap race on his last start and finished 20 lengths behind Capezzano before that.

For the winner I will stick with Muntazah as I think he is the class act in the race and will show this with Uncle Jim on Saturday.

Selection -Muntazah

12.50 Dubai Gold Cup (Group 2 )

This is quite a new race on the card and it has been ran since 2012. The champ Vazirabad is not in the line up this season after winning it for the last three years. Godolphin and Charlie Appleby has the two market leaders in Cross Counter and Ispolini. Cross Country won the Melbourne Cup in devastating fashion on his first try over this trip back in November. He is an improving horse and travels really well in his race. He was second in the Great Voltigeur over a shorter trip in a race that has worked out really well. I have a feeling he might need the run on Saturday and is short in the market.

Ispolini has won 2 of his 3 races at Meydan this season and he is a serious rival to Cross Counter. He destroyed the field in the  Group 3 Nad Al Sheba Trophy and reversed the form with Bin Battuta. But the race was marred with an injury to the champ Brundtland. He will have to step up again on Saturday but he goes in race with a live chance.

The other horse in race with a solid chance is Call The Wind trained by the legend Freddie Head. He is a lightly race horse who brings Group 1 form to the table after winning the Prix Du Cadran last October at Longchamp. He ran really well at Chantilly in the Darshaan Stakes when he finished 2nd to Trais Fluors. It was a warm up race as he ran over the shorter trip of 1m 1f and he gave away 6lb to the winner that day. He will strip fitter on Saturday and 4-1/7-2 could be value if you decide to take on the 2 Godolphin hotpots. I remember really well his turn of foot at Longchamp when he came past Holdthasigreen who I backed on the day. He will relish the trip and will have no stamina issues.

Prince of Arran ran only once at Meydan where he finished 4th in the City of Gold won by Old Persian. I can’t see him winning this race. Out of the others I will give a small each way squeak to Sharpalo who has always ran well at Meydan in last few months. He will always give his best and if one or two of the market principals fail then he could may be sneak a place.

Selection – Call The Wind

1.30 Al Quoz Sprint (Group 1 )

It’s the race I am most looking forward to on Saturday as it brings back some good memories for me over the last few years with the likes of J J The Jet Plane ( x 2),Shea Shea and the legend Sole Power. Blue Point should have won it last year but he bled at the start and had to be withdrawn. He heads the market again this year and could be hard to beat in my opinion. He won his 2 races at Meydan without breaking sweat and he is a more mature horse this year. He is all speed and can quicken off the pace very easily with that turn of foot he has. He was very impressive on Super Saturday when he won the Nad Al Sheba Turf Sprint over C&D. If he wins on Saturday then the 5-1 on him retaining his King’s Stand crown at Royal Ascot will be gone. 

Sands of Mali created a big shock on British Champions Day when he won the Sprint Stakes at 28-1. He also finished 2nd in the Commonwealth Cup last year and if he reproduces that form then he won’t be far away. Stormy Liberal is the one that could spoil the party if ever Blue Point has an off day. He won the Breeders Cup Turf Sprint for us last November but has since been beaten at odds on in his last 2 starts. I wouldn’t put anyone off backing him each way as he has been working well based on gallop reports from Meydan. Caribou Club did beat Stormy Liberal at Santa Anita on New Year’s Day and his sectionals were very good that day. I won’t rule him out of the equation at all as he is a speedy sort.

Another one with good each way claim is Wishful Thinker. He has been in very good form in Hong Kong having won four of his last 5 starts and he will relish the straight 6f track. I remember Silvestre De Sousa praising him when he won on the horse at Sha Tin recently. Brave Smash represents the Aussies but since winning the Group 1 Manikato Stakes he has been very disappointing. He showed glimpses he was back to his best 2 weeks ago when 3rd behind Osborne Bulls and Sunlight. On his best form he will be thereabouts and is another one with decent place claims.

For the winner I will stick with Blue Point and I think he will show his class on Saturday and could be the sprinter to follow along with Mabs Cross.

Selection – Blue Point & Brave Smash

2.05 Uae Derby (Group 2 – Dirt )

This is a wide open race and there are few with chances. Divine Image heads the betting and rightly so after her impressive runs this year. Everything went wrong for her in the 1000 Guineas when she missed the kick but she produced an unbelievable run to come from last to second. That was an eye catching run and she went in everyone’s notebook that day. It’s very hard to make ground on the dirt but the Scat Daddy filly showed she was a smart one. She then won the Uae Oaks and was delivered at the right time to nail her stablemate Swift Rose. She went on to destroy the Al Bastakiya on Super Saturday and showed a great turn of foot in the process. It was an impressive performance considering she was getting warm before entering the stalls. She gets weight from her main rivals here and could be tough to beat being a progressive filly.

Walking Thunder is one of 3 horses owned by the Phoenix Ladies Syndicate(PLS). He has won 3 of his 4 starts this season. He was turned over at odds of 4-11 on his latest start. He broke slowly that day and was taken on for the lead. He will have the assistance of Frankie Dettori in the saddle on Saturday. The 4th that day namely Sporting Chance has since gone to win a Listed race at Meydan. Funnily enough he beat Golden Jaguar,the other PLS horse on the day by a neck. I was very taken by Walking Thunder win in the Uae 2000 Guineas when he blitzed the field. If he is in the same form then he will be thereabouts and will give the favorite a good race. He has a perfect draw as well in stall one.

Superior is the other horse from the PLS that could run well at a big price. He was well beaten by Divine Image on his latest start but he made up a lot of ground to get 2nd and it was an eye catching run in my opinion. His 5th in the Al Bastakiya is working out well since the 2nd Esdihdaaf won the 2000 Guineas on his following start. Connor Beasley said Superior was his best chance of a winner on Saturday and he also had the pick of the 3 PLS horses.

Manguzi hasn’t been out of the places in his 3 races at Meydan. He was 2nd behind Walking Thunder in the 2000 Guineas before winning the Al Bastakiya Trial. He ran a creditable race on his last start only to be beaten by Superior and Divine Image. He has decent place claims in the race as he has some solid form in the book.

Jahbath represents the Haggas team and he has won his last 4 starts at tracks like Southwell and Kempton. I don’t really know what he beat in those races but he looked visually impressive from the way he quickened up. Derma Louvre represents the Japanese and he has been the subject of some good reports this week from the gallops. I don’t really know much about his form in Japan though.

Van Beethoven is the Ballydoyle’s representative in race and ran some good races on turf last season. He won his Group 2 in the Railway Stakes before finishing 4th in the Champagne Stakes behind Too Darn Hot. He is by Scat Daddy and the dirt surface won’t be a problem for him. He warmed up for that race by running at Dundalk few weeks ago but the drift before race told us he wasn’t there to win. The negative for him is the draw though. Of the rest I think Swift Rose (25-1) beaten a neck by Divine Image the fave and Razeena (50-1) are well over priced and could run well if they get a good position from their wide draws but it’s a big IF.

Selection -Divine Image and Superior

2.40 Golden Shaheen (Group 2 )

This is a race that will surely go to the Americans with three of their horses drawn low. Roy H has been scratched from race and he was the one I would have taken on in race like last year when he was beaten at 4/7 in same race. I suspect we might see X Y Jet and Promises Fulfilled fighting for the lead and if they do they might as well set up the race for a closer.

X Y Jet was our unlucky horse in race last year when he was caught on the line by Mind Your Biscuits. He was also second in the race in 2016 beaten a neck by Muarrab. He had a slight injury last summer but made his reappearance in January at Gulfstream where he was beaten at long odds on. He then went on to win the claiming race at the same track where he looked very good.

Promises Fulfilled was 4th in the Breeders Cup Turf Sprint won by Roy H. Before that he won his 3 races that included the Grade 2 Allen Jerkens Stakes where he made all to blitz the field. He is a lively danger as long as he doesn’t cut his own throat upfront.

I have a lot of time for Imperial Hint who was 3rd behind Roy H when we backed him last November. Before that he won 4 of  his 5 races that included 2 Grade 1’s in the Vosburgh Stakes at Belmont and the Vanderbilt at Saratoga. He is a major player in the race and I could see him slotting nicely behind X Y Jet & Promises Fulfiled before pouncing late on. Drafted represent the Doug Watson team and he has won 3 of his last 4 races at Meydan. He always come from the off the pace and i doubt if he could pick up the American speedsters upfront bar if they stop! For the winner I am going to stay loyal to X Y Jet and I hope he gets that elusive win on the big stage at Meydan.

Selection – X Y Jet

3.20 Dubai Turf (Group 1 )

All eyes will be on the Japanese filly Almond Eye in this race. She brings some good form to the table having won the Japanese Fillies Triple Crown and the Japan Cup last year. She earned rave reviews since destroying the Japan Cup and has been compared to some of the great horses since. She will be facing a different challenge on Saturday as it will be the first time she is racing abroad. I watched some of her recent gallops and she looked very good. She seems to do it very easily and has a very good turn of foot. She has done all her winning over 1m2-1m4 and here she will be stepping back in trip. I don’t think that will inconvenience her as she has plenty of speed in her pedigree being by the legendary Lord Kanaloa. She has an ideal draw and she will be hard to beat if she reproduces the form of her Japan Cup win.

Dream Castle has been a revelation this season at Meydan. He was very disappointing last year but it seems that the gelding operation has worked its miracles. He looked a more settled horse and he is starting to show his potential now. He was very impressive when he won the Group 1 Jebel Hatta on Super Saturday when he went past Wootton in the last furlong with ease. Before that he won the Al Rashiya and the Singspiel. I wouldn’t put anyone off backing him as he is a proven C&D winner and will give you a run for your money. Saeed Bin Suroor will have him primed for the big race that he won with Benbatl last year and in Super Soumi he has a world class jockey on board too.

I Can Fly represents the Aidan O’Brien yard and she ran a solid race in the QE11 at Ascot behind Roaring Lion but that came on soft ground. She was no match to Expert Eye in the Breeders Cup. She warmed up for this race by winning a mickey mouse event at Dundalk recently. I can’t see her troubling the market leaders.

Wootton hasn’t set the world alight since his Group 3 success in France when he got the better of Olmedo in a ding dong battle. He was 3rd in the St James Palace won by Without Parole at Ascot. At Meydan this season he was a big eyecatcher in the Zabeel Mile when finishing 4th behind Mystical Magic. To be honest he should had won that day but he was given a crook ride by the Doyler. He was backed into favorite in the Jebel Hatta but bumped into a better horse in Dream Castle. I cant see him reversing form with the latter but he could be the one for each way thieves.

Deidre is another one that has nice each way claims. She should have won the Hong Kong Cup last December but she couldn’t reel in the winner Glorious Forever.She was 3rd in the race last year behind Benbatl and might sneak in a place. Without Parole has been disappointing since winning the St James Palace last year and he hasn’t progressed as expected. He looked stronger on the Meydan gallops from what I saw in few clips and hopefully he can run well as he is a classy horse. Lord Glitters hasn’t run since finishing 6th in the QEII behind Roaring Lion. He might need the run here and he is facing much fitter rivals here.

For the winner I will stick with Almond Eye and I think she is a special filly that we will hear a lot more in the next few months.

Selection – Almond Eye

4.00 Dubai Sheema Classic ( Group 1 )

Rey De Oro was our selection in the race last year but could only finish 4th in a race won by Hawkbill. Poet’s Word was 2nd and Cloth of Stars 3rd. Since then Poet’s Word went on to win the Brigadier Gerard, Prince of Wales Stakes, the King Georges. Cloth of Stars final race was in the Arc when he was 3rd to Enable. As you can see there was no disgrace in getting beat by those horses last year. He’s won 2 out of 3 races since including the Grade 1 Tenno Sho. He was beaten by a neck in the Arima Kinen on his latest start. He goes into the race with a solid chance.

Old Persian heads the market for the boys in blue. He did us a good favour at Royal Ascot last year when he romped away with the King Edward VII Stakes. He then went on to win the Great Voltigeur by giving weight and a beating to Melbourne Cup winner Cross Counter and St Leger winner Kew Gardens. He was 5th in the St Leger where in my opinion he didn’t really stay the distance. On his re appearance in the City of Gold at Meydan he looked very smart as he was hampered a few times but still managed to get the better of his stablemate Racing History in the dying strides. I feel he will have to improve again to win this against a much stronger Rey Del Oro this year.

