Tuesday 29th March

Fairyhouse

3.55 Top Gamble 6-4

4.30 Robin Thyme 8-1 & Don’t Tell No One 11-1 (Notebook)

5.05 Anibale Fly 4-1, Art of Payroll 20-1 (Notebook)

5.35 Down Under 14-1

6.05 Hedgeinator 3-1 (Non Runner)

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Hexham – 4.15 Feast Of Fire 4-1

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Trixie – 3.55 Top Gamble 11-8 ,5.05 Anibale Fly 4-1 ,6.05 Hedgeinator 3-1(Non Runner)

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Monday 28th March

Fairyhouse

2.40 Newberry New 8-1

3.50 Isleofhopendreams 5-1

5.00 Killer Crow 12-1 & Mala Beach 12-1(Notebook ) — (5 places at bookies)

6.40 Death Duty 11-8

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Trixie – 2.40 Newberry New 8-1 ,3.50 Isleofhopendreams 4-1 ,6.40 Death Duty 5-4

 

 

 

 

 

Sunday 27th March

Fairyhouse – 3.05 Jers Girl 4-1 , 3.40 Acapella Bourgeois 11-2 & Fire In Soul 9-1 (Notebook), 5.25 Blairs Cove 16-1

Plumpton 4.00 Dormello Mo 11-2 (Non Runner)

Cork – 6.10 Classic Place 2-1

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Trixie -3.05 Jers Girl 7-2, 3.40 Acapella Bourgeois 11-2,6.10 Classic Place 2-1

 

 

 

Saturday 26th March

DWC

Meydan

12.20 Marking 13-8

12.55 Big Orange 6-1

1.35 Polar River  8-13 ,should win this and can be used in multiple.

2.10 Ertijaal 7-2 , NotListenintome 7-1 saver

2.45 X Y Jet 2-1

3.45 Tryster 9-4 , Very Special 14-1 (Notebook)

4.20 Duramente 10-3

5.00 California Chrome 15-8  ,Mubtaahij 16-1 (Notebook)

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Lucky 15 – 2.10 Ertijaal 7-2 , 3.45 Tryster 2-1 , 4.20 Duramente 3-1 ,5.00 California Chrome 7-4

Small E/w Lucky 15 – 12.55 Big Orange 6-1 , 2.10 NotListenintome 13-2 , 3.45 Very Special 14-1, 5.00 Mubtaahij 14-1

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Haydock –  3.10 No Duffer 10-1 , 4.50 Gulshanigans 12-1

Cork– 5.20 Harzand 7-4

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Friday 25th March

AWWWWWWWWWWW

Lingfield

1.40 Volunteer Point 5-1 (Money back as free bet if favorite Cold As Ice wins with Skybet – the wide draw and crap odds are reasons why am against Cold As Ice tomorrow but he can win without my dosh at those odds )

2.10 Goken 4-1 , saver Alben Star 10-1

2.40 Ballynanty 6-1

3.15 Sovereign Debt 3-1

3.45 Grendisar 5-4

4.15 Wolowitz 10-3

4.45 Haalick 15-8

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Trixie – 2.10 Goken 3-1 , 3.45 Grendisar 5-4 , 4.45 Haalick 15-8

Small E/w Lucky 15 – 1.40 Volunteer Point 5-1, 2.10 Alben Star 10-1, 2.40 Ballynanty 6-1, 4.15 Aguerooo 12-1

 

 

Friday 18th March – Cheltenham Day 4

Djakadaaaaaam

Cheltenham

1.30  Zubayr 7-1 ,Footpad 25-1 ,Let’s Dance 20-1 ( All Ante Post prices)

2.10 Blue Hell 10-1

2.50 Barters Hill 9-2 ,saver Long Dog 9-1

3.30 Djakadam 3-1

4.10 On The Fringe 11-4 ,Paint the Clouds 8-1 saver ( Ante Post Prices)

4.50 Squouateur 5-1

5.30 Next Sensation 16-1/14-1 ,Rock The World 12-1 (Ante Post Prices )

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Lucky 15– 1.30 Zubayr 5-1 ,2.50 Barters Hill 9-2 ,3.30 Djakadam 3-1.4.10 On The Fringe 3-1

E/w Lucky 15 – 1.30 Footpad 10-1 ,2.10 Blue Hell  9-1 ,2.50 Long Dog  9-1 ,4.50 Squouateur 5-1

*Last Day of the festival and it looks tricky & competitive.No real bankers like the last 3 days but be careful as Friday normally is a bookies day. Good luck all and enjoy  today’s winnings 🙂

Lucky’s and Multiples  – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2016/03/11/cheltenham-2016-luckys-and-multiples/

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Day 4 – Friday 18th March

1.30 JCB Triumph Hurdle 

This is a tough race for novice hurdlers and is ran at break neck speed over 2 miles 1 furlong.It’s not an easy race to find the winner but nine of the last eleven winners could be found in top four in the betting.Favorites have a poor record in race and only 2 managed to win in last 14 years.17 of the last 21 Triumph Hurdle winners have won on their last start prior to the Triumph Hurdle.In the last 16 years the Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (won by Zubayr at 9-1 for us recently) and the Spring Juvenile Hurdle (won by Footpad, our ante post horse) have provided the Triumph Hurdle winner between them on 9 occasions in the last 16 years.Nicky Henderson likes to target this race and has won it 6 times while Alan King won it twice with 4 places the last 10 yrs.