Hunting Horn is another one of our Royal Ascot winner in the race but he’s there only to make the pace for his stablemate Magic Wand. She won the Ribblesdale at Ascot last year and comes here on the back of a good second behind Bricks and Mortar in the Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup Invitational Stakes. She was also a good second to Wild Illusion in the Prix Lopera at Longchamp which is really good form considering he latter was beaten by a head by Sistercharlie in the Breeders Cup Filly & Mare race last November. She will relish the good ground and wouldn’t want anymore rain.The step up in distance to 1m4f will suit and looking at all Aiden’s runners I think she is one of their best chance of a winner on the card. She is an each way bet to nothing in race and Ryan is quite sweet on her chances too.

Racing History could fight for the lead with Hunting Horn here and he might have a small each way claim if allowed to dictate from the front. We were on him in the City of Gold when he lead off a slow pace before getting picked by Old Persian at the business end of the race. Suave Richard is another one from Japan and he was 3rd to Almond Eye in the Japan Cup. Before that he was firmly put in his place by Rey Del Oro in the Tenno Sho. He was also 2nd to the same horse last year in the Japanese Derby. Clearly he has to find something on the market leaders but the Magic Man Joao Moreira can steer him into a place I think.

Cheval Grand is the other horse from Japan who was 3rd in the Arima Kinen and he wasn’t too far behind Rey Del Oro and the winner Blast OnePiece. Before that he was well stuffed by Almond Eye in the Japan Cup and I can’t see him winning especially from that draw in one.

For the winner I will stay loyal to Rey Del Oro and hoping it will be redemption time after last year’s fourth. 

Selection – Rey Del Oro

4.40 Dubai World Cup (Group 1 )

This is the big race of the night and I have a feeling this year it lacks a few superstars in the line up as compared to previous years. We still have last year’s champion in Thunder Snow who is back to defend his crown. It is a feat that hasn’t been achieved by any horse in the past. He won the race last year by making all last year after North America missed the break. He had it easy at the front end and set up fractions that suited him. He is drawn wider again this time and he faced competition for the lead from North America and the new kid on the block in Capezzano who are both well drawn in 2 and 3. He ran a stormer in the Breeders Cup Classic when he finished 3rd behind Gunnevera and Accelerate. He had a little break since and he made his reappearance on Super Saturday where he was thrashed by Capezzano. He normally needs his first run at Meydan and he tends to improve on his second start. I feel that he finished very tired that day and it will be a hard task to make up 10 lengths over the winner.

North America is a Meydan specialist having won 7 races from his last eleven there. He has been prepared specifically for the World Cup and has won both of his races this season in great style. Missing the break last year was his undoing in race and he can’t afford the same mistake this year. He is well drawn in stall 3 but no horse from that draw has ever won the World Cup. If he breaks well then he will be involved in a furious battle upfront with Capezzano and I am pretty sure Capezzano will wrestle the lead from him to get the rail position.

Capezzano is next in the betting and has been our cash machine horse over at Meydan this year along with Muntazah. Since they applied the hood to him back in January he looked a transformed horse. He destroyed the field in the Mina Rashid before doing the same to Thunder Snow in the Al Maktoum Challenge on Super Saturday. He is ideally drawn in 2  and he has fast gate speed too which is crucial. Once he gets the rail it will be a question of catch me if you can and I can’t see him out of the places to be honest. He has a blistering turn of foot and has been progressing with each run. It will be great to see him win the race as he was only an unknown handicapper few months ago. Even if he doesn’t win he won’t owe us anything this season as he did us some massive favours at big odds.

Seeking The Soul is another US horse that has some solid form to his name and has performed creditably well in decent company. He was 2nd to City of Light in the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile and the same horse beat him in the Pegasus where he ran a stormer. He will have the assistance of Mike Smith on board who has won this race before aboard Arrogate. He has decent each way claims based on his recent form. Yoshida is the other US trained horse in the line up and he brings some solid Group 1 form to the table. He was 4th in the Breeders Cup Classic back in November and that was a very good run. He didn’t fire in the Pegasus on his last start but he can’t be discounted at all. If Capezzano and North America are involved in a battle up front it could play in the hands of Yoshida.

Audible is the US horse trained by Todd Pletcher and owned by the China Horse syndicate. His best run came last year when he was 3rd in the Florida Derby beaten by the superstar Justify. He was well beaten in the Pegasus on his last start. He is another one that could pick up the pieces at the very end in my opinion. Gunnevera finished 8th in that race last year and he ran a stormer in the Breeders Cup Classic last November to finish 2nd behind Accelerate. He dwelt in the stalls in the Pegasus and that was the excuse given for him finishing 6th. He did stay on strongly at the end though but he isn’t too reliable for my liking. Of the rest I can’t see anything else troubling the ones I mentioned above.

Selection -Capezzano & Yoshida

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Friday 15th March- Cheltenham Day 4

SEEE

Cheltenham

1.30 Sir Erec 3-1/ 9-4/2-1 (Ante Post) ,  Pic D’orhy 14-1 (Ante Post)

* My £20 risk free bet on @skybet has gone on Pic D’Orhy at 7-1

Those who backed Siruh Du Lac today with @bet365 get a free bet ( same stakes) for this race. Don’t forget to use it. Use your own money to bet and if it loses they will refund you.

2.10 Monsieur Lecoq 11-1 (horse we backed last time but was caught close home by Malaya at Sandown)

2.50 Lisnagar Oscar 9-1/7-1 (Ante Post) & Allaho 8-1

3.30 Presenting Percy 4-1 & Kemboy 10-1

4.10 Hazel Hill 6-1

4.50 Magic Saint 11-2 & Top Gamble 20-1

5.30 Dallas Des Pictons 7-2 ( 2nd behind Ballymore winner City Island over Xmas and laid for race )

* Friday is very tricky. It has always been bookies day every Friday of the festival bar one year since 2010 as far as i can remember ! Tread carefully and don’t give back all your winnings thinking its Xmas everyday 🙂 Bankroll management is very important in this game. Good luck

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E/w Lucky 15 -1.30 Pic D’Orhy 8-1 , 2.10 Monsier Lecoq 10-1 , 2.50 Lisnagar Oscar 13-2 , 4.10 Hazel Hill 6-1 ( @bet365)

Lucky 15 – 1.30 Sir Erec evens , 3.30 Presenting Percy 4-1 , 4.50 Magic Saint 9-2 , 5.30 Dallas Des Pictons 7-2 ( @bet365)

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Bookies Offers (Use them to your advantage )

(1) Skybet -Money Back as cash up to £20 on the 1.30 at Cheltenham everyday of the festival.

(2) Betway – Money back as a free bet in 1st and last race everyday at Cheltenham (Max £10)

(3) Coral – Double your winnings up to £25 if your horse wins – First race everyday at Cheltenham

(4) Bet365 – Back a winner at 4-1 or above on ITV and get a risk free bet on the next race shown on ITV.

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Day 4 – Friday 15th March

1.30 JCB Triumph Hurdle 

This is a tough race for novice hurdlers and is ran at break neck speed over 2m1f. There is much less luck in running these days and the class horses with graded form have been dominating in last few years. 12 of the last 14 Triumph winners could be found in the first four of the betting. Look out for French breds horses as they have an outstanding record in race having won five of the last ten renewals. Nicky Henderson has 6 wins to his name in race while Paul Nichols and Alan King have both won it twice. The best guides to this race has been the Adonis Hurdle and the Spring Juvenile Hurdle. They have provided 11 winners between them in the last 19 years. The Irish have a fantastic record in the race too having won it four times in last 6 years.

Sir Erec heads the betting and is considered by many as the Irish banker of the festival. He ran 3rd to Stradivarius in the Long Distance Cup and was subject to a big gamble that day on track. He then made the perfect start to hurdles career at Leopardstown when he beat Tiger Tap Tap by a neck .He didn’t impress with his jumping that day but got the job done. He then won the Grade 1 Spring Juvenile Hurdle at the Dublin festival where he was mighty impressive with his jumping and the way he traveled. He powered clear from his rivals in the run in and he made all the running that day. If he is in the same form next week he will take some beating. I can even see him going off at 4-5/4-6 as the Irish money will keep coming.

I dont think Fakir Doudairies runs here as he is being aimed at the Supreme instead. I have plenty of time for Quel Destin too. He has won five from his last 6 races this season including the Grade 1 Coral Juvenile Hurdle at Chepstow where he really put his head down and outballed the hype horse Adjali. He has been a model of consistency and deserves to be re respected. He is a tough cookie to pass and will give you a run for your money. Actually I think he will be placed minimum.

Pic Dorhy is another one from Nichols yard that we haven’t seen so far but Paul has been raving about him in a preview I was at. You could tell he really liked him and is deffo a horse to follow next year. He will only run here if the ground is soft and if he does then he could be the surprise package. He ran in some of the biggest juvenile contests in France so he has plenty of experience. Tiger Tap Tap was only a neck behind Sir Erec on his debut but was firmly put in his place by the same rival in that Grade 1 race. I don’t think he will reverse the form next week.

The same can be said about Gardens of Babylon which is another Joseph O’Brien trained juvenile. He was thrashed by Sir Erec in the Spring Juvenile. Before that he beat Surin but the latter reversed the form next time out . There is obviously not much between the pair. A stronger run race and extra suit will deffo suit him. He will relish the ground conditions and could be the dark horse in race. Think Surin will run in the mares while Band of Outlaws will be running in the Fred Winter. Of the others I think Coeur Sublime could be given a little each way squeak in race. For the winner I will stick with Sir Erec who is the likeliest winner. He could be followed by Gardens of Babylon.

Selection – Sir Erec 3-1/ 9-4/2-1 (Ante Post) , Pic D’orhy 14-1 (Ante Post)

2.10 Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle 

Punters used to like this race before as you could find the winner quite easily but it has become very tricky last ten years or so.No favorites have won this race in the last 12 years.  Seven of the last 11 winners have been sent off at odds of 20-1 and above. Mohaayed was the latest one last year winning race at 33-1. Novices with handicap experience have a fine record and Irish trainer runners have dominated winning 8 of the last 12 renewals including a clean sweep 3 years ago when they occupied the top 6 positions. 12 of the last 15 winners were aged five or six. Take particular note of 5 year olds with ten wins in the last 19 years.

You need to find a horse with speed and stamina. First or second season hurdlers have won 12 of the 13 renewals up to and including 2017.  Some trainers as usual like to target this race. One of which is Paul Nichols who has an excellent record in race having won it 4 times. Dan Skelton won it twice since 2016 with Mohaayed and Superb Story so keep an eye on his runners too that could be well handicapped. Willie Mullins also likes to target this race and has won it four times since 2010. The Imperial Cup winner (run on Saturday 9th March) needs to be followed closely if he lines up here as they have a habit of following up in this race.

This is a wide open race right now and I will bet in this race closer to time once the final declarations are out.

Selections– Monsieur Lecoq 11-1

2.50 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle (Grade 1 )

This can be a war of attrition especially on rain softened ground. Stamina is a key issue in this gruelling 3 mile Novice Chase. You basically need a horse that stays all day, one that is a fluent jumper and one that travels well in his races. Lots of experience over hurdles has been a huge asset both in terms of number of hurdles runs and length of career. Second season novices have a good record and six of the last 14 winners had run over hurdles the previous season. It’s been a poor race for favourite backers in the last few years. The last 5 winners have gone off at big odds like 33-1/16-1/11-1/33-1/14-1 all from outside the top 5 in the market. Kilbricken Storm was the latest last year to win at 33-1 .

Commander of Fleet heads the betting for the for the Gordon Elliot yard. He’s won 2 of his 3 races this season. He won a mickey mouse race at Punchestown before finding it too quick in the Royal Bond won by Quick Grabim. The ground wasn’t ideal for him that day too. The 3rd that day Aramon was beaten by a whisker by stablemate Klassical Dream on his next start in the Grade 1 Chanelle Pharma Novice Hurdle. As you can see it’s strong form. He was sent to the Grade 1 Nathaniel Lacy & Partners Novice Hurdle (one of the best guides featuring winners for this race) at the Dublin Festival. The step up in trip clearly suited him on the day and he was very fluent at his hurdles. He stayed on strongly at the end to fend off Rhinestone. That was a very good performance in my eyes and he is a lively contender.