Ivanovich Gorbatov heads the betting.He won his maiden at Leopardstown beating Let’s Dance by 2 lengths.He was very impressive that day showing a blistering turn of foot when it mattered.He was then sent to the Spring Juvenile Hurdle where he disappointed on heavy ground.Let’s Dance(3rd) did turn around the form with Ivanovich Gorbatov (4th) in a race won by Footpad. He made a few jumping mistakes that day .I am not totally convinced by him and why he is favorite.Zubayr won the Adonis last week impressively last week.Despite drifting to 9-1 in the market he powered clear in the run in. He was a talking horse by the Nichols yard all season and he goes to Cheltenham with his reputation enhanced.

Sceau Royal represents the King yard and has won his last 3 races very easily.He is a very slick jumper and after his Huntingdon win Alan King mentioned he wasn’t sure of having trained one that’s quicker getting from A to B over a hurdle.That was a huge compliment to Sceau Royal considering he trained Katchit to win the Champion Hurdle few years ago.He also won the Trial race at Cheltenham on his penultimate start by beating a very good horse in Adrien Du Pont that won on his next start.Connetable represents the Nichols yard and he was 2nd on his debut at Ascot to Gibralfaro.He then went to Sandown and gave a beating to Rayvin Black and Peace N Co.Rayvin Black gave the form a big boost when he won the Kingwell Hurdle at Wincanton recently.I wouldn’t be surprised if he runs a big race next week.

Let’s have a look at the 2 Mullins horses in the race which happened to be our 2 Ante Post bets backed at big odds months ago.Footpad won on his debut at Gowran Park in a mickey mouse where he jumped fluently in what was an educational race for him. He was then sent to the Frank Juvenile Hurdle on Boxing Day but he was beaten by his stablemate Apples Jade.He drifted markedly before the race and he could be forgiven for that run on very heavy ground.He then ran in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle where he was brilliant throughout the race.He was fluent on ground he liked and stayed on strongly before powering clear of his stablemates Allblak Des Places and Lets Dance.This was his best performance to date and if he reproduces that kind of form he will be thereabouts.I was told he was Mullins No 1 hope at start of the season too .

Let’s Dance started his campaign over Xmas where he finished 2nd and then he was 3rd to Footpad on his last start.He is another one for Ricci/Mullins and I will give him an each way squeak if he gets his ground.Of the others Gibralfaro and Protek des Flos are worth mentioning as they could run well.

Selections – Zubayr 7-1 ,Footpad 25-1 ,Let’s Dance 20-1 ( All Ante Post prices)

2.10 Vincent O’Brien County Handicap Hurdle 

Punters used to like this race before as you could find the winner quite easily but it has become very tricky recently.Five of the last eight winners were sent at odds of 20-1 + compared to 32 of the previous 33 winners being sent off at no bigger than 16-1+.First or 2nd season hurdlers have fantastic record in the race having won 11 times in the last 12 years.The Irish have a great record in race too having won 7 times in the last 9 years.I think they had 1st 6 last year too when Wicklow Brave won at 25-1.

We need to look for a horse aged (1) no older than 6 (2) is Irish (3) is progressive (novice preferably) ,  (4) we take particular note of 5 year olds with nine wins in the last 17 years from approximately 20% representation (5) Trained by Mullins and Nichols (won 6 between them in last 10 years), (6) pay attention to the Coral Hurdle at Leopardstown (won by Henry Higgins) as it has provided 4 winners recently, (6) not trained by Nicky Henderson (29 of his runners were out of the places since 1997) .Horses on my shortlist for next week – Desoto County,Wait for Me,All Yours ,Sqouateur.

Selections – Blue Hell 10-1 & Henry Higgins 22-1 

2.50 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle

Stamina is a key issue in this gruelling 3 mile novice chase.If the ground is soft that day you can get some really funny results.You basically need a horse that stays all day,is a fluent jumper and travels well in his races. Experience counts which is no better illustrated by the fact that although this is a race restricted to novices, five of the 11 winners had run over hurdles the previous season. Nine of the 11 winners finished first or second last time out.

The best guide to this race is the Classic Novice Hurdle in which Yanworth (The Neptune favorite) won impressively by beating Shantou Village with 3 of the last winners going on to win the Albert Bartlett.The novice hurdle at Leopardstown ran in late January (won by A Toi Phil-engaged in Neptune ) is a good guide for the Irish as two runners up went on to win here.Barters Hill head the market and rightly so as he is still unbeaten in 7 starts.He was a top bumper horse last year that culminated in winning the Aintree bumper where he had Bellshill behind.

Previously he won at Newbury beating the likes of Buveur D’Air and Altior and looking back this wasn’t a bad race at all considering what those horses have achieved since.He won his maiden hurdle at Huntingdon by grinding out like Barters Hill normally does.He then went to the Challow Novice Hurdle at Newbury and won easily.His latest success came at Doncaster where he battled all the way till the line to repel the challenge of Ballydine.He made 1-2 mistakes that day but he was not for passing as he kept finding more under pressure when he was pressed.Might be a similar story next week as he is a lazy horse,in the same mould as Don Poli.But what they both have is a fantastic attitude,a never say die attitude and will give you a run for your money.He is the one to beat in race with his form looking very good now.

Shantou Village could be the one to chase him home if he runs in this race as he is ground dependent.He only lost his unbeaten horse to the classy Yanworth last time at Cheltenham.He won his 1st 2 races of the season in the manner of a very good horse.The 2nd one came at Cheltenham when he made mince meat of Champers on Ice (went on to win his next race) and Penglai Pavillon. His only defeat came on very heavy ground but it was nice to see him jumping well that day and pulling well clear of the field.At 6-1/13-2 he represents some decent value in my opinion.

Up For Review was 3rd to Yorkhill in the bumper at Punchestown and has won his 1st two starts over hurdles.He has shown a really good turn of foot in those races but he was very disappointing on his latest start at Doncaster.He never traveled and blundered at 2 fences which was costly.He needs to bounce back though and has place claims.Mullins did report after race that he scoped badly which could explain his bad run.At 12-1/10-1 he is a nice price for each way backers.

Gangster is another horse from the Mullins yard and there have been whispers about his chances recently.He had only 4 runs in his career winning 3 of them.The only defeat came on unsuitable ground at odds on.He has been well backed recently too. He has an eye catching pedigree being a half brother to Rite of Passage (Gold Cup winner) and travels really well in his races.

Uknowhatimeanharry could run here instead of the Pertemps and he is decent value at 20-1 too.He has been a great horse for us this season winning his 4 starts.He won on his seasonal debut in a big field at Cheltenham where he was brilliant jumping those hurdles.He followed up at Newbury and then won the Albert Bartlett Trial at Cheltenham.He was made to work by Final Nudge but he kept pulling more at the end.His latest win came in the Pertemps Handicap Hurdle at Exeter where he was very impressive.I reckon he is worth a few quid on the place market if he ever runs here.

Thomas Hobson is another one with place claims if ever he runs here.The two best horses in the race are Barters Hill and Shantou Village.I will leave it as late as possible in this race due to the fact am unsure whether  Shantou Village runs here or elsewhere.

Selections – Barters Hill 9-2 ,saver Long Dog 9-1 

3.30 Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1 )

This is one of the highlights of the festival and feature race on the last day.It’s one of those races that owners,trainers and jockeys want to win once in their lifetime.Second season chasers have a very good record in race having won 50% of races since 1990. 11 of the last 15 winners had finished first or second at the Festival before while ten of the last 11 winners were running in the Gold Cup for the first time.RSA winners the previous season have a good record in race having won it 8 times since 1980.Mullins has yet to win this race but had 3 runners up in the last 3 years.

The King Georges at Kempton and The Lexus Chase are the best guides as 14 of the last 16 winners have ran in one of them.Cue Card and Don Poli won those races this season.You basically want a horse that has won a Grade 1 race as the last 16 winners won at least one at the highest level before competing in the Gold Cup.Fourteen of the last 15 winners could be found in the first three in the betting with Lord Windermere being the exception.

This year’s race could be one of the greatest races ever staged with the likes of Don Cossack,Vautour,Don Poli,Djakadam,Cue Card etc.The only absentee is Coneygree the defending champion ruled out due to injury.Cue Card has been a revelation this season and is the form horse going into the race.He has already won twice at the festival winning the Champion Bumper and the Ryanair.He was 2nd to Sprinter Sacre in the Arkle too.He started his season by winning the Charlie Hall at Wetherby where he jumped his rivals into submission.He then went to Haydock and won the Betfair Chase in impressive fashion.He jumped brilliantly that day and was a much improved horse from his 1st run.His next stop will be the King Georges where he broke my heart by nailing Vautour on the line after coming from behind.He got up in the dying strides and produced a career best that day.Both Cue Card and Vautour pulled well clear of the field with Al Ferof in 3rd.Cue Card needs to be respected with his excellent course form and unblemished record this season.But the only slight worry is whether he will get the Gold Cup trip but like I have always said good horses can overcome any obstacles to win.