Lisnagar Oscar is one that I have plenty of time for . I took notice of him when he finished 2nd to classy Emitom(won twice since including National Hunt Novice Hurdle at Newbury) at Ffos Las at the end of November.  He then ran at Cheltenham in December where he finished 2nd behind Rockpoint. It was a good run and he showed he could stay on powerfully on that hill on the day. He then won his next race at Chepstow where he beat a well regarded horse from he Henderson yard in Dickie River by a head. He showed a great attitude and battled all the way to the line. He won the Grade 2 at Haydock for us in impressive fashion. The way he jumped and quickened that day was fantastic. It was as if watching the little brother of Paisley Park. The further he went the better he looked. He is a progressive horse and will make his presence felt next Friday.

I don’t know if Birchdale will run here or in the Ballymore . I think if he runs here he will have place claims. He doesn’t jump well but he stays all day. Dickie River is the one for the Henderson yard here and he has ran only twice this season. Beaten by Lisnagar Oscar on his debut he made amends on his following start by winning a mickey mouse race. What impressed me that day was the way he jumped and traveled. He is a good horse and is one to monitor in the betting. Allaho represents the Mullins yard and I know the yard are sweet on him for this race. He only ran twice this season. He was 4th in his bumper race won by Exit Poll at Leopardstown. He then went to win the Grade 3 at Clonmel where he asserted nicely in the run in despite 1/2 jumping mistakes. He could be the dark horse in the race.

At bigger odds Dinons and Derrinross could represent some value. Derrinross has been sidelined with injury for a year but made his return to the track at Cork where he beat Sam’s Profile by 4 lengths. He made the running on the day and was very fluent before staying on powerfully to win going away. It was a nice performance and he backed that up next time out in the Grade 2 at Limerick. Once again he made the running and  made few jumping mistakes. He idled on the run in but still managed to beat Defi Bleu by 1/2 length. He will relish soft ground conditions and there should be enough pace in race next week for him as he is a better horse when he doesn’t make the running. He has plenty of stamina and that should help him.

Dinons has won five of his last 6 races for the Elliot team. He disappointed in the Monksfield at Navan on his latest start but previously he won impressively at Cheltenham by destroying the field. He wasn’t too fluent at a few hurdles but he powered clear on the hill. Course form is vital at Cheltenham and he will have that advantage over a few of his rivals next week. He has place claims for me .

Selection– Lisnagar Oscar 9-1/7-1 (Ante Post) & Allaho 8-1

3.30 Magners Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1 )

This is one of the highlights of the festival and the feature race on the day. It’s one of those races that every jockey, owner or trainer want to win. It’s a unique test in that it brings together all the best staying chasers that are fit and well. 13 of the last 18 winners had finished first or second at the festival and 13 of the last 14 winners were running in this race for the first time. All 75 horses aged 10 or older have been beaten in this race. including 4 favorites. Second season chasers have an outstanding record in race having won 14 of the last 28 runnings. Also do take note of festival form as 20 of the last 21 winners had run at the festival before with Coneygree being the exception. Out of the last 18 winners  there were 13 that had finished first or second at the festival before. Also the Gold Cup winners have been those running in it for the first time recently ( 12 from 14 )

Normally the horses that have won top Grade 1 races are the ones to concentrate on since they have won the last 19 renewals of the Gold Cup. 16 of the last 18 winners could be found in the top 3 of the betting. The main contenders are normally the ones that have been winning this race recently. Paul Nichols has won it 3 times , Henderson twice , Elliot once but its the race that Wilie Mullins hasn’t been able to win so far. He had so many 2nds (6 from 18 runners) and may be he could finally break his duck this year with the likes of Kemboy, Al Boum Photo and Bellshill. The King Georges at Kempton ( won by Clan Des Obeaux) and the Savills Chase, formerly know as Lexus ( won by Kemboy) have been the best guides as 16 of the last 18 winners have ran in one of those races.

Presenting Percy has been the favorite of this race for many months since he turned the RSA into a procession last year by destroying Monalee.While he has thrived on racing last 2 seasons,connections have adopted kid gloves treatment this season by avoiding to run him on quick ground. He only ran once in the Galmoy Hurdle where he was a comfortable winner. He beat Bapaume in the process and we haven’t seen him since. I was disappointed not to see him run in the Red Mills recently but the vibes in the camp are that he is 100% fit and ready to be unleashed next Friday. We all know that he loves Cheltenham where he will try to win for the 3rd time in a row . It won’t be that easy as he has some formidable opponents waiting in the wings.

Clan Des Obeaux has always been highly regarded by Paul Nicholls and has been the revelation this season. He is the horse with the best form going in the race and is currently the joint favorite with Presenting Percy for the Blue Riband. He was 3rd to Bristol De Mai and Might Bite in the Bowl at Aintree.He made his seasonal debut in the Betfair Chase when he was a creditable 4th. He then ran in the King George at Kempton on Boxing Day where he reversed the form with Native River and Thistlecrack. It was a brilliant performance and Harry Cobden had a double handful jumping the last alongside Thistlecrack. He is a horse that needs to be delivered as he doesn’t do much in front. The long run in on the Cheltenham hill could be a worry for him if ever he idles and could be vulnerable to a closer. He followed up his KG win by winning the rescheduled Denman Chase at Ascot where once again his jumping was brilliant. He didn’t touch a twig and the ride was delivered to perfection. He is the rising star in the race and I expect another good run from this improving youngster.

Native River is the reigning champion who turned in a really brave performance in the race last year to beat Might Bite on very soft ground. He hasn’t quite sparkled this season but he was a gallant 2nd to Bristol De Mai who is simply unbeatable around Haydock. He didn’t enjoy the conditions that day and there wasn’t much juice in the ground. The same can be said when he finished 3rd in the King George. Only his great determination and willing attitude helped him on the day as he was never really travelling but he kept plugging away to stay on strongly at the end. The rain forecast next week might be a big help to his chances in race and in my book he looks a solid each way bet to nothing. You know you will get a run for your money if you decide to back him.

Kemboy represents the Willie Mullins yard and I remember I was given a tip for him for the JLT last year. He was subject to a big gamble as he halved in price but could only finish 4th to Shattered Love. He has the look of a massive improver to my eyes and won his last 4 races. His latest win came in the Grade 1 Savills Chase ( Lexus) which has been a good guide for this race over the years. He was held up early on but Danny Mullins decided to take the running at half way. He jumped beautifully throughout and he was pinpoint accurate at most of his fences. He stayed on strongly at the end to win going away with the likes of Monalee, Road To Respect and Bellshill in behind. I was impressed by how he was tanking through the whole race and I reckon he is still improving. He has sound place claims. I don’t think Road To Respect will run here as I overheard Gordon Elliot at a preview saying he will run in the Ryanair instead.

Might Bite has been the disappointment this season. He never get going in the Betfair Chase where he was spending an eternity in the air jumping those fences. I think that Gold Cup race last year has killed him as he was out of contention again in the King George once he made a mistake at the 6th. I can forgive a bad run on seasonal debut but 2 bad runs in a row suggest may be horse had enough. He had a wind op recently and lets hope he is back to his best but i doubt it.

Thistlecrack was 3rd in the Betfair Chase and that was a very good performance considering he was out for nearly a year due to injury. He showed glimpses of the old Thistlecrack in the King George where he was pinging those fences. At one point I even thought he had the race in the bag but he was beaten by younger legs of Clan Des Obeaux. The engine is still here and it would be fantastic if he could win but the stats are against him. He might get placed though if he is in same form as last December.

Bellshill is another one from the Mullins stable.He finished 4th behind Kemboy in the Savills Chase but then won the Irish Gold Cup in Dublin by beating Road To Respect. He disputed the lead and was headed at one point but he battled back to win under a great ride by Ruby. I don’t think Cheltenham suit this horse as he was well beaten in the Champion Bumper , finished like a donkey in the Supreme and was 3rd in the RSA. He will need soft ground too but I can’t see him getting involved as he doesn’t like the track.

Al Boum Photo is the other Mullins horse in race and he fell when well in contention in the RSA last year at Cheltenham. He made amends for this by winning the Ryanair Gold Cup at Fairyhouse when he beat Shattered Love by a length. He would surely have followed up in the Champion Novice Chase few weeks later at Punchestown had Paul Townend not thought he had to bypass last fence. He was last seen at Tranmore where he was a comfortable 6 length winner despite giving 10 lb away to Total Recall. He jumped well and stayed on strongly at the end. He could be a player in this race as he has a progressive profile.

Shattered Love won the JLT last year by destroying Terrefort and Benatar. She was then beaten a length by Al Boum Phto in the Ryanair Gold Cup at Fairyhouse. She finished 2nd on her first 2 starts this season that included a good 2nd to Min in the John Durkan. Those were encouraging runs and the fact she drifted badly in the Savills Chase meant she wasn’t there to win. On her day she is a high class mare. She is a good jumper and will stay all day. She will also receive the 7lb mares allowance. I wouldn’t put anyone off backing her at 25-1/33 each way or to be placed. Even Gordon Elliot said at a preview night I attended she goes there with a good each chance based on her work at home.

We can dismiss Anibale Fly and Elegant Escape based on stats. For the winner I will have to stick with Presenting Percy

Selection – Presenting Percy 4-1 & Kemboy 11-1

4.10 St James Place Foxhunter Challenge Cup Open Hunters Chase

This is a race reserved for amateur riders and is ran over the distance of 3 miles and 2 furlongs. The key piece of Festival form has been the Foxhunter itself as 9 of the last 18 winners this century had ran at the meeting before. Look out for last time out winners as they have won 25 of the 33 renewals. The Irish had a stranglehold in the race having won it six times till Paul Nichols put an end to that sequence in the last 2 years with Pacha Du Polder. 17 of the last 27 winners have been aged nine or younger.

Horses aged over ten have won this race only 4 times in the last 28 runnings.  I have a few horses on my radar right now such as Hazel Hill. Ucello Conti, Caid Du Berlais and Wonderful Charm (Nichols gave this as his best bet last year but ground went against him). I will take a decision closer to race or when final declarations are up.

Selection – Hazel Hill 6-1

4.50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase

This race used to be the final race of the festival but they’ve switched it with the Martin Pipe this season. It’s another tricky race for punters but by then I hope we will all be well ahead and nor relying on this race to save the festival! The quality of this 2m handicap chase has improved year on year and seven of the ;ast eight winners were rated at least 140.No winner has carried more than 10st13lb in this race. Four of the last ten winners were novices and this has been a good race for novices with 12 winners. Favorites have a very poor record in race having won it once in last 14 years.

There were nine double figure priced winners in this race since 2006 of which seven were sent off at 16-1 +. The Irish have a fantastic record in the race having won it 7 times with 5 runners ups in the last 19 renewals. Do take note of Irish trained horses who ran over hurdles on their last start as 3 of their 6 last winners did so. JP Mcmanus horses need to be be followed as he won this race 3 times in the last 7 years. He also had 2 seconds during the same period. Nicky Henderson also likes to target Dad’s race as I call it. He had 2 winners and 4 runners up in the race. A dozen of his horses have been placed too from 37 runners. He likes to run his novices in this race so do pay attention. This is a wide open race and but after listening to Paul Nichols the other day I think he has a good horse in Magic Saint in the race. It was his NAP of the festival too and he was very sweet on his chances.

Selections – Magic Saint 11-2 & Top Gamble 20-1

5.30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle

This is the handicap race that is ran over the distance of 2 miles 4 furlongs. The Martin Pipe is a race where the emphasis has firmly been on stamina at the trip. It’s not surprising to see plenty of winners stepping back down in trip. All ten winners were first or second season hurdlers aged five or six. Favorites have a bad record in race having won only once in the ten renewals.

Gigginstown have won it 4 times so its worth paying attention to their horses entered in race. Willie Mullins has won it 3 times with one of my fave horses Sir Des Champs, Don Poli and Killultagh Vic. Gordon Elliot won it in the last 2 and Nichols won it with Salubrious and Ibis Du Rheu. It’s been profitable to follow last time out winners. It’s also worth mentioning to keep a close eye on the Irish horses that are making their handicap debuts. They have a good strike rate in race. I have a few horses on my radar such as Cartwright, Dallas Des Pictons , Notwhatiam, Apples Shakira. I will decide closer time.