Vautour would have been unbeaten if the 26th December didn’t exist in the calendar year.Since his demolition job in the JLT last year which was arguably the best jumping display I have ever seen for a long time he has only run twice this season.He made his seasonal debut at Ascot where he wasn’t that brilliant but still managed to win.After a few weeks we learnt that he was heavier than usual in this race and not fully fit.He was then prepared for the King Georges where he jumped like a stag throughout despite few jumps to his left.He comes alive at Cheltenham on spring ground and also goes well left handed.His target all season has been the Gold Cup and he has been prepared with this as his aim.The only concern I will have for Vautour will be if the ground becomes too soft as this could affect his speed but overall I think he is classy enough and will stay the trip.If you don’t try to win the  lottery you will never become a millionaire.

Djakadam is another good horse that represent the Mullins-Ricci connections and he was runner up in that last year.He was 2nd to Don Cossack in the Gold Cup at Punchestown last April. He made his seasonal debut in the John Durkan and he won that race by 12 lengths.He was then sent to Cheltenham in the Betbright Trial Chase but he fell during the race and picked up an injury.Though he is fully fit he didn’t have the ideal preparations and at the time of writing I got told he is 3-4 days behind Vautour in his work at home.But he is a solid horse that attacks his fences with enthusiasm and as a result he cannot be discounted.

Mullins other horse in the race is Don Poli for Gigginstown.He has won twice at the festival(RSA in 2015 and Martin Pipe 2014).He is what I call a lazy horse.He will be off the bridle a long way from home but will keep grinding till the line.He will just do the bare minimum as when he showed winning for us last year in the RSA.He won on his seasonal debut at Aintree where he beat last year’s Grand National winner Many Cloud.He jumped well but raced lazily as usual.If you are backing him you would get a bigger price in running that’s for sure.He then went on to win the Lexus Chase over Xmas and it was another good effort on very testing ground.He goes into the race as a fresh horse but the 3 month break could be a worry.

Another lively contender for the Gigginstown-Mullin combo is Don Cossack. He won 6 of his seven starts last season and was the highest  rated chaser too.He won very easily at Aintree and Punchestown last year but once again he lost at Cheltenham.That’s twice he lost there as he fell the year before too.His jumping can be erratic at times as we saw when he fell in the King Georges last December when coming right in contention at the 3rd last.If he can get his act together he will be a serious rival to the above mentioned horses.

Smad Place had a great season but he isn’t Grade 1 horse in my opinion.He won the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury jumping like a stag throughout and he won by 12 lengths.That was breathtaking considering it was a competitive field. He proved no match to the likes of Cue Card or Vautour at Kempton but still finished 4th.He then went to Cheltenham and won for us in the Betbright Trial Chase.He gave aanother exhibition that day and galloped his rivals into submission.He has a small chance of getting.Road To Riches might be rerouted elsewhere while I would love to see oneof my fave horse in training in Sir Des Champs running well.

Selections – Djakadam 3-1 

4.10 St James Palace Foxhunter Chase Challenge

 This is a race reserved for amateur riders and is ran over the distance of 3 miles 2 furlongs.The Irish have a great record in the race having this race the last 5 years.Last time out winners  have won 20 of the last 30 runnings.On the Fringe comes back to defend  his title this year and he was very impressive when he won.

The Champion Hunters Chase at previous Punchestown festival(won by On The Fringe) is a useful guide as it has featured five of the last eight winners.The hunter chase at Down Royal(won by Marito) is also a nice guide as horses that have finished in top 2 have won this race for last 3 years.The best British guide is the Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters Chase  with 3 of the last 6 winners having contested this race.

The Willoughby De Broke Hunters Chase at Warwick has also featured 3 winners (Mendip Express won this season).The only negative against On The Fringe will be the fact he is 11 now and they have won only twice in last 25 runnings.This year’s  race has an extra dimension to it as Victoria Pendleton, the olympic cycling champion rides Pacha Du Polder.Let’s hope both jockey and horse comes home safe & sound like all the others.The ones on my shortlist are Paint The Clouds, Marito,On The Fringe and It Came To Pass.Will decide nearer time.

Selections-On The Fringe 11-4 ,Paint the Clouds 8-1 saver

4.50 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle 

This is the handicap hurdle that is run over the distance of 2 miles and 4 furlongs.There have only been 6 renewals of the race and we have been lucky enough to win 3 of those in the last 5 years namely with Sir Des Champs,Attaglance and Don Poli.David Pipe likes to target ‘Dad’s race’ but has been unsuccessful so far in last 7 runnings. Willie Mullins has won it 3 times in the last 5 years.Nichols won it with Salubrious at big price in 2013.We need to look for a progressive horse in their 1st or 2nd season novice hurdling.I normally like to look at a classy horse in the race rather than trying to identify a handicap plot.Lots of horses have multiple entries at time of writing so will bet nearer time.Horses on my shortlist – Blazer,Box Office,Ibis Du Rheu and Childrens List.

Selections- Squouateur 5-1 ,Westend Star 18-1

5.30 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase

This is the final race that bring down the curtain on the 4 days of the spectacular Festival.By this time we could either be drunk while trying to fill the wheelbarrows or we could be waiting for a big priced winner as it’s the #Luckylast.

Bookies love this race as they have won 5 of the 6 runnings at big odds of 16-1 ,16-1,20-1,40-1 and 16-1.It’s one of the most competitive races during the festival and not one you can play your get out of jail card.Novices have won 13 of the last 34 runnings ( 4 in last 7 years). We need to look out for a lightly raced horse that travels well during races.

JP Mcmanus has won the race twice in last 4 years and had 2 2nds. Also look out for Henderson or Nichols trained horses as they do like to target this race.I did hear a few months ago that Next Sensation had a breathing op and that race was his aim.I took some 16’s and 14’s and it has been very well backed now.Can still get 10’s in places.He did win the race last year and we have always backed him at Cheltenham too.Other horses that interest me are Rock The World,Blood Cotil & The Game Changer if he runs here.

Selections – Next Sensation 16-1/14-1 (Ante post),Rock The World 12-1

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Useful Reading

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Lucky’s and Multiples – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2016/03/11/cheltenham-2016-luckys-and-multiples/

Ante Post Blog Link –

https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2015/10/23/ante-post-bets-2015-2016/

 

 

Thursday 17th March- Cheltenham Day 3

vautourrrrrrrr

Cheltenham

1.30 Bristol de Mai 5-1

2.10 Arpege Dalene 14-1 & Taglietelle 16-1 (Notebook)

2.50 Vautour 4-5

3.30 Thistlecrack 2-1 (AP) ,Whisper 20-1/16-1/12-1 (AP)

4.10 Fingal Bay 11-1 (Notebook) & Ballycasey 20-1

4.50 Limini 5-4 (AP)

5.30 Doctor Harper 11-2 ,The Job is right 22-1 saver

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E/W Lucky 15 -1.30 Bristol de Mai 5-1 ,2.10 Arpege Dalene 14-1, 4.10 Fingal Bay 10-1,5.30 Doctor Harper 5-1

Treble  – 2.50 Vautour 4-5 , 3.30 Thistlecrack 5-4 ,4.50 Limini 8-11

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Day 3 – Thursday 17th March

1.30 JLT Novices Chase

This race has a very short history and as such we don’t have many stats and trends to help us find the winner.The Irish have been dominating the race in recent years.Four of the last winners were Irish trained horses and the most recent one was our beloved Vautour.He simply destroyed the field and put up the performance of the festival when jumping those fences like a stag.He galloped them into submission and the race was won at halfway.This year’s race looks a very open affair.

Connections of More of That have suggested this race in mind for their horse instead of the RSA but at time of writing nothing has been decided yet.Killultagh Vic the favorite for many months is missing the race due to injury.Those who follow me will know I have a soft spot for Bristol De Mai.He has sauntered to the top of the betting due to some impressive jumping recently when winning.He started his campaign at Uttoxeter but was beaten by a very good horse in Garde La Victoire.He got off the mark at the second time of asking by winning at Warwick.I then went to Sandown and saw him in the flesh in the Grade 1 Henry V111 Novice Chase but he made some jumping mistakes that day that were costly and the winner Ar Mad was better on the day.That wasn’t bad form at all since Ar Mad went on to win his next 2 races at Kempton and Plumpton.He then won his next 3 starts with the most significant coming at Sandown in the Grade 2 race.He beat the consistent As Du Mee by 6 lengths with Tea for Two,a Grade 1 winner behind by a further length.The only problem with him is he needs some cut in the ground and has also never ran at Cheltenham. I have said it many times you need course form over there but he has enough class to put on a classy show.

Outlander represents the powerful connections of Gigginstown and Willie Mullins who have won that race before with Sir Des Champs in 2012.He won on his chasing debut by beating a Grade 2 winner in Free Expression very easily.He then went on to win the Grade 2 race over Xmas at Limerick where he stayed powerfully in the run in to beat Avant Tout with Free Expression well beaten again.He was then stepped up in grade to contest the Flogas Novice Chase at Leopardstown.He was ridden clear to beat the likes of Monksland,Pont Alexandre,Zabanaa etc.He likes soft ground and the one time he encountered quick ground he was 6th at Cheltenham last year in the Neptune won by Windsor Park.