Selections – Dallas Des Pictons 7-2

 

Thursday 14th March- Cheltenham Day 3

Paisley Park

Cheltenham

1.30  Defi Du Seuil 3-1

* I have used my £20 risk free bet with @Skybet on Kildisart at 7-1.

2.10 First Assignment 10-1 (Ante Post) & A Toi Phil 18-1

2.50 Monalee 9-2

3.30 Paisley Park 6-1 (Ante Post) ,

4.10 Siruh Du Lac 7-1 & Eamon An Cnoic 14-1

4.50 Epatante 10-1 & 7-1 any race (Ante Post)

5.30 Measureofmydreams 8-1(Ante Post) & Captain Chaos 20-1

* Few tricky races tomorrow namely the 2.10 and 4.10. So don’t go too mad in those races, All about bankroll management now after a good day earlier. Good luck

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E/w Lucky 15 – 2.10 First Assignment 12-1 , 4.10 Eamon An Cnoic 12-1 , 4.50 Posh Trish 11-2 , 5.30 Measureofmydreams 9-2 ( @Bet365)

Trixie – 2.50 Monalee 9-2 , 3.30 Paisley Park 2-1 , 4.50 Epatante 2-1 (@paddypower)

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Links to my Cheltenham blogs –

(1) Festival Preview – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2019/03/01/cheltenham-2019-12th-15th-march-festival-preview-stats-and-analysis/

(2) Multiples & Teams – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2019/03/09/cheltenham-2019-the-teams-and-few-multiples/

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Bookies Offers (Use them to your advantage )

(1) Skybet -Money Back as cash up to £20 on the 1.30 at Cheltenham everyday of the festival.

(2) PaddyPower Day 1 races- Money back as free bet if 2nd ,3rd or 4th (Max £10)

(3) Betway – Money back as a free bet in 1st and last race everyday at Cheltenham (Max £10)

(4) Coral – Double your winnings up to £25 if your horse wins – First race everyday at Cheltenham

(5) Bet365 – Back a winner at 4-1 or above on ITV and get a risk free bet on the next race shown on ITV.

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Day 3 – Thursday 14th March

1.30 JLT Novices Chase (Grade 1 )

We don’t have many trends or stats about this race as it’s fairly new one. More emphasis is placed on speed rather than stamina. Six of the 8 JLT winners had won their previous start and the other 2 came close to doing so. You need to find a class horse with pure natural ability and one that can jump at speed too. All 8 winners so far ran at the previous festival.The Irish have a tremendous record having won 7 of the 8 renewals of this race. All 8 winners were aged 6 or 7 while four of them had won a Grade 1 Novice Hurdle before.Willie Mullins like to target this race and has won 4 races since 2011.

Defi Du Seuil heads the market along with Lostintranslation. It will all come down on who jumps better on the day and there wouldn’t be much between those two. Defi Du Seuil is one of our fave horses having won the Triumph Hurdle 2 years ago .He was sent chasing after a disappointing campaign over hurdles. He was 5th at Cheltenham in the November meeting that was won impressively by Lalor. He then won nicely at Exeter and his jumping improved markedly. Despite 1/2 jumping mistakes he still had enough in the tank to repel the challenge of Topofthegame. In the Dipper he was a close 2nd to Lostintranslation when he was collared close home. He stayed on strongly but he was conceding 3lb to the winner that day. He took his revenge on that same rival in the Grade 1 Scilly Isles at Sandown and he was delivered at the right time. On the day both were carrying 11-4.

Lostintranslation was very fluent at Cheltenham when he won but was jumping to his left at Sandown which eventually cost him the race. He is a good jumper and is another progressive horse. His 2 defeats early in the season were against the super mare La Bague Au Roi and the latter has won 2 Grade 1’s since. So his form is rock solid and he is a major player in race. This race will surely cut out as the likes of Kalashnikov, Glen Forsa, Topofthegame, Mr Whipped, Delta Work, Vinndication etc won’t run here.

Right now Kildisart at 10-1 represent decent each way value and he won 2 out of his 3 races this season. He won a handicap race around Prestbury Park where his jumping was brilliant. He is probe to jumping mistakes but he keeps galloping relentlessly till the line. Real Steel represents the Mullins yard in race and he cannot be discounted as well. He won his race at Fairyhouse where he was visually impressive but I don’t think he beat much that day. I watched him closely on his latest outing and he made a few jumping mistakes and I don’t think he would get away with them at Cheltenham against better opposition.

Selection – Defi Du Seuil 3-1

2.10 Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle

Despite the reduction in distance to 3 miles ,this race is still a good test of stamina. These days it is attracting quality horses. The younger generation seems to have taken over since 6 of the last 7 winners were aged under seven. Favorites have a shocking record in race as only one joint favorite ( Fingal Bay in 2014) has won it last 15 years. It is a very tough race to solve due to its competitive nature and trainers setting up plot jobs.

Eleven of the last 23 winners in this race were last time out winners which is the best trend for this race. Jonjo O’Neil likes to target this race with his horses and pay attention when he runs them in the green and gold silks of JP Mcmanus at big odds. Also take note when you see horses wearing headgear in the race as they have a good strike rate. Nichols horses like to get placed too as seven of his 17 runners have finished between 2nd and 5th.

I have my eyes set on First Assignment in this race for few weeks now. He won 2 handicap hurdle races at Cheltenham early season in the style of a good horse. He traveled supremely well in both races and showed battling qualities when fending off Vive Le Roi by a neck. He was then sent to Haydock where he was a gallant 3rd behind Paisley Park , the current favorite in the Stayers Hurdle. He ran in the race with a 5lb penalty and in doing so avoided a bigger weight rise if he didn’t. I was on him again at Warwick when he finished 3rd but he wasn’t there to win the race that day or else he would have blown his handicap mark. He is very versatile ground wise and having a nice break will help him. He is priced currently at 10-1 and I am convinced he will run a good race at a track where he is unbeaten.

Selection – First Assignment 10-1 & A Toi Phil 18-1

2.50 Ryanair Chase (Grade 1 )

The Ryanair is run over 2m4f and has always been a very competitive race. The nature of the race is changing these days as we see more and more top class horses running. Twelve of the last 14 winners have won at Cheltenham before as had eight runners-up so previous course form is a prerequisite. It’s noteworthy how well front runners have done in this race over the years too. Nine of the last 11 winners have already won a Grade 1 and winners at the highest level have recorded four 1-2’s in last eight years. Irish had a shocking record in this race prior to 2016 (0-34) but that changed in the last 2 years when Vautour, Un De Sceaux and Balko Des Flos won for them. It pays to focus on the top end of the market as 8 of the last 11 Grade 1 winners were either fave or 2nd fave.

Monalee heads the betting for the Henry De Bromhead yard and he was the horse we backed in last year’s RSA when he finished 2nd beaten miles by the current Gold Cup favorite Presenting Percy. He made his seasonal debut at Down Royal where he was 3rd. He was then sent to the Savills Chase where he finished 2nd beaten by the impressive Kemboy. He made a few jumping mistakes that day but it was a good effort over 3 miles. He was better in the Red Mills Chase on his latest start over a trip that he excelled. He has two seconds to his name around Prestbury Park and he will be thereabouts again next week.

I suspect we will see Footpad and Un De Sceaux here running for the Mullins yard instead of Min who will be sent to contest the Champion Chase. We haven’t seen much of Footpad this season and he didn’t set the world alight like he did last season as a novice. He fell in the Poplar Chase on seasonal debut but his jumping let him down on that day. He was then collared close home by the old boy Simply Ned over Xmas in the Grade 1 Paddy Chase. His jumping was much better on the day and he traveled like a dream till he got caught in the closing stages. It was a good effort and if he takes his chance in this race he will be one of the contenders.

Un De Sceaux is now 11 but is still competing at the highest level. We saw him in the Tingle Creek at Sandown where he was brilliant in the jumping department but bumped into the best horse in training in Altior. He will need ground conditions to his liking and I can see him going well in the race. He could represent decent each way value. I think Top Notch will run in the Stayers Hurdle instead from what I heard.

Frodon could run here and would have a better chance than the Gold Cup in my opinion. He has been a revelation this season having won 3 of his 4 races which included the Cotswold Chase and the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup . He has some solid course form at Cheltenham too and has a good attitude. He has shown his battling qualities this season and is a horse that will grind it out till the finishing line. This trip will suit him better as well and he has stamina in abundance which means he will stay all day if he turns up here.

Selection 2.50 Monalee 9-2

 

3.30 Sun Racing Stayers Hurdle

This is one of the four Championship races of the festival and feature race on Day Three. Second season hurdlers have a great record in race having won 11 of the last 23 renewals. Despite the distance there is a need for speed in this race. This race is ran over the New Course and its a long way from the 3rd last hurdle to home. As a result you need to find a horse that is a strong traveller and one that has speed.  Six of the last 20 winners were having their first run over 3m. Look out for horses that are unbeaten over hurdles as they have a great record. Five of the last eight Irish trained winners prepped in the Boyne Hurdle which was won this year by Tiger Roll at 25-1. Backing defending champions have been a profitable angle to follow in this race but Penhill misses out this year. The first five in the betting have provided the first three in 8 of the last 15 runnings. The best guide to this race has been the Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury won this year by Uknowhatimeanharry.

Paisley Park heads the betting and has been the stand out horse in this division this year. He ran in the Albert Bartlett last year where he finished down the field. He won his seasonal debut at Aintree before following up in the Exchange Stayers Handicap Hurdle. He was given a fantastic ride that day and he came from a long way back to nail down long term leader Shades of Midnight close home. It was only then that I took notice of him. There was a big word for him when he ran next at Ascot where he won the Grade 1 JLT Hurdle in impressive fashion. He was held up as normal at the back before taking it up 2 out and powered clear home. He is a smooth traveler and he will hit that flat spot before staying on strongly once stamina starts to kick in. He  went on to win the Cleeve Hurdle at Cheltenham by beating a very good field. He could have gone round and win by 15 lengths on that day. I think we will see a very good horse next week on Thursday. He is the one they all have to beat and I can’t see him getting beat. This is a proper horse and he reminds me of a young Big Bucks especially when he hits the usual flat spot. The Irish would be eating their own words when he wins next week !

Faugheen is one of my favorite horses in racing and he has done us many favours in the past . He is now an 11 year old but still racing at the highest level. He won very easily at Punchestown last year when he was stepped up in distance and it was as if the old Faugheen was back. He started his season in the Morgiana where he was disappointing but he doesn’t really have the speed over 2 miles against younger ones. He made the running but was swamped aside by Sharjah. His latest start was over the Xmas period in the Christmas Hurdle where unfortunately he fell when seemingly going well. In my opinion I reckon he would have put it to Apples Jade that day. He was travelling and jumping really well up to that moment when he fell 2 out.

There have been some noises recently about his work at home and how he is raring to go. He is 5-1 at the time of writing and I think he is an each way bet to nothing in the race. He has plenty of experience around the course which will help him and in Ruby he has one of the best jockeys in the saddle. The stat which is against Faugheen is one that says only one horse in double age figures has won the race and this was in 1986 ! But we must remember he hasn’t got many miles on the clock too. If he does win it will be one of the most popular and celebrated wins in the festival history !

At the time of writing I just heard Samcro is out so this is one less worry as he has been a disappointment all season. I will start backing him once he start jumping fences. Supasundae participation here depends on the ground but he hasn’t been seen at his very best this season. He was 2nd in the race behind Penhill last year but since then he has finished 2nd 3 times. He was beaten a total combined length of 35 in both the Irish Champion and Hattons Grace by the super mare Apples Jade. He seemed to have lost that bit of pace that was his strength over 2 miles or 3 miles. He also made a few jumping mistakes. Only advantage is he has won at the track and has nice course form. I can’t see him beating Paisley Park though.

Black Op is another horse that has failed to make the transition from hurdling to jumping fences. He was beaten twice by the 2 market leaders in the JLT and on both occasions he made mistakes. He was then sent back hurdling where he finished a creditable 3rd behind Paisley Park but was beaten by 15 lengths. He traveled really well till the bend where he started to paddle. I will give him a small each way squeak in case he has improved from last time.

Little Top Notch runs here instead of the Ryanair ( I suspect Footpad in same ownership will be in Ryanair) and has been such a wonderful horse for us in last few years. He ran a stormer in the JLT Hurdle at Ascot when finishing 3rd to Paisley Park. He reverted back over fences on his next start in the Listed race at Kempton where he was at his brilliant fence. Its a joy to see him jumping fences when he is fully fit. He has a big heart and will always battle all the way to the finishing line. Its a deeper race but don’t be surprised if he can sneak a place next week. At bigger odds I will also give a little chance to West Approach and Wholestone, another Cheltenham specialist.

For the winner though I will stick with Paisley Park and I really think he is a superstar in the making who will dominate the division for years to come if he stays fit. It will be also a lovely story  for his owner and trainer to win a big race on the big stage for obvious reasons.

Selection – Paisley Park 6-1 (Ante Post)

4.10 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase

This is one of the trickiest handicap races in the festival and one that hasn’t been too kind to punters in recent years. It’s a big lottery race and you need some luck in running too.14 winners have been sent off at 20-1 or bigger in the last 30 years. Of the 17 renewals, 6 have been won by horses in their 3rd season over fences, 2 by horses in their 4th and one by a horse in its 5th. In other words the we need to look for an experienced horse over fences. The Storyteller became the 6th novice in last 23 years and they have also accounted for seven of the last 17 runners-up.  10 of the last 15 winners had run during February or March.

Look out for French bred horses in race as they have a great record having been successful on 7 occasions since 1999 and they had 11 runner up positions when they have not won.

This is a good race to follow some trainers as they like to target this race. David Pipe and Martin Pipe have won 7 of the last 22 renewals. David Pipe’s three wins have been in the last nine years. Venetia Williams also has an outstanding record in race. She won it three times and had 6 other places horses from 21 runners. Most of her winners tend to go off at big prices too so it’s worth paying attention to what she runs here. Henderson also does well in race having won it four times while Paul Nicholls had only 3 places horses from 30 runners so far. Few horses on my radar in this race – Janika, Benatar, A Toi Phil ,

Selections -Siruh Du Lac 7-1 & Eamon An Cnoic 14-1

4.50 Mares Novice Hurdle

This will be the 4th time this race will be run at the festival and for the first time a Willie Mullins horse isn’t at the top of the market or is odds on already. The master trainer won it last 3 years with the likes of Let’s Dance, Limini and Laurina last year. Laurina’s success last year means Willie Mullins have now won 12 of the 14 races restricted to mares at the festival.

Honeysuckle has been leading the ante post market for this race for few months now till we saw Epatante winning her 2nd race. Honeysuckle is unbeaten in 3 starts this season. She won her mares hurdle at Fairyhouse before following in a Listed race at Thurles where she beat Sassy Diva by over 4 lengths. She was  sent to the Solerina where she was brilliant once again and beat some well regarded mares like Tintangle and Robin De Carlow. Both Limini and Laurina won this race en route to victory. She is an improving mare and will make her presence felt if she takes to the track.

Epatante is one that has seen some steady support recently and is now the clear favorite at 2-1. She is a horse that I was told about since last August. She won twice in France in 2017 that included a race at Grade 1 level and was given time by Nicky Henderson to adapt. She made her debut at Kempton on my bithday and she oozes class that day. She was keen during the early stages of the race but made smooth headway 3 out before lengthening away in the style of a classy horse. She took well to her hurdles and is such a good jumper. We didn’t see her back till end of February where she made mince meat of the opposition. It was more like a warming up exercise for her that day to blow the cobwebs. There was a twinkle in Nicky’s eyes when asked about her and he also mentioned she is her best chance of a winner. I know a few of us are on at nice ante post prices and lets hope she wins next Thursday.

Of the others I will give a solid each way chance to Posh Trish. She has won 4 races out of 5 over hurdles this season. Her only defeat came at the hands of Lust For Glory but she did reversed the form in the Listed Chase few weeks later at Newbury. She went on to win 2 other races at Taunton and Wincanton. She hasn’t been seen since end of December and her course form will be of huge advantage to her. She is very versatile ground wise and is a solid jumper too. The trip wouldn’t pose a problem and she represents good each way value in race. I really can’t see her out of the places and she will give you a run for your money as she is tough as nails. I do remember when she won the lucky last bumper race for us back in 2017 at Cheltenham. Sinoria comes from the same stable as Honeysuckle and they could separate the two in my opinion.

Lust For Glory should run well but I can’t see her troubling the top 3 in the market. Queenohearts is another good mare that could run well too. She is such a game mare and will keep grinding till the end. Salsaretta and Sancta Simona represent the Mullins yard but i don’t see them winning since they are prone to jumping mistakes. For the winner I will stick with Epatante and she is one of my good ante post bets during this festival.

Selection -Epatante 10-1 + 7-1 any race (Ante Post)

5.30 Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Riders Handicap Chase

This race is the only one reserved for amateurs riding in a handicap. It’s another lottery race with a big field. This is a thorough test of stamina that can often become like a war of attrition. It pays to look out for the top amateurs who normally get on the best handicapped horses. Jamie Codd has an outstanding record in race having won it 4 times in the the last 10 years. The past 4 winners and 7 out of the last time arrived at Cheltenham without having won a race before. So it is a case of looking beyond the most recent runs. The last ten winners have all carried 11st4lb +.

Remarkably, the last six winners of this race and seven of the last eight all wore headgear of some sort. So pay attention to those horses wearing headgear as it has been a profitable system in recent years just like the Ultima handicap on Tuesday. The likes of Donald Mccain(especially those in Trevor Hemmings colours) , David Pipe ( pay attention to his horses coming into this race after 3 month break) and those in JP Mcmanus silks need to be followed closely. Paul Nichols has a shocking record in race having only 1 horse placed from 20.

There has been a big move for Measureofmydreams in recent days and Jamie Codd has been booked to ride the Elliot horse. I remember I backed him in 2016 in the NH race when he was 3rd for Katie Walsh and Willie Mullins behind Minella Rocco and Native River. He was transferred to Noel Meade in 2017 but then didn’t run at all till last February when he made his reappearance to finish 3rd. He put in a solid round of jumping that day but he wasn’t there to win as they were protecting his mark.

I watched the race again and I think he was given a tender ride to blow the cobwebs after being sidelined for more than 2 years. The Irish Handicapper has dropped him to 10lb lower than his highest mark which could indicate that he might be well handicapped. He also has course form which is vital and I reckon he’s been set up for the race. I have taken some 8-1 about him. Few others to consider in race – Impulsive Star, Sky Pirate and Gun Digger.

Selection – Measureofmydreams 8-1(Ante Post) & Captain Chaos 20-1

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Wednesday 13th March – Cheltenham Day 2

altior

Cheltenham

1.30 Batlleoverdoyen 14-1 /12-1 (Ante Post )

My £20 bet on Skybet has gone on City Island at 8-1. Money back if it loses. Risk Free bet

2.10 Santini 9-2/4-1(Didn’t have an ideal preparation so be careful )  & Delta Work 6-1  (Ante Post)

2.50  Brio Conti 12-1 & Killultagh Vic 12-1 ( shop around for 6/7 places )

3.30 Altior 11-8/5-4/evens/4-6 (Ante Post)

* Min is the 2nd best two mile chaser in the country. If you’ve missed the price on Altior then Min without favorite is the best bet in race right now. Or you could do Altior-Min straight forecast. 

4.10 Tiger Roll 10-3/3-1 ( Ante Post )

* Tiger Roll and Altior double looks fantastic on paper. Both are very solid and worth doing if you’ve missed the prices. An e/w alternative to Tiger Roll is Josies Orders in race. He is a Cheltenham legend and at 9-1 represent decent value each way or to be placed.

4.50 Band of Outlaws 13-2 & Coko Beach 12-1

5.30 Envoi Allen 10-1 ( Ante Post )

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E/w Lucky 15 – 1.30 Battleoverdoyen 7-2 ,2.50 Brio Conti 12-1, 4.50 Band of Outlaws 13-2 , 5.30 Envoi Allen 4-1 ( @Ladbrokes)

Trixie – 2.10 Delta Work 5-2 , 4.10 Tiger Roll 5-4 ,5.30 Band of Outlaws 6-1 (@skybet)

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Links to my Cheltenham blogs –

(1) Festival Preview – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2019/03/01/cheltenham-2019-12th-15th-march-festival-preview-stats-and-analysis/

(2) Multiples & Teams – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2019/03/09/cheltenham-2019-the-teams-and-few-multiples/

==========================================================================

 

Bookies Offers (Use them to your advantage )

(1) Skybet -Money Back as cash up to £20 on the 1.30 at Cheltenham everyday of the festival.

(2) PaddyPower Day 1 races- Money back as free bet if 2nd ,3rd or 4th (Max £10)

(3) Betway – Money back as a free bet in 1st and last race everyday at Cheltenham (Max £10)

(4) Coral – Double your winnings up to £25 if your horse wins – First race everyday at Cheltenham

(5) Bet365 – Back a winner at 4-1 or above on ITV and get a risk free bet on the next race shown on ITV.

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Day 2 Wednesday 13th March

1.30 Ballymore Novices Hurdle

This is a race for novices over two and a half mile. This is much more of a test of speed than might be expected at the trip. You need to be on the horse that travels really well in his race. one that stays and have a good turn of foot. It has been very punter friendly race since only 3 out of the last 33 winners being outside the top five in the betting. Ten out of the last 12 winners won last time out. The main British trial race has been the Challow Hurdle at Newbury that Champ won this season.

Backers of Champ turn away now- All 16 winners of the Challow have all been beaten in the race but seven finished 2nd or 3rd. This is one of the main stat in this race. Another bad trend regarding Champ is that he is a 7 year old and all 54 Ballymore runners aged 7+have been beaten since 1988 ! The Irish best guide for this race has been the Chanelle Pharma Novice Hurdle won by Klassical Dream few weeks ago. Recently the Leamington Novice Hurdle at Warwick won by Beakstown has been the best British guide. These stats and trends can be handy in finding winners.

Champ heads the betting and has been the long term ante post favorite for this race. Since finishing 2nd to Vinndication at Ascot he has his next 4 races this year. He won the Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle by destroying a good field in early December. His most notable success came on his latest start at Newbury in the Grade 1 Challow Hurdle where Getaway Trump was 2nd. He raced keenly in the early stages of race that day but jumped really well for majority of race. He has a good engine and it will be interesting to see him on the hill when he is put under pressure. The horses that he beat in the Challow haven’t really franked the form with Getaway Trump the latest to run like a donkey at Kelso today.

Batlleoverdoyen represents the powerful connections of Gigginstown and Gordon Elliot. He is unbeaten this season having won all his 3 races to date. He won his bumper in impressive fashion at Punchestown.He then won his maiden hurdle over at Navan. His big win came in the Grade 1 Lawlor’s Of Naas Novice Hurdle. He traveled supremely well that day and powered clear on the run in despite a slight mistake at the last. He is one of our nice ante post bets and he will be a tough one to beat. In many ways he reminds me of Samcro of last year and hopefully we will get same result next week. I like to call him Samcro’s little brother. Klassical Dream I suspect will run in the Supreme.

Brewinupastorm fell in the Grade 2 race at Cheltenham and he was jumping really well on the day. He gifted the race to Birchdale who also runs here but I wasn’t too impressed with him if I am honest. He did make jumping mistakes too and had to be chased to pick up the bridle. He was lucky in my opinion to win. Of the rest City Island could be worth few quid at current prices for each way thieves. He won his last 4 races but suspect he didn’t beat much in those races.

For the winner I will stick with Battleoverdoyen and I am convinced we will see something special next Wednesday. I even think he will go off favorite before the race. Come on the Doyen 🙂

Selection – Batlleoverdoyen 14-1 /12-1 (Ante Post )

My £20 bet on Skybet has gone on City Island at 8-1. Money back if it loses. Risk Free bet

2.10 RSA Insurance Novices Chase

This is a race over the standard 3 miles and there are 19 fences to be jumped. The standout guide to finding winners in this race in recent years has been to look at those who won the Albert Bartlett in previous season before. It has featured five of the last nine winners and it could have been six if Boston Bob didn’t fall at the last. Its a lovely stat if you’ve backed Santini here since he was 3rd in the potato race last year. The previous eight winners were all seven year olds while only three six year olds have won it since 1978. Nine of the last 13 winners had won on their previous start with many improving with experience throughout the season.