Garde La Victoire is another one entered in the race that has taken well to fences this season and one we follow.He is unbeaten this season and has won 3 times.His 1st win came at Uttoxeter when he beat Bristol De Mai by 7 lengths.He then went to Cheltenham and gave a good beating to Fox Norton.His latest win came at Ludlow in a mickey mouse race.But he has been jumping brilliantly so far and attacks his fences at speed which is a great asset to have.He does travel well throughout his races and must have an each way squeak if he turns up here.

Shaneshill represents the Mullins army here and he was 2nd in the Supreme behind the monster Douvan last year.He won his 1st 2 races this season but those were not strong races.He jumped well and seemed to have taken well to fences.He then disappointed in the Lightning stakes at Doncaster on his last start and made a lot of jumping mistakes.He could be forgiven on that heavy ground and Townend reported that he wasn’t happy at all with him during race.Whether he can bounce back from this bad performance remains to be seen.At 10-1 he represents some value for each way thieves.Also he has course form at the track and Willie mentioned his horses could have caught a chill that weekend when they traveled over to Doncaster.(All his horses were beaten that weekend).Of the rest Zabana and Lami Serge could be given small chances.

Selections –1.30 Bristol de Mai 5-1  

2.10 Pertemps Network Final (Handicap Hurdle )

This is another tough race at the festival to solve for us punters due to its competitive nature and big field.Despite the higher standard of horses the Pertemps is now attracting the horses towards the top of handicap.Favorite backers were only rewarded once in the last 11 years and that was  when Fingal Bay won off top weight.10 out of the last 12 winners have been double figure odds.We have to look for a horse aged between eight and ten as they have won seven of the last 10 runnings.

Call The Cops did win for us last year at good odds of 16-1 .The best guide to this race must be the Fixed Brush Handicap Hurdle with three of the last seven winners finishing in the first five.Baradari won it this season beating the likes of Definitly Red,Batavir,Yala Enki etc.Jonjo O’Neil has won this race four times ,two of which for JP Mcmanus that were 50-1 shots!!

The Irish don’t do too well in this race as they are still waiting for a first win.Paul Nichols hasn’t won race yet but five of his 12 runners were placed.Mullins has only saddled 3 horses but 2 were placed.Favorites have a very poor record in the race with only one of the last nine maker leaders finishing in 1st 8 places prior to Fingal Bay winning 2 years ago.

Selections -Arpege Dalene 14-1 & Taglietelle 16-1 (Notebook)

2.50 Ryanair Chase

The Ryanair is run over 2 miles 4 furlongs and it has always been a very competitive race.At the time of writing it’s very hard to know which horses are running as most of those at the top of the market are not sure of turning up here.Ten of the 11 winners had won at Cheltenham before as had seven runners-up so previous course form is a big positive.The Irish have a very poor record in race as they are 0/32 since 2005.It will be interesting to see if Gigginstown decide to run Road To Riches or Valseur Lido here. The best individual guide has been the King George VI Chase as six of the last eight Ryanair winners ran at Kempton on Boxing Day and another was second in the King George the previous season.

The Paddy Power Gold Cup and the Betfair Ascot Chase have provided four winners each in recent years and are useful guides.You need to find a horse with stamina in abundance and also that travels /jumps fluently.If Vautour was running in this race he would have won by half the track but his target all season has been the Gold Cup.Road To Riches was 3rd behind Coneygree in last year’s Gold Cup when the ground went against him.He started the season by winning the Clonmel Oil Chase where he beat the likes of Bright New Dawn and Felix Yonger.He was then 2nd to Carlingford Lough in the Irish Gold Cup on his latest start.He made a couple of mistakes but other than that he traveled well throughout his race on ground that wasn’t ideal.He will have a good chance if he runs here.

Gigginstown already have 2 live contenders in Don Cossack and Don Poli in the Gold Cup.It will be interesting to see where they send Road To Riches.Same problem applies to Valseur Lido who was an unfortunate loser last time out when he took the lead but fell at the last fence.Running Valseur Lido here will be the correct call as he has stamina in abundance,travels well and is a slick jumper as we saw last April when he won his Grade 1 at Punchestown.He was 3rd to Vautour in last year’s JLT too.On his 1st start this season he finished 2nd to an excellent Djakadam but he was in need of the run that day.He was then sent to the King Georges where the jockey Jacques Ricou took it easy and gave him a bad ride till he fell at the last.Ma Filleule ,one of our fave horses would have had a big chance but just heard she has been sent to Norway for breeding purposes.

Another horse worth noting is Al Ferof for the Skeleton yard.He made his debut in the Peterborough Chase that he won easily.He then ran at Kempton in the King Georges where he wasn’t disgraced behind Cue Card and Vautour.But he is an 11 yr old now and they have a poor record at the festival.They are 0/138 in non handicap races since 2006. Another stat against him is horses ages 11 or older are 0/12 in race. He  has also won only 1 race from 9in Group 1 company and that came when he was a novice.All those stats put me off Al Ferof. Of the others Smashing and our beloved Dynaste are worth a mention if they run here .Will bet in this race nearer time.

Selections –Vautour 4-5 

3.30 Ryanair World Hurdle

It is one of the leading long distance hurdle event at the festival.It is the highlight of Day 3 and we have seen the likes of Big Bucks dominating this race for years recently.The Long Walk Hurdle had been a strong guide recently and has featured more World Hurdle winners than any other race in the last 20 years.The Cleeve Hurdle is also one that has delivered 4 winners and 3 runner ups in last 9 years.The Irish have a poor record in race since 1995 and only had one winner in last 20 years in Solwhit.

There is little doubt that the horse to beat in this year’s race is Thistlecrack.He made his entrance on the big stage in the Doom Bar Sefton Novices Hurdle last April at Aintree when he won at 25-1.He was then sent to Punchestown but finished runner up to a very good horse in Killultagh Vic.He started this season at Newbury in the Long Distance Hurdle and he won in the manner of a really classy horse.He beat the reigning champion Cole Harden by over 7 lengths while Whisper was chilling 24 lengths behind.He then went on to demolish the field at Ascot in the Long Walk Hurdle where he had the likes of Reve De Sivola,Karezak and Saphir Du Rheu behind.His latest success came in the Cleeve at Cheltenham where he made mince meat of his rivals.I will be surprised if he loses next week as he is that good and I can’t see any horse running to his level.He travels well throughout the race and is a fluent jumper.

Cole Harden is the reigning champion but he hasn’t won since.He went to Aintree and got beat by our beloved Whisper.He started his season in the Long Distance but he needed that run despite being beat by Thistlecrack.He then ran in the Relkeel over 2mile4 but was beaten by Camping Ground and Lil Rockfeller.They were clearly using those 2 races to get him fit and he will be better next week on better ground.I wouldn’t put anyone off having money on him each way or to get placed.He will need to improve a lot to beat Thistlecrack though.

Next in the betting is Alpha des Obeaux for Gigginstown.He was alongside Thistlecrack at Aintree coming into the last but he fell.He has finished 2nds in his last 7 starts but has always been beaten by the classy horses like Douvan,Nichols Canyon,Thistlecrack and Arctic Fire.He made his seasonal debut in the Hatton’s Grace but was no match for Arctic Fire.He was then beaten in the Christmas Hurdle by Prince of Scars with Martello Tower behind.His win came on his latest start in the Galmoy where he was very impressive and was very fluent.That was his first win over 3 miles under rules.I reckon he has very solid place claims next week.

Saphir du Rheu finished 2nd in this race last year behind Cole Harden and has always been a highly regarded horse in the yard.He then went on to win the Mildmay Novice Chase at Aintree.He started his chasing campaign at Carlisle and beat donkeys there but jumped well in what was a warming up exercise.His next assignment would be in the Hennessy Gold Cup where he finished 5th behind Smad Place.Theatre Guide and Fingal Bay.He made too many mistakes that day and was never travelling.Giving weight away didn’t help his cause too.He reverted to hurdles in the Long Walk at Ascot but was comprehensively beaten by Thistlecrack.Paul Nichols mentioned recently he had a wind op and if that op has the desired effect then he could become a contender for the places.

Whisper is one of our ante post in the race and one we have been following for years.Some will remember his win at Cheltenham for us in Coral Cup at 22-1 and his double Cheltenham-Aintree in that same year.He is a fragile horse and as such he often has some niggling injuries.He has only ran twice this season and both runs were disappointing.Nicky Henderson mentioned he had a wind op and he was back to his usual self.To be honest I think he has place claims but his main target will be Aintree just like last year when he won for us .

Out of the rest I will give a small mention to Martello Tower and Aux Petits Soins if they run .But the horse they will all have to beat is Thistlecrack and this will be one of my bankers of the week.

Selections – Thistlecrack 2-1 (Ante Post) ,Whisper 12-1/16-1/20-1 (Ante Post)

4.10 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (Handicap Chase)

This is another tricky handicap race at the festival and one that hasn’t been too kind for punters in recent years.Only 1 favorite has won in the last 15 years and winners in the past 6 years have been 12-1,50-1,18-1,66-1,33-1& 33-1.There were 14 winners that were sent off over 20-1 + in the last 26 years.Only 2 winners in the last 20 yrs carried over 11st.