Six of the last nine winners were beaten on their chasing debuts so don’t be put off by horses getting beat earlier in season. The last 15 winners had all run 3 times plus over fences. This is the stat against Santini as he only had 2 starts this season and not having a run in the same calendar year is one that is against Santini, Delta Work and Topofthegame. The key races in both Ireland and England were won by La Bague Au Roi who bypasses Cheltenham. A better guide in Ireland is the Grade 1 Neville Hotels Novice Chase won by Delta Work. Three of the last eight RSA winners finished in the first 2 in this race.

Santini has been the long term ante post favorite for this race despite having ran only two times this season.He won the John Francome Novice Chase on his seasonal debut in impressive fashion. He made few jumping mistakes that day but he was tanking along the whole race and won easily. The form of the race is a bit suspect to my eyes with Rocky’s Treasure disappointing again few days ago. He was then sent to the Grade 1 Kauto Star on Boxing Day where he finished 3rd behind La Bague Au Roi & Topofthegame. Again his jumping wasn’t brilliant but he stayed on powerfully at the end to finish only 1/2 length behind Topofthegame. We have to remember he was giving weight away to a very good mare in La Bague Au Roi. The latter gave that Kempton race a solid boost when she went to Ireland to win the Flogas.

We haven’t seen Santini for obvious reasons and been hearing last few days he needed an injection in his foot as he was lame. He also had the vaccination recently but heard he pleased connections in a work out today. Cheltenham track will suit him better as well. If fully fit he is a major player in the race but  he had an interrupted preparation so I don’t think he will be at 100% next week.

Topofthegame represents the Nichols yard and he has always been one of my favorite horses. He was narrowly beaten in the Coral Cup for us last year. He made his chasing debut at Exeter this season. He was reluctant to start and gave away 15 lengths at the start but made up a lot of ground to finish close behind the winner Defi Du Seuil ,the favorite for the JLT right now. On his following start at Kempton he was beaten by the mare La Bague Au Roi. He was very good that day only to fade in the closing stages. He was accurate at most fences and I expect more improvement from this race. Nichols has the habit of working his magic with those sort of horses and I can’t see him out of the places. Nichols had a twinkle in his eye the other day when asked abt this horse .

Delta Work is the form horse in the race and he won the Pertemps at Cheltenham last year. He is unbeaten this season over fences which included 2 Grade 1’s. He won the Drinmore at Fairyhouse when he got the better of Le Richebourg in the dying strides. The latter went on to win 2 Grade 1 races namely the Racing Post Novice Chase and Frank Ward Arkle Novice Chase. As you can see this is very solid form indeed. Delta Work is a good jumper and he attacks his fences brilliantly. In Davy Russell he has someone who knows how to ride him and he is a real danger to Santini and Topofthegame. I can easily see him going off favorite. If you are Santini at big odds then i will suggest you have a saver on Delta Work too. 

Of the rest I will give Chriss Dream a little each way squeak in a race that will cut off nearer time. I can’t see past the three above mentioned horses based on what we have seen this season. There won’t be much between those 3 and it will all depend on who jumps better on the day. For the winner I will stick with Santini as I have backed him months ago and had a saver on Delta Work.

Selections – Santini 9-2/4-1  & Delta Work 6-1  (Ante Post)

2.50 Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle

This is the only open Handicap where there isn’t a level weights race at a similar trip. It therefore tends to be won by a progressive horse en route to winning Grade 1 races. Second season hurdlers have won 11 of the last 14 renewals. Last time out winners have a great record in race having won it 13 times. Look out for French bred horses as they have won 9 of the last 17 renewals. Irish trained horses have won the last 3 while we need to pay attention to some classy horses since 9 of the last 10 winners would contest a Grade 1 or 2 on their very next start.

The Irish have a very good record in race having won it on ten occasions with Gordon Elliot having won it twice in last eight years. We need to look for a horse that had a very light campaign as the last ten winners had run no more than four times earlier in the season. Gordon Elliot had 2 winners and 3 places from 10 runners in this race and it’s an angle to monitor closely as it has been very profitable. Paul Nichols has also a good record in race with a winner and two placed from 7 runners in last 4 years. Willie Mullins was 0-24 last year till Blue Berry won the race by nailing our horse Topofthegame close home.

Uradel is one of my notebook horses in race and he could run in this race. He was an eyecatching 5th in the Ladbrokes Hurdle at Leopardstown and I don’t think Ruby Walsh was too hard on him. He is one to monitor closely in race. Brio Conti is another one I have my eyes on if he runs in this race.

Selections – Brio Conti 12-1 & Killultagh Vic 12-1

3.30 Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1 )

I really want to simply write – ALTIOR WINS ON THE BRIDLE instead of wasting time finding stats and trends in race! He is simply the best horse in training and will attempt to win this race for the 2nd year running. He will try to emulate Big Bucks record of winning 18 consecutive races over fences. If he stays on his feet he wins. There is only the stat that 12 of the last 18 odds on favorites have been beaten in the race that can put doubts in people’s head but just ignore it when Altior is running.

The Tingle Creek has been the best guide of recent seasons and the last 3 winners have went on to win the QM Champion Chase at Cheltenham. The race has also featured 11 of the last 18 winners. Altior has once again been the stand out 2 mile chaser this season and he has won the Tingle Creek, Desert Orchid Chase and the Clarence House Chase. On each occasion he has shown his brilliance. He has hit that famous flat spot but once the turbo kicked in he destroyed his rivals into submission.

I can’t see any danger in race. Min might bypass this race in favour of the Ryanair and Footpad could be the one for the Mullins team who is still chasing a first win in this race ! The stat in favour of Footpad is that 6 of the last 10 Arkle winners have gone on to win this race. Only 1 of the last 10 Arkle winners have failed to finish in the top 2.  Of the others Sceau Royal could be the play for each way thieves and he represent decent value. For the winner I will stick with Altior who is the class act in the race. Once of the bankers of the festival.

Selection – Altior 11-8/5-4/evens/4-6 (Ante Post)

4.10 Glenfarcas Cross Country Chase.

For the fourth time this is a conditions race rather than a handicap one. It should help the classier horses that have always been giving weight away in the past. Favorites have a shocking record in race with none having won in last 12 years. Hopefully Tiger Roll will buck this trend this year. Course form is very important in this race and of the 56 races that have been run over this course. 34 winners had won or were placed over these obstacles before.

Enda Bolger has a fantastic record in race having won three of the first four renewals all for JP Mcmanus but in the last 8 years his 23 runners have all been beaten. Gordon Elliot has a fantastic record in race too. From just six runners, two winners and two places are a very solid return since the nature of the race was changed. Backing the Elliot horses in the past three years would have yielded a profit of £7 to a level stake of £1. Do look for horses over the age of 8 as the younger horses do generally badly in this race. The Cross Country race at the course back in December has been the best guide in recent years having featured 8 of the last 14 winners.

Tiger Roll heads the betting and is fast becoming the people’s horse. He won the Triumph Hurdle for us in 2014 but he didn’t progress over hurdles as expected. He was then sent chasing where he has been a revelation. He won the NH hunt race at the festival before repeating the feat in this race last year. He even went on to win the Grand National at Aintree. He was beaten on seasonal debut at Cheltenham this season where he was giving lots of weight and wasn’t there to win but it was an encouraging run. He then destroyed the field in the Boyne Hurdle at 33-1 to cause a big upset since it was a prep race for the X Country. He travelled really well and sauntered clear at the last to put daylight between him and his rivals. He is the one to beat in the race and Gordon Elliot will have him spot on for the race that he has been aimed at all season. He is one of the bankers of the festival for me.

Auvergnat heads the list of dangers if ever Tiger Roll has an off day. He was 4th in this race last year and expect some improvement from him. He won the Paddy Power Chase over Xmas with plenty in hand. He jumped brilliantly that day and stayed on strongly in the run in. He could be the play in the w/o market or place market if you’ve missed the early prices on Tiger Roll.

Josies Orders is a Cheltenham legend having won 4 times at the course. He isn’t getting younger and is prone to 1/2 jumping mistakes but you can be sure you will get a run for your money if you backed him each way. He will stay on strongly on that hill and if you eyeball him he will pull away with the turn of foot he has. He won two of his last 3 races including the P.P Hogan at Punchestown.

Fact of the Matter won the Cross Country race here back in December and he will have a small each way squeak in race. Keep an eye on Ballycasey too ( 3rd in race won by Fact of the Matter) as he will be better off the weights with a few that finished ahead of him on the day). Only problem with Ballycasey is he isn’t reliable but he will be a big price on the day.

For the winner I will have to stick with Tiger Roll and I think he will win it for the 2nd year running and add another illustrious race to his impressive CV

Selection – Tiger Roll 10-3/3-1 ( Ante Post )

 

4.50 Fred Winter  Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

This race has been a punters graveyard in recent years with 6 of the last 7 winners going off at 25-1 or bigger. Veneer of Charm was the latest one to follow the trend last year when he bolted up at 33-1 for Gordon Elliot. French bred horses have a fantastic record in race as they have won eight of the last 14 renewals. In fact, 27 of the last 44 win-and-placed horses were French-bred. Lots of Trainers like to keep few secrets from the handicapper and only run them 1/2 times during a season to protect their handicap mark. 9 of the last 14 winners arrived having had the minimum 3 hurdles win. Try to look for horses with obscure bits of form at small tracks that has left them ahead of the handicapper. Last time out winners have a good record in the Fred Winter. Also note horses in headgear as they have a good record in race too.

But the one trainer that has a fantastic record in race with his French bred horses is Paul Nichols. As well as winning 3 of the last 9 renewals, he has had 4 seconds, a third, a fourth and a fifth from 16 runners. He isn’t afraid of pitching a juvenile into open novice company or handicap. Gordon Elliot has saddled 2 winners and 2 places from 11 runners.  David Pipe is another trainer who likes to target his race with his french imports. He has won it once with two seconds and two more placed from his 13 runners. Willie Mullins had no luck in this race with all 12 of his runners failing to place. I have a few horses in mind for this race but I will decide closer time.

Selections -Band of Outlaws 13-2 & Coko Beach 12-1

5.30 Weatherbys Champion Bumper Grade 1

This should be renamed as the Irish Champion Bumper as they have won 11 of the last 14 renewals of this race. In total they have been victorious 18 times out of the 25 runnings. Willie Mullins will be looking for his tenth win in race and it’s one he likes to target. He won it last year with Relegate at 25-1 ridden by Katie Walsh and had the 1-2-3. It is worth noting that Willie won it on 4 occasions when he had only one runner. On three of the other five occasions he won it it was normally the 2nd or 3rd string according to the betting that have won. The last 15 winners have all won on their previous start. Ten of the last 16 winners had run in at least three bumpers.23 of the 26 winners were aged 5 or 6. Favorite backers have had a nightmare recently in the race but 17 of the last 26 winners could be found in the top 6 of the betting.

Blue Sari represents the Mullins yard and leads the betting. He ran only once in a bumper race at Gowran Park at the end of January where he was visually impressive. Based on that one run he was purchased by JP Mcmanus. He was kept wide throughout the race and had to do his own running. When asked to quicken away he sprinted in the manner of a good horse on ground that wasn”t to his liking. He stayed on strongly at end of race which suggests he will relish conditions at Cheltenham. He is a good mover too and will be thereabouts. Patrick won’t be able to do the weights on him due to weight allowance given to 4 year olds in race. Receiving 8lb from his elders could make a big difference in a race of this nature so keep this in mind when you are betting.

Envoi Allen is one we have been following this season and he is unbeaten in 3 runs to date.He has been kind of lucky horse for me since he got me a full house on the Lucky 15 twice. He won on his debut at Fairyhouse and did beat a well regarded horse in Port Stanley. He had to work for it but once the penny dropped he won going away. He was more professional on his next start at Navan when he made mince meat of the opposition. Midnight run who was beaten by 7 lengths on the day won impressively next time out. His last win came in Dublin back in February where he stayed on strongly to repel the challenge of the well regarded horse from the Joseph O’Brien yard in Meticulous.

Meticulous has been all the rage in recent days and few dogs are barking about him too. He could well have improved from that 2nd behind Envoi Allen at Leopardstown. He is one to keep an eye on closely on the day. Get In The Queue represents the Fry horse and is another one that has won his 2 bumper races in convincing fashion. He has a great turn of foot and travels really well in his races. He has been well supported recently and is one to monitor closely. Ask For Glory is one that landed a big gamble for the Nichols yard at Chepstow back in December. He made all that day and drew clear at the end to win by 16 lengths. They think highly about him in the yard too . Master Debonair won for us at Cheltenham back in December and I will give him a small each way squeak. The same applies to Eden Du Houx who has won his first 2 races and I was quite taken by his performance at Ascot.

Lots of horses with good potential here for the future and don’t be surprised to see another outsider winning it. I still think the race will be between Blue Sari and Envoi Allen. I will stick with one that I have been following in Envoi Allen.

Selection – Envoi Allen 10-1 ( Ante Post )

Tuesday 12th March – Cheltenham Day 1

Glen

Cheltenham

1.30 Angels Breath 12-1 ( Ante Post ) , Klassical Dream 16-1 (Ante Post)

* William Hill are also paying 7 places on the race if you are interested)

2.10 Glen Forsa 7-1 ( Ante Post)

2.50 Coo Star Sivola 10-1 & Noble Endeavor 14-1

3.30 Buveur D’Air 7-2 (Ante Post)

4.10 Benie Des Dieux 5-2 to win any race (Ante Post) –

* Roksana at 10-1 on bet365 looks an e/w alternative if you don’t like shorties or one you can back on place market. She was 2nd behind Santini at Aintree and 3rd behind Buveur Dair.She has the form in the book and should be shorter in betting in my opinion.

4.50 Tower Bridge 8-1(Notebook) & Highway One O One 12-1

5.30 Ok Corral 8-1 /10-1 (Ante Post ) & saver Ballyward 11-4 ( Strong confidence from yard about him)

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E/w Lucky 15 – 1.30 Klassical Dream 5-1 , 2.50 Coo Star Sivola 10-1 , 4.10 Roksana 8-1,4.50 Tower Bridge 8-1 (Ladbrokes)

Trixie – 2.10 Glen Forsa 9-2 , 4.10 Benie Des Dieux evens , 5.30 Ballyward 5-2 (@paddypower)

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Links to my Cheltenham blogs –

(1) Festival Preview – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2019/03/01/cheltenham-2019-12th-15th-march-festival-preview-stats-and-analysis/

(2) Multiples & Teams – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2019/03/09/cheltenham-2019-the-teams-and-few-multiples/

============================================================================

Bookies Offers (Use them to your advantage )

(1) Skybet -Money Back as cash up to £20 on the 1.30 at Cheltenham everyday of the festival.

(2) PaddyPower Day 1 races- Money back as free bet if 2nd ,3rd or 4th (Max £10)

(3) Betway – Money back as a free bet in 1st and last race everyday at Cheltenham (Max £10)

(4) Coral – Double your winnings up to £25 if your horse wins – First race everyday at Cheltenham

(5) Bet365 – Back a winner at 4-1 or above on ITV and get a risk free bet on the next race shown on ITV.

 

Day 1 Tuesday 12th March 

1.30 Sky Bet Supreme Novices Hurdle 

This is the race that kick off proceedings at the festival with the famous roar. The Irish have an outstanding record in the race having won 15 out of the last 27 proceedings. Eleven of the last 14 favorites that were sent off 2-1 or shorter in this race have been beaten.  Also do note that last time out winners have won 19 of the last 22 renewals. The Tolworth Hurdle is a race that has produced few good Cheltenham winners recently and is one to look at closely. Summerville Boy won the Tolworth last year en route to winning the Supreme. Willie Mullins have an outstanding record in race having won it 5 times with the likes of Champagne Fever, Vautour and Douvan. It’s worth noting that he had the last 3 beaten favorites in Min,Melon and Getabird.

Al Dancer heads the market for Nigel Twiston Davies and he is unbeaten in 4 starts this season. He came to my attention when he blitzed the field at Cheltenham when he won by 11 lengths. He was visually impressive that day and jumped brilliantly throughout. He followed up in a very competitive Betfair Hurdle at Ascot. He was very fluent again and put daylight between him and his rivals in a matter of strides. The other plus for him is he has course form and that will benefit him on Tuesday. The slight reservation I have is about the stats/ form of previous Betfair Hurdle winners in the race. Nigel thinks the world of him and I can’t see him out of the places.

Fakir Doudairies represent the Joseph O’Brien yard and has been recently purchased by JP McManus. He won his Cork hurdle back in January but a few of those in behind(Fast Buck, Discordantly etc) have let the form down next time out. He then went on to win the Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle at Cheltenham where he destroyed the field. I don’t think he beat a lot that day but his jumping was electric. He stayed on strongly up the hill that day and he will be a major player in race if he is at the start.

Angels Breath is next in the betting and was the favorite for this race till the Betfair Hurdle. He won the Supreme Novice Trial at Ascot back in December and quickened away smartly at the end. He only jumped 4 hurdles that day. He wasn’t seen again till the Dovecote in late February where he was beaten by a very good/experienced horse in Southfield Stone ( 3rd in Grade 1 Tolworth). He might have been beaten but I went back home to watch the race 4/5 times. I honestly think he showed some improvement from his 1st race.

Also we have to take note of the horse being vaccinated a few days before the race and I think Nico gave him an educational ride on the day. I saw some of his jumping closely and he was very quick and accurate. No wonder Nicky keeps saying he jumps like an arrow at home. Also we have to remember he was beaten by a very good horse trying to concede 5lb. The stiffer course and the softer conditions (if the rain arrives) will help him a lot as it will make it a real stamina test. He drifted to 16-1 after the race but I think he is now back to 7-1/8-1 at the time of writing. He will be one of the major players in the race.

Elixir De Nutz brings arguably the best form in the race having won the Grade 1 Tolworth Novice Hurdle at Sandown on his latest start. He ran 3 times at Cheltenham winning 2 races and only beaten by Thomas Darby on his seasonal debut. He is such a game horse and you will get a run for your money if you back him. He travels well in his races and grinds it out till the end. He jumps fluently too and I am sure he is well overpriced for race. The form of that Tolworth has worked out really well with Grand Sancy having won the Kingwell Hurdle and Southfield Stone winning the Dovecote. The horse that was 3rd to Grand Sancy ( Vision Des Flos) won the Grade 2 National Spirit Hurdle last week . Course form will help him too as opposed to those that haven’t ran there before.

Grand Sancy has won 4 races this season and has been very busy. He has progressed through the ranks and his 2nd in the Tolworth stood out. He was also 4th in the Betfair Exchange won by Mohaayed where he ran really well. He must have a little squeak on form.

We have the 2 Mullins horses in Klassical Dream and Aramon. I think both will run here but it’s nearly confirmed that Ruby will ride Klassical Dream. He won both his races at Leopardstown and his latest victory came in the Grade 1 Chanelle Pharma Novice Hurdle. He is highly regarded at the yard and is one to follow for future races. He has been one of Willie best novice hurdlers this season. There was nothing between him and Aramon jumping the last and despite being headed he showed a great attitude to get back up for Ruby Walsh. I like horses that have this kind of attitude and he showed his battling qualities on the day. He will relish the ground conditions and could improve again.

Aramon won the Future Champion Novice Hurdle over Xmas where he was very impressive. We might have soft ground on Tuesday and that will help him. Mister Fisher is another one from the Henderson yard and he won 2 out of his 3 starts this season. He won the Rossington Novice Hurdle at Haydock on his last start but I wasn’t too impressed with his jumping that day. He is prone to mistakes and I can’t have him in the race. At bigger odds Thomas Darby or Champagne Platinum could sneak in a place if the main protagonists fail to deliver.

Selections – Angels Breath 12-1 ( Ante Post ) , Klassical Dream 16-1 (Ante Post)

 

2.10 Racing Post Arkle Challenge Novices Chase

This is a race for novices over the 2 mile on the old course. It is a race designed to test horses ability to jump efficiently and go as fast as possible. It has been a race that has been very profitable for favorite backers in recent years. The likes of Altior, Douvan, Footpad & Un De Sceaux have all won this race at odds on. 14 of the last 17 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 over fences earlier in the season. Cheltenham form is crucial as 12 of the last 18 winners had run at the course before and four of the past 12 winners had won at the previous season’s festival.

This year’s Arkle is wide open with injuries ruling some key players out of the race. The likes of Le Richebourg. Dynamite Dollars & Cilaos Emery have all been ruled out due to injury. Lalor heads the betting this year after impressing on his seasonal debut when he thrashed a good field at Cheltenham in the Grade 2 Arkle Trial. He looked really good that day and his jumping was so accurate. He traveled beautifully throughout and stayed on impressively at the end. The 2nd that day Dynamite Dollars went on to reverse the form with him in the Grade 1 Henry VIII Novice Chase at Sandown on soft ground. He also won the Wayward Lad Novice Chases in December by beating Kalashnikov. That race at Cheltenham has a solid look to it if you consider the fact that Defi Du Seuil (5th on the day) is one of the leading contenders for the JLT on Thursday.

Glen Forsa has been a revelation this season and has progressed through the ranks. He won his last 3 races in convincing fashion .What I like about this horse is he attacks his fences with precision and he can accelerate at various stages during a race. He won for us at Kempton on Boxing Day and that race has worked out really well since the 4 behind him on that day have all won good races afterwards. He destroyed Kalashnikov in the Kingmaker on his last start. He jumped really well once again and quickened away smartly to win going away. I reckon he will make the running and his jumping will put immense pressure on the ones behind. He could be 2/3 lengths clear jumping 2 out and hopefully he will stay up that hill. I don’t think Defi Du Seuil will run here as they said he will run in the JLT.

Kalashnikov represents the Amy Murphy team and he has been a disappointment in his last 2 races. He won mickey mouse races on his 1st two starts at prohibitive odds and as a result he was hyped to the max. He got found out against better horses in Dynamite Dollars and Glen Forsa. He isn’t a good jumper at all and if you don’t jump well at speed around Cheltenham you have no chance of even finishing in the places. Those fences are unforgiving. For that reason I wouldn’t touch him even with stolen dosh.

Duc Des Genievres was 3rd on his chasing debut over at Naas and then finished 3rd behind Cilaos Emery. He was very good on his last start at Gowran Park where his jumping was much improved. He will have an each way squeak if he is at start of the race. Paloma Blue is another horse that jumped like a donkey on his seasonal debut but he showed marked improvement in his next race. I wasn’t too impressed though as he was jumping slightly right and made a few jumping errors too.

Hardline is another nice horse from the Gordon Elliot team. He has won 3 of his last 5 starts this season. I think he is the one who is overpriced in the market right now at 12-1( Been well backed since i started writing this ). He won the Grade 1 Exchange Novice Chase at Limerick over Xmas beating the well regarded Getabird. He then finished 3rd in the Flogas behind the admirable La Bague Au Roi. I think he could sneak a place in this race. Of the rest I can’t see anything winning.

Selection – Glen Forsa 7-1 (Ante Post)

2.50 Ultima Handicap Chase (Grade 3 )

This is one of the toughest and trickiest handicap races of the festival. It has been a real graveyard for favorite backers as only 3 of them have won since 1977. Coo Star Sivola became the 3rd one last year when he destroyed the field. Second favorites have a good record in the race too having won it nine times since 1984 and 13 winners since 2000 could be found in the first four in the betting.

It’s also important to note that nine of the last 20 winners had finished in the first four at this meeting before and to respect last time out winners as they have provided the winner on seven occasions in the last 15 years. Novices have a good record in the race having recorded 6 winners in the last 15 runnings. Jonjo O’Neil has a cracking record in race having won three of the last ten runnings with 2 of those successes coming for the green and gold silks of JP Mcmanus. Other trainers that like targeting this race are David Pipe , Alan King and Neil Mulholland. So do take note of horses they will be sending for this race.

Another nice stat is that six of the last seven winners have ran in headgear. Do take note of horses trying headgear for the first time or switching headgear. Paul Nichols record in the race is shocking as he is 0/22! Another good stat is the fact that ten of the last 21 winners have finished in the first four at this meeting before. Irish trained horses are 0/20 since winning the race in 2006. The last 4 winners of this race have all ran on Trials Day in January.