It is a race that the Pipe’s like to target.They have won the race 7 times and 3 of those wins have come in the last 6 years. Monetaire would have been another winner for them last year but was very unlucky in running.Ventia Williams has also a good record in race with 3 winners and 5 other placed horses from 16 runners. Nicky Henderson has 4 winners in the Plate while Nichols is still looking for his 1st winner in the race after only 2 places from 24 runners.On my shortlist in that race are Village Vic,Doctor Harper,Taquin Du Seuil,John’s Spirit and Aloomomo.

Selections –Fingal Bay 11-1 (Notebook) & Ballycasey 20-1

 

4.50  Trull House Stud Mares Novice Hurdle

This is the new race at the festival for mares  that is run over 2m1f. Willie Mullins has been the dominant force in those type of races in Ireland or at the festival with the mighty Quevega.This year he is set to run both Limini ,the market leader and also Myska.The latter is one of our ante post bets in the race at 14-1.No stats to go in the race so we will look at some of the leading fancies chances.

Limini has only ran twice in her career winning both and is well regarded in the Mullins yard.She won nicely at Fairyhouse on her last start despite one or 2 mistakes but that could be due to the fact she was running after a long time.As long as she has settled in the race she will be the one to beat in race.

Myska won her first 3 races in brilliant fashion.She won on her debut at Clonmel last April beating a very good horse in Miss Dynamic.She then went to Thurles and won very easily.Her next start would be her first real test and she passed with flying colours.at Taunton.She was very fluent and jumped beautifully.She had the Harry Fry’s good horse Jessber’s Dream aa further 3 lengths behind and the latter gave the form a boost recently by winning at Sandown.She disappointed on her last start when beaten by Ball D’arc (Min Form) but we learnt after race she was put on antibiotics due to injury suffered during race.Hopefully she does run here instead of going somewhere.

Nicky Henderson is likely to be represented by Bloody Mary and Chocca Woca.I would give them both place claims if they run.At bigger prices Katie too and Tea in Transvaal could outrun their odds.But i really can’t see past the Mullins horses in the race.

Selection-Limini 5-4 

5.30  Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup (Handicap Chase )

This race is reserved for amateur riders and is run over 3 miles 1 furlong.It’s another tricky race but The Package won for us last year at 16-1 under a great ride from Jamie Codd.I reckon this race is more about the jockeys riding who have the more experienced.In fact, 24 of the last 27 win/place positions were filled by non-claiming amateurs as were eight of the last ten winners.

Jamie Codd was winning the race for a third time last season on The Package while Nina Carberry has 5 places from 7 horses she has ridden.Donald McCain likes to target this race as five of his last eight runners have finished in the top five and he has won twice for leading owner Trevor Hemmings.Six of the last ten winners have contested a handicap chase at Cheltenham in the season.

Gordon Elliot horses also need to be monitored as he had two seconds and a third in the last 3 years.If Pipe is sending horses that had a break over 3 months you do take note.Nichols on the other hand has a poor record in race with only 1 place horse from 17 runners.A few on my shortlist are Doctor Harper,Cause of Causes,Indian Castle,Thomas Brown.

Selections-Doctor Harper 11-2 ,The Job is right 22-1

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Useful Reading

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Lucky’s and Multiples – https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2016/03/11/cheltenham-2016-luckys-and-multiples/

Ante Post Blog Link –

https://boomteamhq.wordpress.com/2015/10/23/ante-post-bets-2015-2016/

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Bookies offers – (Make good use of them this week and be clever )

(1) Bet365 – Back a winner at 4-1 or more on a Live Channel 4 race and get a risk free bet on the next Channel 4 race ( Max bet £50. Use money from ur own account to bet in following race if you win.If you lose they refund your money)

(2) Paddy Power -Money back as a FREE BET if your horse finishes 2nd in any race at Cheltenham ( Max £25 )

(3) Ladbrokes – Money back( FREE BET- MAX £25)  2nd place in 2.10,2.50 ,3.30 and 4.10 everyday at Cheltenham. And if SP Favorite wins 1st race everyday they will refund losing stakes up to £25.

(4) Skybet– Money Back as a FREE BET if you lose the 1.30 everyday at Cheltenham.(Max £25 )

(5) Boylesports – Money back as a FREE BET if 2nd or 3rd to SP fave in all races at Cheltenham (Max £25 )

(6) BetBright – Money Back 2nd on all races at Cheltenham as a FREE BET (Max £25 ) on all races at Cheltenham

(7) BetVictor – £25 money back as free bet every time your horse is beaten by a Willie Mullins horse