Selections – Coo Star Sivola 10-1 & Noble Endeavor 14-1

3.30 Unibet Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy ( Grade 1 )

This is one of the most anticipated races of the festival and most eagerly awaited. The true test of the two mile hurdler. the key to the Champion Hurdle is often fluent hurdling. Jumping at speed is crucial and the great champions like Istabraq, Hurricane Fly and Buveur D’Air portrayed the perfect technique. They were able to got from one side to the other without breaking stride at times. Nine of the last 19 winners have come from the previous Champion Hurdle race. Only one five year old have won since 1985 (Katchit in 2008 ) and 101 have tried since ! Course form is vital since 19 of the last 20 winners have ran at the festival before. No 10 year olds have won since 1981 even though 28 have tried.

This year’s race will live up to expectations with Buveur D’Air. Apples Jade and Laurina all lining up. Buveur D’Air will try to emulate the great Champion Hurdlers of recent times if ever he wins it for the 3rd time in a row. He wasn’t at his best in last year’s race but he showed real fight and determination to fend off Melon at the end. This year he won twice but  suffered a shock defeat at Kempton in the Xmas Hurdle. He was beaten a short head but he was well below his best that day. On the other hand he was seen at his very best in the Fighting Fifth on his re appearance where he made mince meat of Samcro. His jumping was electric that day and once Barry pressed the button he went 5/6 lengths clear in a matter of strides. He is still the horse to beat for me and I am convinced he will run a mighty race once again in 10 days time.

Apples Jade finally got her chance in this race after showing her brilliance all season in top Grade 1 races over in Ireland. I know she got beat in the Mares last year but we can excuse her as she was in season on the day. She is unbeaten this season having won 3 Grade 1 ‘s ( Hatton’s Grace. Xmas Hurdle and Irish Champion Hurdle ) by a combined length of 62 !! She is a much improved horse this year and she is a live danger to Buveur D’Air. She will probably make the running and the others will be stalking in behind. She hasn’t  been tested at all this season but she is the form horse coming in the race.

Laurina represents the Willie Mullins stable and she is the 3rd fave in the betting. She only had 2 runs this season against her own sex and won as expected in those mickey mouse odds. She is unbeaten in five starts and has been visually impressive in all her races so far. She also travels so powerfully in her races but we must remember she has only beaten the girls in her career so far and she is untested outside mares-only company.

I also think she spends a bit of time in the air jumping her hurdles which could make her vulnerable against proper 2 mile hurdlers. I wouldn’t put anyone off her as she could be anything and like Apples Jade she will get the mares allowance which can be of huge help like we saw when Annie Power won this race few years ago. I don’t think there will be much between those 3 but it will depend ultimately on who will jump better & faster on the day.

I can’t have Melon in the race as he has been a big donkey this year and lost his form . Sharjah won the Galway Hurdle back in August and then won the Grade 1 Morgiana Hurdle by destroying Faugheen. He followed up in the Ryanair Hurdle over Xmas and showed his win in the Morgiana wasn’t a fluke. I can’t see him troubling the market leaders but i will give him a little each way squeak.

I have been a Buveur D’Air fan since before he won his first Champion and I will stay loyal to him once again. On his day he is brilliant as we saw at Newcastle. He is a joy to watch and he will be behind waiting to pounce at the last behind Apples Jade. It will be close between those 2 but I still think the experience Buveur D’Air has over 2 miles will count a lot. He will win another Champion Hurdle and join the greats in the process.

Selection – Buveur D’Air 7-2 (Ante Post)

4.10 OLBG Mares Hurdle ( Grade 1 )

This should be renamed as the Willie Mullins benefit race such has been the dominance of the champion Irish trainer since 2008. He goes in search of his 10th victory in the race having won it nine times in the last 10 years. Only Apples Jade broke the sequence in 2017 for Gordon Elliot. Its normal that the Irish would have a fabulous record too having won it 10 times and they also have four runners ups and six thirds.

Willie Mullins can count on the likes of reigning champion Benie Des Dieux , Limini and Stormy Ireland in this year’s race. Benie Des Dieux hasn’t been seen this season. Her last win was in the Annie Power Mares Champion Hurdle where she trounced the likes of Augusta Kate and Apples Jade. She will be one of the bankers of the festival if she is at the start of the race.

Limini has been very busy this year having ran in summer and winter. On her last start she was a creditable 4th in the Galmoy Hurdle which was won by Presenting Percy. She was also 3rd in the Hatton’s Grace beaten by 22 lengths on the day. Stormy Ireland won on her seasonal debut at Punchestown beating her stablemate Good Thyne Tara. She was no match to Espoir D’Allen on her following start and got trounced by Laurina few weeks ago. At bigger odds Roksana or Lady Buttons ( if she runs here ) would represent good value for each way thieves.

Selection – Benie Des Dieux 5-2 to win any race (Ante Post)

4.50 Close Brothers Novices Handicap Chase

This is another tricky race at the festival and so competitive. You need to have a bit of class to win this race nowadays. Last time out winners have a fantastic record in race with 6 of the last 10 winners having done so. In recent years it paid to look at horses in the top 6 in the betting as they’ve won 11 of the last 14 renewals. You need to look at a progressive horse that is peaking at the right time. We need to focus on horses with 3 or 4 runs under their belt. Nine of the last 14 winners have been beaten on their first 2 chase starts. Course form is important too since 6 of the last 14 winners have already ran at the festival before.

Also a nice trend that has served me well over the last few years is the wearing of any type of new headgear by horses in race. Irish Cavalier won this for us few years ago after being fitted with cheekpieces for first time and Ballyalton did the same 2 years ago. Another interesting stat is that 30 horses have contested this race in first time head gear with 2 winning and another 6 being placed ( 5 of those going off between 20-1 and 66-1). There can be decent each way value at decent prices on horses wearing headgear for the first time.

Look out for small stables as they have a habit of winning this. Four of the last 7 winners have come from not so fashionable stables like Alan Fleming( Tully East), Ballyalton( Ian Williams), Present View( Jamie Snowden) and Hunt Ball( Kieran Burke) . It’s a race where it’s hard for the big yards to plot up a horse up  Nicky Henderson has a good record in race having won it with Rajdhani Express in 2013 and he has also saddled up four runners ups. Mister Whittaker landed a big gamble for Mick Channon last year. Glen Forsa would have been a shoe in for this race if he didn’t blew his mark in the Kingwell.

Selection – Tower Bridge 8-1(Notebook) & Highway One O One 12-1

5.30 National Hunt Challenge Cup Amateur Riders Novice Chase

The National Hunt Chase is generally known as the 4 miler and is now contested by high class novices with strong form in graded races. Lots of experience over fences has proved crucial in such a tough attritional race. It is fast becoming a race for proven graded performers. Five  of the last 8 winners had contested a Grade  1 Novice Chase earlier in the season (Rathvinden last year was latest) and three of those were officially top rated.

Six of the last 11 winners had experienced Cheltenham fences earlier in the season and another was placed in the Kim Muir the previous season. Horses with less than 3 chase starts have a very poor record and this is the stat that is against Ok Corral in race this year. Look out for horses that have ran in handicap chases earlier in the season and don’t dismiss them.

I was told years ago to simply pick a horse ridden by Derek O’Connor or Jamie Codd especially in this or the Kim Muir where the horses are professionally ridden during the season and they often get on the best ones. Derek O’Connor won this race twice on Chicago Grey and Minella Rocco and been placed on 4 occasions. He fell 2 out on Rival D’Estruval who may well have won and the unfortunate Edwulf two years ago who went wrong when well in contention. Given his record at the festival it is slightly surprising that Jamie Codd has only won this race once on Cause of Causes but his record is pretty impressive in last 6 years – 451F5U

Jonjo O’Neil has by far the best record in the race with 6 winners. Willie Mullins didn’t have a good record till last year when Rathvinden won  but it’s worth paying attention to his runners as 3 of the last 4 have all finished 3-4-3 despite going off at 9-1,10-1 and 33-1. Also note Gordon Elliott who has trained three of the last 8 winners in the race in Chicago Grey, Cause of Causes and the legendary Tiger Roll in 2017.

Selections –Ok Corral 8-1 /10-1 (Ante Post ) & & saver Ballyward 11-4 ( Strong confidence from yard about him)

Cheltenham 2019 – The Teams and a few multiples

 

The A Team –

Tuesday – 3.30 Buveur D’Air  4.10 Benie Des Dieux  Wednesday 3.30 Altior  4.10 Tiger Roll  – Thursday– 3.30 Paisley Park  4.50 Epatante   Friday – 1.30 Sir Erec

The B Team –

Tuesday 1.30 Angels Breath    Wednesday 1.30 Battleoverdoyen  2.10 Delta Work 5.30 Envoi Allen   Thursday 1.30 Defi Du Seuil 2.10 First Assignment 5.30 Measureofmydreams –Friday– 2.50 Lisnagar Oscar 3.30 Presenting Percy 4.10 Hazel Hill

The C Team –

Tuesday -1.30 Klassical Dream , 2.10 Glen Forsa 5.30 Ok Corral  Wednesday 2.10 Santini 2.50 Brio Conti  Thursday Siruh Du Lac   Friday – 1.30 Pic Dorhy 4.50 Magic Saint

I like to put my horses in different categories . It doesn’t mean I fancy the ones in the C team less than the ones in A Team or vice versa. Just a guide about my bets and how I have paired them in multiples.

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The Multiple Bets

(1) Best Single of the festival – 1.30 (Fri) Sir Erec

(2) Best Double – 3.30 (Wed) Altior & 4.10 (Wed) Tiger Roll

(3) Treble – 4.10 (Tues) Benie Des Dieux , 3.30 (Wed) Altior , 1.30 (Fri) Sir Erec

(4) Trixie – 4.10 (Wed) Tiger Roll ,3.30 (Thurs) Paisley Park , 4.50 (Thurs) Epatante

(5) Lucky 15 -1.30 (Wed) Battleoverdoyen, 3.10 (Wed) Delta Work,  1.30 (Fri) Sir Erec, 3.30 (Fri) Presenting Percy

(6) E/w Lucky 15 -1.30 (Tues) Angels Breath, 1.30 (Wed) Battleoverdoyen , 2.50 (Fri) Lisnagar Oscar,  4.50 (Fri) Magic Saint

(7) E/w Lucky 15 – 2.50 (Wed) Brio Conti , 2.10(Thurs) First Assignment, 3.30 (Thurs) Faugheen, 5.30 (Thurs) Measureofmydreams

(8) Lucky 15 (Elliot Wednesday Party) – 1.30  Battleoverdoyen, 3.10 Delta Work , 4.10  Tiger Roll, 5.30  Envoi Allen

(9) Top 4 bets each day in muggy acca / L15 – 4.10 (Tues) Benie Des Dieux,  3.30(Wed) Altior,  4.50 (Thurs) Epatante, 1.30 (Fri) Sir Erec

(10) Horses that I think are certainties to be placed  – 5.30 (Tues) Ballyward , 2.10 (Wed) Topofthegame,  5.30 (Wed) Blue Sari , 3.30 (Thurs) Faugheen, 4.50 (Thurs) Posh Trish , 3.30 (Fri) Native River.

As usual guys and girls, these are multiples bets which means it’s harder to win as compared to singles. Don’t rely on them or lump on these to get you out of jail. Always cover them with few singles. If they come in it’s nice to land one or two but my main focus is always on the singles to get ahead of bookies. The best gamblers and those who make consistent profit on horseracing are the ones who back lots of singles over time. Good luck

Saturday 9th March

Meydan

12.00 Switzerland 17-2

1.10 Blue Point should win this race but it’s better to take his odds for the Al Quoz on the 30th March instead. ( https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/international/al-quoz-sprint/winner )

1.45 Muntazah 9-4

2.20 Racing History 11-2

2.55 Capezzano 7-1

3.30 Wootton 3-1 (Notebook)

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Sandown – 3.00 Whitehotchillifilli 7-2 , 2.25 Monsieur Lecoq 6-1 & Solomon Grey 8-1 (Notebook – Non Runner )

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E/w Lucky 15– 2.20 Racing History 11-2 , 2.25 Monsieur Lecoq 6-1,  2.55 Capezzano 13-2 , 3.30 Wootton 3-1

* Don’t go too mad on today’s racing as there is a big 4 days ahead of us next week. Apologies if I haven’t replied to your DM’s as I am getting too many these days re Cheltenham etc but I will get back to you all this weekend once I finish my write up for next week. I will try to get the Cheltenham blog up by Sunday evening hopefully. Good luck all